stormtracker Posted December 7, 2017 Share Posted December 7, 2017 On 12/7/2017 at 2:54 PM, mappy said: god damn NAM Expand Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNJwx Posted December 7, 2017 Share Posted December 7, 2017 3k NAM, enjoy this before the 12z GFS comes out and gets everyone's hopes down again! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted December 7, 2017 Share Posted December 7, 2017 On 12/7/2017 at 2:55 PM, Bob Chill said: Trend or a headfake. Take your pick Expand NAM trap queen... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Negnao Posted December 7, 2017 Share Posted December 7, 2017 Nam snow map looks like December 2010. Yikes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted December 7, 2017 Share Posted December 7, 2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted December 7, 2017 Share Posted December 7, 2017 On 12/7/2017 at 2:54 PM, mappy said: god damn NAM Expand God works in mysterious ways....dont bash him. He may be working on your Christmas miracle.....or stocking stuffer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
high risk Posted December 7, 2017 Share Posted December 7, 2017 On 12/7/2017 at 2:56 PM, CentralNJwx said: 3k NAM, enjoy this before the 12z GFS comes out and gets everyone's hopes down again! Expand Levi added two new snow accumulation methods to the NAM nest graphics on TT, and they're both far more representative of what the model is really doing than this "older" one. Those both get the DC area on the board and still have decent amounts further east, but they're far less generous than the map above. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted December 7, 2017 Share Posted December 7, 2017 I personally will consider a win when I'm sitting at home saturday night looking at y'alls pics of flakes falling. Its early December, and we look to have a favorable setup for the forseable future. Good stuff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted December 7, 2017 Share Posted December 7, 2017 On 12/7/2017 at 2:54 PM, mappy said: god damn NAM^ugh ;-) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted December 7, 2017 Share Posted December 7, 2017 nope not doing it. Randy text me if the GFS follows suit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx's Thanks Giving Posted December 7, 2017 Share Posted December 7, 2017 On 12/7/2017 at 2:55 PM, Bob Chill said: Trend or a headfake. Take your pick Expand tbd Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted December 7, 2017 Share Posted December 7, 2017 Hurts out this way, but we need snow.. anyone gets some.. it is a win for all! And I have been blessed out this way many times when others were not.. so I should not complain.. I mean I will.. but I should not! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted December 7, 2017 Share Posted December 7, 2017 On 12/7/2017 at 2:58 PM, pasnownut said: God works in mysterious ways....dont bash him. He may be working on your Christmas miracle.....or stocking stuffer. Expand I see the mid 50's for Xmas Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted December 7, 2017 Share Posted December 7, 2017 FWIW... a close up of snow accums for the region from the 12Z 3KM NAM: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted December 7, 2017 Share Posted December 7, 2017 On 12/7/2017 at 3:13 PM, midatlanticweather said: Hurts out this way, but we need snow.. anyone gets some.. it is a win for all! And I have been blessed out this way many times when others were not.. so I should not complain.. I mean I will.. but I should not! Expand I predict the GFS will come further NW just not as far and just cut off east of 95..which is good for our eastern crew...maybe even Jeb. the cut off is nasty regardless like I could drive to the Harris Teeter and see snow 3 miles from house to the SE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx's Thanks Giving Posted December 7, 2017 Share Posted December 7, 2017 On 12/7/2017 at 3:13 PM, midatlanticweather said: Hurts out this way, but we need snow.. anyone gets some.. it is a win for all! And I have been blessed out this way many times when others were not.. so I should not complain.. I mean I will.. but I should not! Expand (last short response...post of the day=5 minutes ago!) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
poolz1 Posted December 7, 2017 Share Posted December 7, 2017 On 12/7/2017 at 3:13 PM, midatlanticweather said: Hurts out this way, but we need snow.. anyone gets some.. it is a win for all! And I have been blessed out this way many times when others were not.. so I should not complain.. I mean I will.. but I should not! Expand I agree...I just want to see something produce in our area. It would be a good sign for this to be an overachiever..which imo means 1-2" to the 95 corridor. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted December 7, 2017 Share Posted December 7, 2017 On 12/7/2017 at 3:17 PM, BristowWx said: I predict the GFS will come further NW just not as far and just cut off east of 95..which is good for our eastern crew...maybe even Jeb. the cut off is nasty regardless like I could drive to the Harris Teeter and see snow 3 miles from house to the SE Expand The NAM has been the outsider the whole time. The GFS has been rock solid. I fully expect it to hold serve. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted December 7, 2017 Share Posted December 7, 2017 On 12/7/2017 at 3:07 PM, mappy said: nope not doing it. Randy text me if the GFS follows suit. Expand talk about blind faith..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted December 7, 2017 Share Posted December 7, 2017 On 12/7/2017 at 3:20 PM, Interstate said: The NAM has been the outsider the whole time. The GFS has been rock solid. I fully expect it to hold serve. Expand GFS did come NW a good amount on its 06z run... just saying Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted December 7, 2017 Share Posted December 7, 2017 On 12/7/2017 at 3:20 PM, Interstate said: The NAM has been the outsider the whole time. The GFS has been rock solid. I fully expect it to hold serve. Expand Absolutely. I don't even think it will get me first flakes at my house. but I am not out yet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
high risk Posted December 7, 2017 Share Posted December 7, 2017 On 12/7/2017 at 3:20 PM, Interstate said: The NAM has been the outsider the whole time. The GFS has been rock solid. I fully expect it to hold serve. Expand This isn't true at all. The 6z GFS had a healthy shift to the northwest. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 7, 2017 Share Posted December 7, 2017 On 12/7/2017 at 3:25 PM, high risk said: This isn't true at all. The 6z GFS had a healthy shift to the northwest. Expand He's been a Debbie Downer the last 2 days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wonderdog Posted December 7, 2017 Share Posted December 7, 2017 At what point in time did the GFS become rock solid with this storm? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted December 7, 2017 Share Posted December 7, 2017 Anyone know what the UKMet did last night? There was a lot of talk about the 12z run yesterday and it seemed out on an island by itself. What did 0z show? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted December 7, 2017 Share Posted December 7, 2017 On 12/7/2017 at 3:26 PM, osfan24 said: Anyone know what the UKMet did last night? There was a lot of talk about the 12z run yesterday and it seemed out on an island by itself. What did 0z show? Expand Looks similar to what the 6z nam spit out. Sig jump east and much lower precip totals from the previous run though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted December 7, 2017 Share Posted December 7, 2017 On 12/7/2017 at 3:26 PM, mitchnick said: He's been a Debbie Downer the last 2 days. Expand No just reality set in, at least in my neighborhood. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted December 7, 2017 Share Posted December 7, 2017 On 12/7/2017 at 3:26 PM, mitchnick said: He's been a Debbie Downer the last 2 days. Expand And you've not given up on this one. I was surprised you didnt fold a couple days ago. this should be named after you. Not sure what your glass is half full of....but i'll take one Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted December 7, 2017 Share Posted December 7, 2017 On 12/7/2017 at 3:29 PM, Interstate said: No just reality set in, at least in my neighborhood. Expand If you are going to engage in model discussion then you need to keep your emotions in check. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted December 7, 2017 Share Posted December 7, 2017 Trough axis looks more favorable at 27 hours compared to 6z...should be a shift NW I would think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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