ag3 Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 2 minutes ago, canderson said: In this type of event, a prolonged daytime snow (even with the very low sun angle we currently have) with middling temps hovering around 32 it''ll not be a solid, traffic-snarling highway accumulation type snowfall would it? I'd think it'd be a little tough for major roads to become totally snow-covered given the factors (rate, daytime, traffic, etc). Am I totally wrong? Best precip and rates come after 2pm for NYC and LI. Perfect timing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 2 minutes ago, mikem81 said: Actually slightly raised totals for LI.. .75 line make it to mid Nassau Correct I have the stormvista Snow map but can't post it here It has 6 + for southern shores of the area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 Fragile setup indeed. Do not let the butterfly flap its wing anywhere around here, difference could be 0" or up to 8" Cobb Method likes 4-6 inches and keeps temps. at 32. NAM colder than GFS, but has less LEQ to work with. Plume Chart has just 3 inches, and never has temp. go to 32, till event ends. Both of these are for LGA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 Srefs are about 4-5” LGA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 Gfs looks to have largely held serve, maybe a slight decrease Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
swamplover56 Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 15 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: Gfs looks to have largely held serve, maybe a slight decrease Decrease amounts north and west similar to the nam Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
swamplover56 Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 Since oz last night the northern stream has not looked as good which is oushing everything a tad further south and east hopefully it comes back north and west a bit. 1-3 may be the norm once you move north and west if nyc Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 3 minutes ago, swamplover56 said: Decrease amounts north and west similar to the nam Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doorman Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 this is not a slam dunk ....by any means Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Gorilla Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 7 minutes ago, UlsterCountySnowZ said: I will take my 1-3/ 2-4 and run here in Poughkeepsie. Will set a beautiful Christmas / winter mood. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 5 minutes ago, UlsterCountySnowZ said: If I can squeeze out 3 to 5 as this map indicates, all is good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 5 minutes ago, Doorman said: this is not a slam dunk ....by any means We need the low to trend further south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
swamplover56 Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 Anyone have the ukie Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 How's this not a slam dunk it's already happening. You can figure out what will happen just by looking at the current weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 Thundersnow wouldn’t surprise me tomorrow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 Ukie looks the same as 0z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 8 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said: How's this not a slam dunk it's already happening. You can figure out what will happen just by looking at the current weather. Still waiting for my blizzard from last March (and Jan 2015 for that matter) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mikem81 Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 2 minutes ago, dmillz25 said: Ukie looks the same as 0z Doesnt look as good to me, but still reviewing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathermedic Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 All the reports I've been seeing from the southern end of this system are stating it's "over performing" in the south, especially with the frozen precip. Let's hope this is a good sign. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 2 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: Still waiting for my blizzard from last March (and Jan 2015 for that matter) The stakes are low, even if we were to miss out it wouldn't be a big deal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 4 minutes ago, dmillz25 said: Ukie looks the same as 0z Looks a tad east and drier to me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 2 minutes ago, mikem81 said: Doesnt look as good to me, but still reviewing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 Just now, Rjay said: Looks a tad east and drier to me I mean to say about the same but yeah a bit east and a bit drier but a good solution nonetheless Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
swamplover56 Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 Just now, Rjay said: Looks a tad east and drier to me Following all modeling since oz then can't say I'm happy about these trends anything west of NYC is going to be dicey to see real accumulations I'm starting to thjnkthink Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 Mt. Holly's forecast looks good right now. 2-4" most likely around the area with a bit more further south and east. The positive trough was always a detriment to this becoming anything bigger, it's amazing if we get anything at all considering this was forecast to be well offshore 2 days ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 Question for mods... now that Ryan has made euro free to public... can we post? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 1 minute ago, UlsterCountySnowZ said: Question for mods... now that Ryan has made euro free to public... can we post? Anything thats free id assume is fair game. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 Also anyone find it odd Orange County was the only place left out of WWA... lol... they still say 1-3” but no advisory? Seems odd Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 4 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said: Mt. Holly's forecast looks good right now. 2-4" most likely around the area with a bit more further south and east. The positive trough was always a detriment to this becoming anything bigger, it's amazing if we get anything at all considering this was forecast to be well offshore 2 days ago. Looks like 3-6 for nyc east is a good call. Lets hope for a overperformer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 ~15mn for nyc in the Ukie Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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