Stormlover74 Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 1 minute ago, rogue said: It's east and strung out. Halves snowfall amounts west of NYC and down overall elsewhere. Eh it's one run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 Pay attention to the upper air pattern over the surface precip panels. The NAM especially overdoes it sometimes. This won’t be a major storm for anyone, maybe it can hit warning criteria in places if it works out with banding and abundant moisture. If I had to guess I’d go with 3-6” from the city east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 Hi Res Nam is a lot better than the regular Nam It is also warmer in eastern LI Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCG RS Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 Hi Res Nam is a lot better than the regular Nam It is also warmer in eastern LIIt all comes down to the upper air and placement of the n/s and its interaction. The trough is not oriented as well as we would like so therefore this is thread the needle situation. As such, solutions back and forth are very likely, especially as our n/s is not fully sampled yet. Deep breath everybody. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 3 minutes ago, Snow88 said: Hi Res Nam is a lot better than the regular Nam It is also warmer in eastern LI High resolution is almost always better. you are getting worked up over 2-3 or 3 to 5 inches of snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 2 minutes ago, Animal said: High resolution is almost always better. you are getting worked up over 2-3 or 3 to 5 inches of snow. It’s the first snow of the season, hopefully everyone hits the ground running. I’m really not worried about mixing outside the twin forks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 I'll take my 6" snowfall and run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 RGEM is coming in great for the area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 39 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said: It could still whiff if that northern stream system doesn't cooperate. The trough orientation was never ideal, but it's also the Nam. What are you stooges talking about , H5 is better than 18z It's high res looks like the gassed up RGEM Bro , you are a hard day after day Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doorman Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 A BRUSHA that will CRUSHA 9 out of 10 weenie hearts in the Metro Final Call Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 RGEM is about a 16 hour event Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 Damn that RGEM gets the R/S line at 48 to almost Sandy Hook Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 4 minutes ago, Snow88 said: RGEM is about a 16 hour event And less impressive than 18z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 1 minute ago, Ericjcrash said: And less impressive than 18z. What ? It's great Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Neblizzard Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 1 minute ago, Ericjcrash said: And less impressive than 18z. If you think 3-6 inches is less impressive for a storm that was never meant to be a blockbuster in the first place...then I don’t know what to tell you. It’s early December and a modest snowfall looks likely for the metro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 Just now, Snow88 said: What ? It's great Slightly Less QPF, precip shield doesnt extend as far west. Still good, but not quite as good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCG RS Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 Damn that RGEM gets the R/S line at 48 to almost Sandy HookLet's not start this again rgem....*flashes back to blizzard last year that never was* Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 Just now, Ericjcrash said: Slightly Less QPF, precip shield doesnt extend as far west. Still good, but not quite as good. 3-5 isn't good? Come on man Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 And less impressive than 18z.Wut? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 2 minutes ago, Neblizzard said: If you think 3-6 inches is less impressive for a storm that was never meant to be a blockbuster in the first place...then I don’t know what to tell you. It’s early December and a modest snowfall looks likely for the metro All I said it was less impressive in comparison to the 18z run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 Just now, USCG RS said: 6 minutes ago, SnowGoose69 said: Damn that RGEM gets the R/S line at 48 to almost Sandy Hook Let's not start this again rgem....*flashes back to blizzard last year that never was* I think its just picking up on coastal NJ seeing rain. Coastal NJ with a 020-050 wind is a different world in early December than NYC/LI with a 020-050 wind Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 Just now, Ralph Wiggum said: 6 minutes ago, Ericjcrash said: And less impressive than 18z. Wut? What do you mean What? Yes it' just noise, but it was a simple comment referencing the 2 runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCG RS Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 I think its just picking up on coastal NJ seeing rain. Coastal NJ with a 020-050 wind is a different world in early December than NYC/LI with a 020-050 windVery true brother Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
swamplover56 Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 2 minutes ago, Ericjcrash said: All I said it was less impressive in comparison to the 18z run. Ugh I'm in the middle of something but the rgem snowmap ticked up everywhere from 18z to oz just s fyiFYI Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 GFS has a better precip shield and the low is slightly west at hour 30 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 2 minutes ago, swamplover56 said: Ugh I'm in the middle of something but the rgem snowmap ticked up everywhere from 18z to oz just s fyiFYI Uh huh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 3 minutes ago, Ericjcrash said: Uh huh. That's only through 18z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 This run is a lot better than 18z Low further west and bigger precip shield Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 2 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: That's only through 18z Right. The same timestamp 18z run ended. Lower numbers. Can't compare 6 hours extra time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
swamplover56 Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 Gfs is 4-8 western areas do much better beautiful run for almost everyone in this subforum Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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