Paragon Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 6 minutes ago, uncle W said: 2003 had two waves...the first one dropped 8" and the second 6"...it stopped for a few hours overnight on the 5th...14" total...that was long gone by Christmas... Remember that well- the first wave was better for us here with the mix line like 5 miles south of here the entire time lol. The second day, the heavier snow was to our east. Farmingdale did well with 19" the jackpot, although some outlier in the Bronx measured 26" and got mocked on the boards lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paragon Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 4 minutes ago, Ericjcrash said: Yes, also fell on Santacon that year, I was and will be once again a drunken Yeti; talk about perfect timing. Heres a peek of Washington Square park. Don't do that in NJ during hunting season, some crazy trigger-happy dude is likely to make you his target- even if it's Santacon lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doorman Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 Don't forget about the nice tracking tools from COD MET http://weather.cod.edu/analysis/ http://climate.cod.edu/flanis/analysis/rapmeso/index.php?type=US-wvvor-25 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 Lol , Washington Square park is a safe haven. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 Pretty cool to see snow from the Mexican Gulf coast to Newfoundland. Definitely been a while. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 21z SREF shifted west compared to 15z Around 0.25 for NYC east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 GEFS at 18z looks to have 0.75 or more for Long Island/coastal NJ and 0.5” to just NW of the City. Maybe enough for watches tomorrow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zelocita Weather Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 0z SREFs out yet? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 2 minutes ago, jm1220 said: GEFS at 18z looks to have 0.75 or more for Long Island/coastal NJ and 0.5” to just NW of the City. Maybe enough for watches tomorrow? If QPF keeps ticking up, it's possible I guess, although they would probably wait till the evening and go to a warning. Seeing how it's a Saturday storm they probably wouldn't go WSW without being sure of reaching criteria IMO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
swamplover56 Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 54 minutes ago, Doorman said: https://digital.weather.gov/ best of luck..... for our die hard snow bunnies Tommy still not liking it? I think NYC is good for 2/4 here more on the island Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 1 hour ago, PB GFI said: - 5 @ 850 DPs in the low 20s. Maybe AC, you should go ..even with your words of wisdom..this coastie always worries. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 6 minutes ago, tim said: ..even with your words of wisdom..this coastie always worries. I’m not that worried since northerly flow will keep cold air coming from the CT and Hudson Valley, and the mid level warmth should stay out at sea, maybe reach the twin forks if this really keeps going west. Like I said earlier, some fairly minor adjustments aloft made for a more robust system that has snow reaching well west of the city now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doorman Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 14 minutes ago, swamplover56 said: Tommy still not liking it? I think NYC is good for 2/4 here more on the island 56 ....not just yet but hey let the trackers have fun with it I was the first to get that memo!!!!! ( the pendulum may swing---- lets see) http://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/mesoanalysis/new/viewsector.php?sector=19# mix line guidance reminder come the Nowcast time frame Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mikem81 Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 heights look slightly higher along coast at hr 39. Hard to tell if its a hair west of 18Z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 4 minutes ago, mikem81 said: heights look slightly higher along coast at hr 39. Hard to tell if its a hair west of 18Z A bit east actually Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 Just now, dmillz25 said: A bit east actually This run has the low further west Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 Just now, Snow88 said: This run has the low further west Look at 21z. Way east, but snow shield looks the same. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mikem81 Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 Lp jumps around a lot on TT site. Less precip this run overall Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 2-4” of snow expected for Corpus Christi. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IntenseBlizzard2014 Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 1 minute ago, jm1220 said: 2-4” of snow expected for Corpus Christi. Definitely something a Niño would do. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 3 minutes ago, mikem81 said: Lp jumps around a lot on TT site. Less precip this run overall Still about the same honestly. Negligible changes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 Just now, dmillz25 said: Still about the same honestly. Negligible changes Still shows 3-5 over here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 5 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: Look at 21z. Way east, but snow shield looks the same. It could still whiff if that northern stream system doesn't cooperate. The trough orientation was never ideal, but it's also the Nam. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 10 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: Look at 21z. Way east, but snow shield looks the same. What's way east ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 2 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said: It could still whiff if that northern stream system doesn't cooperate. The trough orientation was never ideal, but it's also the Nam. Nam is not way east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rogue Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 10 minutes ago, Snow88 said: This run has the low further west It's east and strung out. Halves snowfall amounts west of NYC and down overall elsewhere. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 That wasn't reassuring. 3k coming in more favorably though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 Just now, Snow88 said: What's way east ? The low placement but only at 21z. Either way it ends up similar but cuts back totals north and West Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 Hi res still good, 12/32 held back a bit on western end, model noise Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 Just now, rogue said: It's east and strung out. Halves snowfall amounts west of NYC and down overall elsewhere. Low is further west and not as strung out as 18z. Yes the numbers are down but who cares. 3-5 inches of snow in early December is nice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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