Monmouth_County_Jacpot Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 When is the expected start time in the metro area have to work 12 hour shift tonight. I work for con Edison not looking forward to the smoking manhole fires... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 On 12/8/2017 at 10:56 PM, BlizzardNYC said: When is the expected start time in the metro area have to work 12 hour shift tonight. I work for con Edison not looking forward to the smoking manhole fires... Expand flakes probably dont start falling till 2-3am the steadiest stuff arrives around 9-10am Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 On 12/8/2017 at 9:45 PM, swamplover56 said: Well just much less accumulation than 20 miles south of there and less accumulation than 20 miles north of there not saying a shutout by any means but interesting to see northern Monmouth having nearly double than the gfs for the city. Just an observation Expand Since the GFS upgrade...Its been bad with temps (too high), along the coast and around the city...It looks like its snowfall maps are gonna be off now too for the same area...Use its QPF to estimate snow not its snow maps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCG RS Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 On 12/8/2017 at 9:41 PM, PB GFI said: I am happy this is going to get everyone Enjoy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 Did Bonds pull a hammy ? He's been a no show all day Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 On 12/8/2017 at 11:24 PM, PB GFI said: Did Bonds pull a hammy ? He's been a no show all day Expand Old hot hands? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherFeen2000 Posted December 8, 2017 Author Share Posted December 8, 2017 I think winter storm warning is warranted here for NYC tomorrow. Here are my projected snow fall totals for cities... Central Park 7.5 Boston 8.3 Washington DC 3.5 Richmond 7.3 Cape May 9 Yorktown Heights 9 Salisbury 10 Danbury 6 New Haven 9 Hartford 8 Providence 9 Atlanta 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted December 9, 2017 Share Posted December 9, 2017 On 12/8/2017 at 10:21 PM, Rittenhouse said: From Upton: Expand The new SREFs seem to support the NWS view in that discussion of fronto banding developing over the city and to the east of it. If that actually happens, areas to the NW of NYC may underachieve. There’s going to subsidence and dry air entraining to either side of where that frontogenic band sets up, especially on the NW side of it. Like I said before, the highest bust potential is NW of NYC, in particular west of 287. That 2-4/3-5 inches being expected now (Bergen, Rockland, Passaic, Orange) could easily turn into 1-2/1-3 inches instead. It’s going to be a big nowcast tomorrow.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted December 9, 2017 Share Posted December 9, 2017 there could still be a bump northwest on the 0z runs... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted December 9, 2017 Share Posted December 9, 2017 On 12/9/2017 at 12:24 AM, snowman19 said: The new SREFs seem to support the NWS view in that discussion of fronto banding developing over the city and to the east of it. If that actually happens, areas to the NW of NYC may underachieve. There’s going to subsidence and dry air entraining to either side of where that frontogenic band sets up, especially on the NW side of it. Like I said before, the highest bust potential is NW of NYC, in particular west of 287. That 2-4/3-5 inches being expected now (Bergen, Rockland, Passaic, Orange) could easily turn into 1-2/1-3 inches instead. It’s going to be a big nowcast tomorrow.... Expand Mt Holly nws is forecasting 1 to max 3 inches in my area. What bust are you referring too exactly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AfewUniversesBelowNormal Posted December 9, 2017 Share Posted December 9, 2017 23z RAP... almost a phase Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted December 9, 2017 Share Posted December 9, 2017 On 12/9/2017 at 12:38 AM, StormchaserChuck said: 23z RAP... almost a phase Expand The 21 hr RAP the ultimate "take it FWIW" but interesting none the less, would certainly help our western friends. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 9, 2017 Share Posted December 9, 2017 Hi Res Rgem has 6+ for the area and close to 10 inches for the south shore of the area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AfewUniversesBelowNormal Posted December 9, 2017 Share Posted December 9, 2017 On 12/9/2017 at 12:48 AM, Ericjcrash said: The 21 he RAP the ultimate "take it FWIW" but interesting none the less, wpuld certainly help our western friends. Expand 23z looks better. More SE ridge Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted December 9, 2017 Share Posted December 9, 2017 On 12/9/2017 at 12:48 AM, Snow88 said: Hi Res Rgem has 6+ for the area and close to 10 inches for the south shore of the area. Expand Aka the gem-lam but here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted December 9, 2017 Share Posted December 9, 2017 On 12/9/2017 at 12:51 AM, StormchaserChuck said: 23z looks better. More SE ridge Expand That is the 23z, I'm saying it's 21 hours out, out of range. Let's see where it goes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted December 9, 2017 Share Posted December 9, 2017 Good luck all. My final guesses: Central Park 5.4" JFK: 5.1" Islip: 6.8" HPN: 4.5" Montauk: 4.9" Upton: 7.2" BDR: 6.3" EWR: 5.0" MMU: 3.6" Newburgh: 3.2" Me: 5.5" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nesussxwx Posted December 9, 2017 Share Posted December 9, 2017 29/19. Nice and cold before the storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zelocita Weather Posted December 9, 2017 Share Posted December 9, 2017 Srefs? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted December 9, 2017 Share Posted December 9, 2017 On 12/9/2017 at 1:37 AM, Zelocita Weather said: Srefs? Expand But 850 0c line over Suffolk fwiw Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sn0waddict Posted December 9, 2017 Share Posted December 9, 2017 Looks in line with most other models no? EDIT: at least for the coastal areas Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted December 9, 2017 Share Posted December 9, 2017 On 12/9/2017 at 1:40 AM, redbanknjandbigbasslakepa said: Much drier Expand Here's the previous run... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zelocita Weather Posted December 9, 2017 Share Posted December 9, 2017 So it's significantly west/more precip? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted December 9, 2017 Share Posted December 9, 2017 Please dont post if you dont have the proper info everyone, cmon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IntenseBlizzard2014 Posted December 9, 2017 Share Posted December 9, 2017 On 12/9/2017 at 1:40 AM, redbanknjandbigbasslakepa said: Much drier Expand Seriously? The SREFS haven't even hopped on until now. This is the best SREFS run all day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted December 9, 2017 Share Posted December 9, 2017 On 12/9/2017 at 1:44 AM, Zelocita Weather said: So it's significantly west/more precip? Expand Yes. Huge step Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ace Posted December 9, 2017 Share Posted December 9, 2017 I think we are about to get NAM'd. Low looks more organized and precipitation seems more expansive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brasiluvsnow Posted December 9, 2017 Share Posted December 9, 2017 On 12/9/2017 at 1:40 AM, Rjay said: But 850 0c line over Suffolk fwiw Expand Looks to be farther west than the previous run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted December 9, 2017 Share Posted December 9, 2017 On 12/9/2017 at 12:53 AM, jm1220 said: Good luck all. My final guesses: Central Park 5.4" JFK: 5.1" Islip: 6.8" HPN: 4.5" Montauk: 4.9" Upton: 7.2" BDR: 6.3" EWR: 5.0" MMU: 3.6" Newburgh: 3.2" Me: 5.5" Expand Sweet that we are on the same page. Without seeing this I had 5” for wantagh. i like 4” for nyc and 8” for Upton. I think that mid Suffolk hot zone is the big winner Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted December 9, 2017 Share Posted December 9, 2017 On 12/9/2017 at 1:52 AM, Ace said: I think we are about to get NAM'd. Low looks more organized and precipitation seems more expansive. Expand Very similar to 18z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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