December 9, 2017 - Storm Discussion (Breaking the seal on the season for many)

[CoastalWx]

Conservative seems the way of the overnight. but, I'll take anything to start the season off.

[Baroclinic Zone]

Good thing BOX didn't add those areas into WSW.

[JBinStoughton]

4 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Conservative seems the way of the overnight. but, I'll take anything to start the season off.

It’s good to get the first measurable snowfall before 12/15 for a change.  Hopefully the winter ramps up after this and not winds down. 

[powderfreak]

The next HRRR is already better than the last run... seems like after a few consecutive runs of taper its starting to come back up.  Probably just a brief hiccup with keeping everything so dry.

[HoarfrostHubb]

BOX actually upped their 7AM expected for my area from 5 to 6”

Not sure I agree with that.   

3-4” I will take.  The other day I would have been happy with T-2”

[HoarfrostHubb]

3 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

The next HRRR is already better than the last run... seems like after a few consecutive runs of taper its starting to come back up.  Probably just a brief hiccup with keeping everything so dry.

This is a Cweat special

[moneypitmike]

6 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said:

BOX actually upped their 7AM expected for my area from 5 to 6”

Not sure I agree with that.   

3-4” I will take.  The other day I would have been happy with T-2”

My ZFP is calling for 4-6".  I'll be pleasantly surprised if we see that.  I think you're primed for hitting that 5-6.  Believe me, if I were to hit 6", you'd be a lock for at least 6".

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

6z runs really dried out, hrrr is dry too. Oh well, 2-3” aint bad here but deff not the high end/low warming look it had thur and fri. 

Good to know we start the season with over juicing,   each system is different yea, but I think we need to keep this in the back of our minds moving foward. 

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

Yeah those heavy runs were a pump fake. I still like my location... but I think the high end of ranges will be like 6”... and those who see 6” will be isolated 

[CoastalWx]

1 minute ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

Yeah those heavy runs were a pump fake. I still like my location... but I think the high end of ranges will be like 6”... and those who see 6” will be isolated 

I think you are in a good spot relatively speaking. I think I will do decent here too, but big difference maybe between say Hull and Quincy. 

[dryslot]

4-6"  with a possible 7 spot still looks reasonable up here.

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

Just now, CoastalWx said:

I think you are in a good spot relatively speaking. I think I will do decent here too, but big difference maybe between say Hull and Quincy. 

I agree, I like both the locations. The cut back doesn’t mean as much here.

if anyone sees 7-8” I think it would be the Foxboro Wrentham area.

I don’t think anyone will complain as long as they get a couple inches... if I walk away with half a foot... I’ll be more than happy with that on Dec 9

[STILL N OF PIKE]

When does this begin to accumulate up in Manchester nh

[moneypitmike]

1 minute ago, dryslot said:

4-7" still looks reasonable up here.

 

Agree.  I should have headed up to Pit2.

27.2/16

[ORH_wxman]

Just now, STILL N OF PIKE said:

When does this begin to accumulate up in Manchester nh

Prob after about 2-3pm. 

[dryslot]

Just now, moneypitmike said:

 

Agree.  I should have headed up to Pit2.

27.2/16

Agree, Pit2 is a good spot for this.

[Baroclinic Zone]

Stand by my jack call yesterday in the Norfolk area back into NW RI and up to Blue Hills.

[CoastalWx]

Just now, Baroclinic Zone said:

Stand by my jack call yesterday in the Norfolk area back into NW RI and up to Blue Hills.

Yeah I agree with you and Will as well. He's gonna be one of the sweet spots too I think.

[STILL N OF PIKE]

Gracias, extra $ for Snow removal tonite

[ORH_wxman]

Just now, CoastalWx said:

Yeah I agree with you and Will as well. He's gonna be one of the sweet spots too I think.

Yeah I like my spot on SE fringe of ORH hills for this...but foxborough to Randolph corridor may take home the bacon with the latest trends. 

Quarry hills in Quincy looks good now up on that hill...lol. 

[Damage In Tolland]

4 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Yeah I agree with you and Will as well. He's gonna be one of the sweet spots too I think.

3-5” here seems doable.

maybe add on some fluff tonight/ tomorrow morning 

[CoastalWx]

Just now, ORH_wxman said:

Yeah I like my spot on SE fringe of ORH hills for this...but foxborough to Randolph corridor may take home the bacon with the latest trends. 

Quarry hills in Quincy looks good now up on that hill...lol. 

  Yeah HimoorWx may be a good spot. I'm hoping I'm not 34F for awhille and can stay near 32 if winds back N. If so, should be fun here. Just looking forward to some snow.

[CoastalWx]

Just now, Damage In Tolland said:

3-5” here seems doable.

maybe add on some fluff tonight/ tomorrow morning 

I agree.

[#NoPoles]

43 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said:

This is a Cweat special

Except it's 37 degrees here and rising...this is a Foxboro blue hills special...

[STILL N OF PIKE]

13 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Yhours like my spot on SE fringe of OR H hilscootr this...but foxborough to Randolph corridor may take home the bacon with the latest trends. 

Quarry hills in Quincy looks good now up on that hill...lol. 

Will, given the trends of last 12 Hours, was this due to less N stream digging , less Consolidated S. Stream energy, and lastly would you be shocked to see this Trend even weaker right thru today

[dryslot]

49 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said:

This is a Cweat special

He would be banging the RUC right now, Him and i use to PM on here quite often, RIP Scott.

[HoarfrostHubb]

4 minutes ago, #NoPoles said:

Except it's 37 degrees here and rising...this is a Foxboro blue hills special...

Hmmm.  That stinks. I was actually thinking of his model analysis for the meso stuff. He would be all over it.

I hope you get a couple of inches of paste at least.

[moneypitmike]

Just now, dryslot said:

He would be banging the RUC right now, Him and i use to PM on here quite often, RIP Scott.

 

I would become more depressed with every post Messenger made.

[dryslot]

Just now, moneypitmike said:

 

I would become more depressed with every post Messenger made.

lol, You knew you were doomed as it became an eastern special.

[moneypitmike]

12z HRRR looking relatively good for the hinterlands through 11z.