December 9, 2017 - Storm Discussion (Breaking the seal on the season for many)

[mreaves]

Just now, powderfreak said:

lol that's quite the streak of snow it's got there.  

Like everyone has said in past winters, the GGEM is my go-to model for hope on the far western side.  

That's almost a Pascagoula Pummler!

[WintersComing]

Sorry which model is the Crazy Uncle again? lol

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

8 minutes ago, weathafella said:

Sounds like verification in a general sense.

When you’ve been burned by Jan 15 & Jan 16 and everyone is high fiving you for an easy 24”, it feels like a let down with 14”. Plus it was in and out in such a hurry, that also made #forgettable.

Anyway, off topic, we pray euro follows all these reiable models.

[40/70 Benchmark]

32 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said:

Not bad for an uneducated weenie like me, eh?

BS LOL You know your stuff as well as any of the non pros.

[dryslot]

1 minute ago, WintersComing said:

Sorry which model is the Crazy Uncle again? lol

UKMET

[40/70 Benchmark]

I would not be suprised to see a moderate event this weekend..maybe higher likelihood than next week.

[CoastalWx]

Deep south snow. Dec 89 en route.

[CoastalWx]

Glad to see all our southern friends get snow before the northeast.

[Damage In Tolland]

Based on the Ukie near the BM... the Euro should come well west today 

[USCAPEWEATHERAF]

1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Based on the Ukie near the BM... the Euro should come well west today 

I agree

[WxBlue]

2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Glad to see all our southern friends get snow before the northeast.

So salty.

[weathafella]

1 minute ago, CoastalWx said:

Glad to see all our southern friends get snow before the northeast.

This reminds of your rant when DC was smoked in the d3-4 range in January 2015...lol.   Of course the euro 60 hours out clobbered us following “not gonna happen James”.

[CoastalWx]

Just now, WxBlue said:

So salty.

 

Just now, weathafella said:

This reminds of your rant when DC was smoked in the d3-4 range in January 2015...lol.   Of course the euro 60 hours out clobbered us following “not gonna happen James”.

 

We bait.  

[dryslot]

1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Based on the Ukie near the BM... the Euro should come well west today 

One would assume that is a good possibility, But not always the case, I can envision maybe another tic or two, It usually does not make drastic shifts.

[weathafella]

Just now, dryslot said:

One would assume that is a good possibility, But not always the case, I can envision maybe another tic or two, It usually does not make drastic shifts.

The thing is, a small shift adds a lot of qpf.

[CoastalWx]

1 minute ago, weathafella said:

This reminds of your rant when DC was smoked in the d3-4 range in January 2015...lol.   Of course the euro 60 hours out clobbered us following “not gonna happen James”.

That was a legit reason with that being the potential kicker. But I was happy with the outcome. 

[USCAPEWEATHERAF]

Just now, CoastalWx said:

That was a legit reason with that being the potential kicker. But I was happy with the outcome. 

Classic storm

[dryslot]

Just now, weathafella said:

The thing is, a small shift adds a lot of qpf.

Based on last nights run, It may take a bigger one, I would just be happy if it moves favorably in the direction that folks want to see at this point, Still plenty of time.

[OceanStWx]

The 12z GFS is subtly stronger with the shortwave (which is just coming ashore east of PANC), than the 00z Euro. I wouldn't be surprised to see the 12z Euro make a little move in the direction of the GFS as a result

[WintersComing]

[Ginx snewx]

4 minutes ago, WxBlue said:

So salty.

He's the Sultan of Snark 

[Damage In Tolland]

All about that west Atlantic ridge 

[CoastalWx]

Just now, Ginx snewx said:

He's the Sultan of Snark 

Congrats WxBlue's former location. He screwed us.

[WxBlue]

5 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

 

 

We bait.  

 

1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said:

He's the Sultan of Snark 

I got whoosh'd. 

But it'd be my luck if NC see snow before we do. Hopefully trends improve later on.

[Ginx snewx]

Just now, CoastalWx said:

Congrats WxBlue's former location. He screwed us.

Lol true blue

[dryslot]

2 minutes ago, WxBlue said:

 

I got whoosh'd. 

But it'd be my luck if NC see snow before we do. Hopefully trends improve later on.

We always look for somebody to blame, Last year it was eyewall, You may be him this year....................

[CoastalWx]

We kid WxBlue. You'll see that it's a good group of peeps here. We know each other well.

  In other news, lower heights over the Plains with that s/w OceanSt alluded too. Definitely something we want. 

[WxBlue]

6 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Congrats WxBlue's former location. He screwed us.

 

4 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

Lol true blue

 

2 minutes ago, dryslot said:

We always look for somebody to blame, Last year it was eyewall, You may be him this year....................

I apologize in advance if we end up struggling this winter. Might be my fault for bringing in the bad mojo to the north 

[WxBlue]

1 minute ago, CoastalWx said:

We kid WxBlue. You'll see that it's a good group of peeps here. We know each other well.

  In other news, lower heights over the Plains with that s/w OceanSt alluded too. Definitely something we want. 

Haha I know  

Anyway, Euro should be coming up soon. Should be fun tracking while enjoying a nice lunch.

[HoarfrostHubb]

I’m blaming the Western New England Magma Bubble