December 9, 2017 - Storm Discussion (Breaking the seal on the season for many)

[weathafella]

Meanwhile so far Reggie is pretty close To 18z

[CoastalWx]

Reggie didn't jump to much. Cut back just a bit, but looks reasonable. 

[Greg]

6 minutes ago, weathafella said:

Meanwhile so far Reggie is pretty close To 18z

Hey Weatherfella, long time no see.  This was mostly an east central / eastern mass storm.  I think here we will be fine if not a little bit better due to slightly colder conditions.  Sold warning even coming so far.

[40/70 Benchmark]

Final Call is out.

No surprises.

http://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2017/12/final-call-129-seasons-first-snowfall.html

[Greg]

1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Final Call is out.

No surprises.

http://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2017/12/final-call-129-seasons-first-snowfall.html

Looks good Ray.  Similar thinking here.  Someone might pull off a 9" in a place or two where you have your JP located on your map.

[weathafella]

5 minutes ago, Greg said:

Hey Weatherfella, long time no see.  This was mostly an east central / eastern mass storm.  I think here we will be fine if not a little bit better due to slightly colder conditions.  Sold warning even coming so far.

We’re good I think.  Welcome back for winter!

[DomNH]

4 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Final Call is out.

No surprises.

http://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2017/12/final-call-129-seasons-first-snowfall.html

Good call. I agree that this is a pretty boring uniform 4-8 across central and eastern SNE. Only somewhat exciting because it's the first of the year. 

[weathafella]

8 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Final Call is out.

No surprises.

http://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2017/12/final-call-129-seasons-first-snowfall.html

I’m in your jack zone.  Hopefully you’re right.  As usual no matter what well  done.

[Greg]

2 minutes ago, weathafella said:

We’re good I think.  Welcome back for winter!

Thank you.  Glad to be here with the gang.

[Typhoon Tip]

Everyone needs to just relax ... this wasn't even sposed to bust until later tomorrow

[SouthCoastMA]

The RGEM looks good. It still shows the max along Rt24 w/the coastal front , but also has it extending down towards 140.

Thinking 3-5" here

 

 

[Sugarloaf1989]

33 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said:

We have always been the W edge of anything good out here.  You should still be good for 3-5" but as you alluded to, always beware the baking powder back here in this set-up.   2-3" totals are certainly very possible for everyone W of the CT River if the dynamics are less than advertised.  Still better than bare ground. 

But, but, but DIT says WSW and 6-10" of snow to the CT River and 3-6" to Albany. 

[78Blizzard]

Big cutback on GFS.

[weathafella]

1 minute ago, 78Blizzard said:

Big cutback on GFS.

I know.  Everything seems the same bit qpf cut 50%.

[Greg]

10 minutes ago, Sugarloaf1989 said:

But, but, but DIT says WSW and 6-10" of snow to the CT River and 3-6" to Albany. 

Try 2-4" for Albany and 3-6" for the CT River. The potentional for the 4-8" would be further east of I91.

[STILL N OF PIKE]

1 minute ago, weathafella said:

I know.  Everything seems the same bit qpf cut 50%.

Joke

 

[butterfish55]

EVERYONE PANIC!!!!

[WinterWolf]

7 minutes ago, 78Blizzard said:

Big cutback on GFS.

Nice try..lol.

[40/70 Benchmark]

Not worried about QPF output from a second rate model at this point.

[WintersComing]

Going to return my bread and milk


.

[78Blizzard]

Just now, WinterWolf said:

Nice try..lol.

Check for yourself.

[Greg]

Looks more like an overrunning strung out swath.

[STILL N OF PIKE]

Just now, WinterWolf said:

Nice try..lol.

Def cut Back

 

[snowgeek]

Try 2-4" for Albany and 3-6" for the CT River. The potentional for the 4-8" would be further east of I91.

I went 1-3” here in Albany. Now I’m thinking closer to 1”. I can’t envision the precip making it too far west. Still looking forward to the wintry appeal.


.

[CT Rain]

Oof. Ugly 00z runs so far. 

[78Blizzard]

Just now, CT Rain said:

Oof. Ugly 00z runs so far. 

CMC thru hr 30 brings more qpf to the west and even more in E sections.  Looks like it's the Canadians vs the Americans.

[STILL N OF PIKE]

Kimbrell walks 2 to lead off the ninth

Models blowing chunks late

[dryslot]

Winter is over, It was a good run.

[78Blizzard]

1 minute ago, dryslot said:

Winter is over, It was a good run.

LOL.  Is this what our first meltdown is going to look like?

[HIPPYVALLEY]

2 minutes ago, dryslot said:

Winter is over, It was a good run.

I dunno' I feel like it never really got going this year.