December 9, 2017 - Storm Discussion (Breaking the seal on the season for many)

[snowdazed]

Darn it, I had plans for Saturday night. 

(It looks like Kent County may get pasted.  )

[dryslot]

Heaviest precip is going to fall in a short period of time as this is trucking right along but currier stuff will hang around for a bit.

[DomNH]

2 minutes ago, snowdazed said:

Darn it, I had plans for Saturday night. 

(It looks like Kent County may get pasted.  )

Yep, I have to get into Boston on Saturday. I hate when they come on weekends, but I guess all signs point to 4-8 at this point as much as I want this to pull a Jan '15 "peanut" low screwgie. 

[Sugarloaf1989]

17 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Would that be days and days of snows? As in more than 1 day?

Weeks and weeks as per usual.

[Ginx snewx]

Instability, CSI , banding ,Scott's right the C.F. is going to rip, would not be surprised to see a foot. Man that 2/5/16 analogy though

[Damage In Tolland]

15 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

lol.  Back to that.

Looks like a KTOLLA jack on the GFS for ya... best combo of moisture and temperatures there in CT/C.MA with mid-level banding to boot.

Despite having 2-4” since Monday while most here were thinking OTS.. we are gonna have to take em up to 4-7”. I think 5-6” will be common and whomever jacks locally will see 8”

[HIPPYVALLEY]

14 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

This gon keep coming nw. 

 Based on the trends of the past 24 hours you kind of get that feeling.  Bodes well for us W. NE  folks.

[ORH_wxman]

2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Despite having 2-4” since Monday while most here were thinking OTS.. we are gonna have to take em up to 4-7”. I think 5-6” will be common and whomever jacks locally will see 8”

I'm legitimately impressed you haven't started slamming 8-12" for everyone yet. You're showing reasonable restraint.

[HIPPYVALLEY]

Hate to ask but I am on mobile, what is the general model consensus for start time?   I have some stuff that definitely needs to get done Saturday morning.

[Damage In Tolland]

Just now, ORH_wxman said:

I'm legitimately impressed you haven't started slamming 8-12" for everyone yet. You're showing reasonable restraint.

I think some folks have me all wrong. I usually am very close on my storm snowfall numbers. I won’t go ballz deep unless I see a reason. I don’t see this one doing that. It’s moving too fast and duration of mod- heavy snows is too short 

[ORH_wxman]

2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

I think some folks have me all wrong. I usually am very close on my storm snowfall numbers. I won’t go ballz deep unless I see a reason. I don’t see this one doing that. It’s moving too fast and duration of mod- heavy snows is too short 

Ha...you don't have me convinced, but for this storm, I agree with you...it will be hard to get completely slammed with the speed. But it could still happen if all the ducks line up. It wouldn't shock me to see some double digit lollis in a few bands...but I'd want some better model consensus and also it would help if we can get an extra 2" out of the currier and ives hang-back snows to top it off.

[CoastalWx]

That stuff on Saturday looks rather bursty. The soundings start to steepen a bit near and below 700 to the surface. 

[WintersComing]

That stuff on Saturday looks rather bursty. The soundings start to steepen a bit near and below 700 to the surface. 

Any good reading soundings for dummy sites?


.

[Damage In Tolland]

3 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Ha...you don't have me convinced, but for this storm, I agree with you...it will be hard to get completely slammed with the speed. But it could still happen if all the ducks line up. It wouldn't shock me to see some double digit lollis in a few bands...but I'd want some better model consensus and also it would help if we can get an extra 2" out of the currier and ives hang-back snows to top it off.

Wow for you to go double weenies is impressive . 

Seens like one of those deals where you wake up Sunday AM and it’s still snowing and accumulating and you just feel overwhelmingly happy and don’t look at the radar so you have no idea when it will end 

[dendrite]

2 minutes ago, WintersComing said:

 

Any good reading soundings for dummy sites?


.

 

http://www.theweatherprediction.com/habyhints/

[WintersComing]

http://www.theweatherprediction.com/habyhints/

Ty


.

[CoastalWx]

Just now, WintersComing said:

Ty


.

On phone, but yeah haby hints are really good for those wanting to learn. 

[Damage In Tolland]

BOX likes 5-6”

[CoastalWx]

3 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Wow for you to go double weenies is impressive . 

Seens like one of those deals where you wake up Sunday AM and it’s still snowing and accumulating and you just feel overwhelmingly happy and don’t look at the radar so you have no idea when it will end 

If you get 15:1 fluff with the Currier it would not be a far fetch. But like Will said...gonna need some agreement. 

[ajisai]

Hello Harvey

[CoastalWx]

Looks like we will be ramping up for calls tomorrow at work. Airlines will panic from first snow.

[CoastalWx]

Just now, ajisai said:

Hello Harvey

He buying?

[weathafella]

1 minute ago, ajisai said:

Hello Harvey

What’s he say?

[CT Rain]

Thing is speeding up. 12z Euro and 18z GFS are pretty fast. 

[Damage In Tolland]

That’s a colossal Harvey bust from yesterday. I refrained from saying anything then but I don’t know how he could have forecast that . Tip needs to exchange an email with him.. find out what in the sam hell happened 

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

Working Sat and Sunday. How bad do we think travel is going to be? Don’t want to get mandated Saturday afternoon 

[weathafella]

11 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

That’s a colossal Harvey bust from yesterday. I refrained from saying anything then but I don’t know how he could have forecast that . Tip needs to exchange an email with him.. find out what in the sam hell happened 

I don’t think you just on a 3 day extended that gets corrected in time.

[Damage In Tolland]

2 minutes ago, weathafella said:

I don’t think you just on a 3 day extended that gets corrected in time.

Last night I thought he had light rain /snow mix in E Ma with nothing west?

[Hazey]

Congrats guys on the impending snow. I'll have to settle for a sloppy inch or two on the front end. This region is gonna have to wait out a couple of storms before the trough axis is far enough off shore for something meaty in my hood.

[weathafella]

Just now, Damage In Tolland said:

Last night I thought he had light rain /snow mix in E Ma with nothing west?

I didn’t watch but I thought I heard light event Boston and especially SE.  but it’s the 1-2 day forecast that counts OCMs.