December 9, 2017 - Storm Discussion (Breaking the seal on the season for many)

[Typhoon Tip]

figures the new NAM goes flat and misses ...

[JBinStoughton]

4 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

figures the new NAM goes flat and misses ...

Shouldn’t model consistency and accuracy go UP as you get closer to an event? Why are we still dealing with models that have diarrhea in this day and age lol. 

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

Tip is drinking early.

[Weatherexpert]

This is just one of those things you have to wait it out. You can only tell so much from right now it could go either way. But there's no much we can do other than check the ensembles and wait it out. I know Vermont will get hit hard

[MarkO]

6 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

figures the new NAM goes flat and misses ...

???

Southern stream looks a little more robust to me, nothing seems different about northern stream. I think it's going to be an improvement.

[weathafella]

Tip baited all of you Fools.

[dryslot]

2 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Tip is drinking early.

Yeah, I don't see it whiffing, I actually see it being west again.

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

Just now, weathafella said:

Tip baited all of you Fools.

Was so obvious. 

[dryslot]

2 minutes ago, weathafella said:

Tip baited all of you Fools.

He is playing with some of these posters fragile minds.

[WintersComing]

11 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

figures the new NAM goes flat and misses ...

I can hear the smashing of the keyboards

[Bostonseminole]

Tip.. lol.. NAM looks better at 39

[WintersComing]

Southern piece looks a bit better organized/stronger earlier on

 

[STILL N OF PIKE]

13 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

figures the new NAM goes flat and misses ...

Classic

[WintersComing]

Also looks like it closes off a lp over the FL panhandle

 

[dryslot]

That s/w down south is loaded.

[ORH_wxman]

Wow, Tip trolled a lot of you...still shaking off the preseason rust apparently.

 

NAM def looks west through 42. Upper air is sharper and RH field west.

[dryslot]

Just now, STILL N OF PIKE said:

Is N Stream digging

Sure is.

[WintersComing]

Just now, STILL N OF PIKE said:

Is N Stream digging

Yes seems a bit more so at 48hr

[Damage In Tolland]

Nam looks like it’s going to be its blow load run with 8-12 for SNE. This will be the one 

[MarkO]

bastard! But in my defense, wasn't it Tip who got the models before they appeared on the NOAA NCEP website?

 

Southern stream looks a bit slower, more phasing with the northern

[STILL N OF PIKE]

Kev,  lollis to ?

[Johnno]

2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Wow, Tip trolled a lot of you...still shaking off the preseason rust apparently.

 

NAM def looks west through 42. Upper air is sharper and RH field west.

Like clock work lol

[Bostonseminole]

seems slower also?

[Typhoon Tip]

4 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Wow, Tip trolled a lot of you...still shaking off the preseason rust apparently.

 

NAM def looks west through 42. Upper air is sharper and RH field west.

ah hahahaha ..

 

sorry ... we all gotta have our fun sometimes...      

[J Paul Gordon]

9 minutes ago, dryslot said:

He is playing with some of these posters fragile minds.

Moved to the "naughty" list.

[dryslot]

Just now, STILL N OF PIKE said:

Is N Stream digging

Sure is.

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

rgem still stuck on hr12.

[CoastalWx]

NAM is amped. Even gives me pytpe issues.

[ORH_wxman]

Def slower....but west too.

[dryslot]

1 minute ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

rgem still stuck on hr12.

The 12z RGEM extended was a big hit