December 9, 2017 - Storm Discussion (Breaking the seal on the season for many)

[CoastalWx]

Just now, HoarfrostHubb said:

Should eastern peeps start to get shook?

It's close for this area. I think as is, it's fine. 

[dryslot]

.25-.75"+ qpf from west to east this run, We take!

[WxBlue]

Seacoast NH/Maine is still nearly all snow on Euro. The angle of how the storm is moving through should help us with that.

[ORH_wxman]

1 minute ago, CoastalWx said:

It's close for this area. I think as is, it's fine. 

man snow

[weathafella]

3-6?

[CoastalWx]

Just now, ORH_wxman said:

man snow

Yeah 925 is fairly cold. As long as winds stay north, should be ok.

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

Hike up totals and take off clothes. 

[ORH_wxman]

Just now, CoastalWx said:

Yeah 925 is fairly cold. As long as winds stay north, should be ok.

Yeah sfc to 925 lapse rates very steep...plenty cold there.

[MarkO]

Can anyone state/post qpf for the qpf queens?

[dryslot]

That was a good run from both a northern and southern s/w view.

[OceanStWx]

12 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said:

I wonder if BOX will make major changes for 4PM

 

11 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

They will have to.

You can see the chatter internally starting to pick up though. The pace definitely picks up when something is on the horizon.

[Hoth]

4 minutes ago, WxBlue said:

Seacoast NH/Maine is still nearly all snow on Euro. The angle of how the storm is moving through should help us with that.

Is this your first snow event of the winter? 

[OceanStWx]

8 minutes ago, wxsniss said:

Lots has been said about RAOBs reading northern stream energy over Inuvik etc... but to my eyes, major changes in how southern stream energy is depicted may be at least as important... that southern VM down by Texas is significantly more intense and slightly more tilted 12z vs. 0z at 36h 

Mainly because that's where the ensemble sensitivity was arising from. 

From here on out, the southern stream may be as or more important, but we had to get that northern stream on our side first.

[powderfreak]

7 minutes ago, dryslot said:

.25-.75"+ qpf from west to east this run, We take!

I'll eat a hat if we get 0.25" QPF.

[WxBlue]

1 minute ago, Hoth said:

Is this your first snow event of the winter? 

First one to be measurable. 

We had a brief round of flurries mix with rain and woke up to graupels on the ground once.

[weathafella]

1 minute ago, WintersComing said:

 

Yesterday’s 

[dryslot]

1 minute ago, powderfreak said:

I'll eat a hat if we get 0.25" QPF.

How about a .10"?

[OceanStWx]

1 minute ago, powderfreak said:

I'll eat a hat if we get 0.25" QPF.

Start high and adjust higher if needed?

[MarkO]

phew.... was going to say...

[dryslot]

Just now, weathafella said:

Yesterday’s 

I looked at that and said WTF? lol

[WintersComing]

[WintersComing]

Ya sorry my bad lol

 

[wxsniss]

0C 850 maximum extent is parallel to and just past the canal Sat evening

[Hoth]

3 minutes ago, WxBlue said:

First one to be measurable. 

We had a brief round of flurries mix with rain and woke up to graupels on the ground once.

Nice. Enjoy!

[WintersComing]

[Baroclinic Zone]

5 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Yeah 925 is fairly cold. As long as winds stay north, should be ok.

 

4 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Yeah sfc to 925 lapse rates very steep...plenty cold there.

925mb at it's warmest.

[WxBlue]

1 minute ago, Hoth said:

Nice. Enjoy!

Thanks! Should be best snow since January 2016 storm in western NC for me personally. Been a long time coming!

[JBinStoughton]

3 minutes ago, WintersComing said:

Ya sorry my bad lol

 

A likely story lol

[correnjim1]

4-6?

[OceanStWx]

2 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said:

 

925mb at it's warmest.

Ain't happening for James.