December 9, 2017 - Storm Discussion (Breaking the seal on the season for many)

[USCAPEWEATHERAF]

This time tomorrow afternoon we will be getting the arctic shortwave in better sampling, over northern Canada

[CoastalWx]

The models were fairly chilly at 925 and under, so nrly flow would help just NW of canal. 

Ukie seems like it got into Ron Washington's stash. I don't buy it, but it tells me we have room to move west. I know Will said this, but 2/5/16 keeps entering my mind lol. Srn s/w's and bath water can do things. 

[forkyfork]

  On 12/6/2017 at 8:10 PM, CoastalWx said:

The models were fairly chilly at 925 and under, so nrly flow would help just NW of canal. 

Ukie seems like it got into Ron Washington's stash. I don't buy it, but it tells me we have room to move west. I know Will said this, but 2/5/16 keeps entering my mind lol. Srn s/w's and bath water can do things. 

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that storm came well west inside 48 hours

[USCAPEWEATHERAF]

The surface low over the western GOM is roughly a hundred miles ENE of Brownsville, TX

[Damage In Tolland]

  On 12/6/2017 at 8:10 PM, CoastalWx said:

The models were fairly chilly at 925 and under, so nrly flow would help just NW of canal. 

Ukie seems like it got into Ron Washington's stash. I don't buy it, but it tells me we have room to move west. I know Will said this, but 2/5/16 keeps entering my mind lol. Srn s/w's and bath water can do things. 

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[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

  On 12/6/2017 at 8:10 PM, CoastalWx said:

The models were fairly chilly at 925 and under, so nrly flow would help just NW of canal. 

Ukie seems like it got into Ron Washington's stash. I don't buy it, but it tells me we have room to move west. I know Will said this, but 2/5/16 keeps entering my mind lol. Srn s/w's and bath water can do things. 

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That was a good move inside 48hrs. 

[Damage In Tolland]

Slamma Jamma

 

[HIPPYVALLEY]

  On 12/6/2017 at 8:17 PM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

That was a good move inside 48hrs. 

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 Of course we have also seen plenty of moves inside 48 hours in the wrong direction. 

[Ericjcrash]

NAM is ugly. 

[JBinStoughton]

  On 12/6/2017 at 8:41 PM, Ericjcrash said:

NAM is ugly. 

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Here we go

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

  On 12/6/2017 at 8:40 PM, HIPPYVALLEY said:

 Of course we have also seen plenty of moves inside 48 hours in the wrong direction. 

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The wear and tear of this profession. 

[HIPPYVALLEY]

  On 12/6/2017 at 8:41 PM, Ericjcrash said:

NAM is ugly. 

 

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Not if you have yard work to finish.

[Ericjcrash]

  On 12/6/2017 at 8:44 PM, JBinStoughton said:

Here we go

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There goes the storm . 

[ORH_wxman]

Good ol' NAM....if you don't like the solution, just wait 6 hours.

[USCAPEWEATHERAF]

NAM won't have a handle on the storm until 6 hours into the precip shield, calm down

[Ginx snewx]

  On 12/6/2017 at 8:40 PM, HIPPYVALLEY said:

 Of course we have also seen plenty of moves inside 48 hours in the wrong direction. 

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See my post in the banter thread, same sh it different winter

[Ericjcrash]

  On 12/6/2017 at 8:48 PM, USCAPEWEATHERAF said:

NAM won't have a handle on the storm until 6 hours into the precip shield, calm down

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Except when it has a favorable run.

[USCAPEWEATHERAF]

  On 12/6/2017 at 8:49 PM, Ericjcrash said:

Except when it has a favorable run.

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Even then

[78Blizzard]

We toss.

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

  On 12/6/2017 at 8:48 PM, USCAPEWEATHERAF said:

NAM won't have a handle on the storm until 6 hours into the precip shield, calm down

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Oh weenie, you’re predictable.

[dryslot]

  On 12/6/2017 at 8:46 PM, ORH_wxman said:

Good ol' NAM....if you don't like the solution, just wait 6 hours.

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Nah, Its over, It may never snow again.

[USCAPEWEATHERAF]

  On 12/6/2017 at 8:50 PM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Oh weenie, you’re predictable.

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That isn't always a bad thing 

[Ericjcrash]

Congrats Gulfport and Norfolk. This is looking bleak, after that UK run I'm surprised.

[weathafella]

  On 12/6/2017 at 8:56 PM, Ericjcrash said:

Congrats Gulfport and Norfolk. This is looking bleak, after that UK run I'm surprised.

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Tag him

[78Blizzard]

  On 12/6/2017 at 8:56 PM, Ericjcrash said:

Congrats Gulfport and Norfolk. This is looking bleak, after that UK run I'm surprised.

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Your mistake is putting your faith in the NAM.

[Ericjcrash]

  On 12/6/2017 at 8:59 PM, 78Blizzard said:

Your mistake is putting your faith in the NAM.

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Lol but it's ok to hug it when snowy. Ok.

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

Hopefully we didn’t do an over correct west only to slink back the other way 

[West Point, NY]

  On 12/6/2017 at 8:45 PM, Ericjcrash said:

There goes the storm . 

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Dude. You predicted 6.5" for NYC 4hrs ago? 

[CoastalWx]

Ericjcrashandburn

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

  On 12/6/2017 at 9:11 PM, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

Hopefully we didn’t do an over correct west only to slink back the other way 

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We may have, so next few runs are critical. Nam leading the way, we worry.