WintersComing Posted December 7, 2017 Share Posted December 7, 2017 Holy NAM Whammy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 7, 2017 Share Posted December 7, 2017 On 12/7/2017 at 2:46 PM, STILL N OF PIKE said: Everything but euro went east at 0z Expand Exactly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 7, 2017 Share Posted December 7, 2017 On 12/7/2017 at 2:46 PM, Spanks45 said: Lol, if the NAM is right it starts snowing here 15z Sat and ends around 9z Sunday. Expand Festive saturday. Get the grill ready out back and thaw out the . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 7, 2017 Share Posted December 7, 2017 On 12/7/2017 at 2:46 PM, Spanks45 said: Lol, if the NAM is right it starts snowing here 15z Sat and ends around 9z Sunday. Expand Days and days? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 7, 2017 Share Posted December 7, 2017 Snowy NAM. Dynamics snuff BL issues for BOS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 7, 2017 Share Posted December 7, 2017 On 12/7/2017 at 2:46 PM, STILL N OF PIKE said: Everything but euro went east at 0z Expand Eps /Gefs didn’t Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheCloser24 Posted December 7, 2017 Share Posted December 7, 2017 12Z NAM is a widespread 3"-6" of snow across SNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 7, 2017 Share Posted December 7, 2017 I have my friends 74th bday dinner in natick Saturday night. I told him yesterday it may snow. When he asked for details I told him I won’t know till Friday..lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 7, 2017 Share Posted December 7, 2017 Reggie? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted December 7, 2017 Share Posted December 7, 2017 On 12/7/2017 at 2:50 PM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Festive saturday. Get the grill ready out back and thaw out the . Expand My 6 yr old said to me this morning, can we go sledding on Saturday? I gave her that look, she goes... you said it was going snow a few days ago (I mentioned possible flakes and she took it as sled time), so hopefully we can at least pull off a coating. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 7, 2017 Share Posted December 7, 2017 On 12/7/2017 at 2:55 PM, weathafella said: Reggie? Expand Just coming out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 7, 2017 Share Posted December 7, 2017 i think the 00z Euro being 'a little' more optimistic for Holiday festivity confetti (though nothing major by any stretch) was telling for me anyway. the GFS has just been toxic to event level kinematics ever since it was challenged with the responsibility to churn out weather charts in this pattern coming in.. it's played right into the too much gradient/velocity saturation argument rather beautifully ...if perhaps too liberally? We'll see.. I think this Euro run will be telling because if it is stablized against that 00z look ... it's probably a safe bet given that particular model's skill. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted December 7, 2017 Share Posted December 7, 2017 Anecdotal but I don't like the double-barreled "peanut" low setup. Always seems to lead to some funky dynamics. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 7, 2017 Share Posted December 7, 2017 More like waves moving along the boundary look, Pretty strung out overall Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted December 7, 2017 Share Posted December 7, 2017 Looking like we want to root for sharpening the downstream side of the ridge today. Give the shortwave a little more room to dig. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 7, 2017 Share Posted December 7, 2017 On 12/7/2017 at 2:56 PM, Spanks45 said: My 6 yr old said to me this morning, can we go sledding on Saturday? I gave her that look, she goes... you said it was going snow a few days ago (I mentioned possible flakes and she took it as sled time), so hopefully we can at least pull off a coating. Expand No different then when the vets here say “chance of something” and we lock it in. But yea, don’t dissapoint the kid. Need another tug nw by euro/uk. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted December 7, 2017 Share Posted December 7, 2017 The fuzzy clustering western members are fairly well dominated by the EPS. NCEP and CMC are generally at or east of the the combined mean. But those western members show that a deeper trof, especially through the Southeast, and a trof axis further west is good for us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted December 7, 2017 Share Posted December 7, 2017 On 12/7/2017 at 2:53 PM, Damage In Tolland said: Days and days? Expand Weeks and weeks On 12/7/2017 at 2:53 PM, weathafella said: Snowy NAM. Dynamics snuff BL issues for BOS. Expand Lemme know When HARVEY Is Bullish Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 7, 2017 Share Posted December 7, 2017 On 12/7/2017 at 3:05 PM, STILL N OF PIKE said: Lemme know When HARVEY Is Bullish Expand Probably tonight presuming other guidance follows the soon to be buried but not mourned nor missed NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 7, 2017 Share Posted December 7, 2017 On 12/7/2017 at 2:54 PM, Damage In Tolland said: Eps /Gefs didn’t Expand We knew this wasn't dead. Kicking myself going 2-4" on first guess in se MA last night, and not 2-5". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 7, 2017 Share Posted December 7, 2017 The soundings are rather cool even at BOS. Plus, srfc winds back to N-NNW. That's fine for Logan. lower elevations may take a little time to accumulate, but they will wetbulb to 30-32 overnight..maybe a tick or two lower. Looks like a man paste for the lower elevations. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 7, 2017 Share Posted December 7, 2017 On 12/7/2017 at 3:09 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: We knew this wasn't dead. Kicking myself going 2-4" on first guess in se MA last night, and not 2-5". Expand I’ve had 2-4” since Monday. I’m sticking with that, but am wondering if that may be a bit too low . 12z runs should help Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 7, 2017 Share Posted December 7, 2017 On 12/7/2017 at 3:04 PM, OceanStWx said: The fuzzy clustering western members are fairly well dominated by the EPS. NCEP and CMC are generally at or east of the the combined mean. But those western members show that a deeper trof, especially through the Southeast, and a trof axis further west is good for us. Expand it's definitely better if the "smear" direction is west in this case. we may also want to look at whether there is a convective explosion in the 12 hour prior to the whatever slips NE of the MA baroclinically, because as we know ..that latent heat flux may not asses into the heights east of the EC quite perfectly ... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 7, 2017 Share Posted December 7, 2017 On 12/7/2017 at 3:11 PM, Damage In Tolland said: I’ve had 2-4” since Monday. I’m sticking with that, but am wondering if that may be a bit too low . 12z runs should help Expand This has looked better than next week's threat to me for a day or two...dont be shocked to see this ramp up more....that trough is impressive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxBlue Posted December 7, 2017 Share Posted December 7, 2017 Figured the west shift was going to happen sooner than later knowing the east coast climatology, but that's quite a big jump from yesterday's runs. Even took me by a surprise. Look like it's time to start satellite watching to track that trough swinging through southern states. Too bad GOES 16 is currently down for re-positioning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersComing Posted December 7, 2017 Share Posted December 7, 2017 On 12/7/2017 at 2:56 PM, dryslot said: Just coming out Expand Reggie? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 7, 2017 Share Posted December 7, 2017 On 12/7/2017 at 3:17 PM, WintersComing said: Reggie? Expand Usually out at 9:50, Has not even INI, Those dam canadiens lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersComing Posted December 7, 2017 Share Posted December 7, 2017 On 12/7/2017 at 3:19 PM, dryslot said: Usually out at 9:50, Has not even INI, Those dam canadiens lol Expand Oh the CMC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 7, 2017 Share Posted December 7, 2017 On 12/7/2017 at 3:20 PM, WintersComing said: Oh the CMC Expand Yes RDPS/RGEM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 7, 2017 Share Posted December 7, 2017 The weenies crashed Reggie. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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