Ericjcrash Posted December 6, 2017 Share Posted December 6, 2017 On 12/6/2017 at 9:11 PM, West Mtn NY said: Dude. You predicted 6.5" for NYC 4hrs ago? Expand Yeah, that was post UK, I would've bet good money the Euro would'v been significantly better and the NAM would hold serve. It's now even worse off than the GFS. More likely 6 flakes. I was wrong for buying the UKs idea. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 6, 2017 Share Posted December 6, 2017 Well someone has to get the first weenie tag every season....just sayin' Lets make good posts in here. This is a storm thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted December 6, 2017 Share Posted December 6, 2017 On 12/6/2017 at 9:15 PM, CoastalWx said: Ericjcrashandburn Expand Well done. Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted December 6, 2017 Share Posted December 6, 2017 On 12/6/2017 at 8:56 PM, Ericjcrash said: Congrats Gulfport and Norfolk. This is looking bleak, after that UK run I'm surprised. Expand Hmm...in DC this weekend. Wondering if I should make a little road trip... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 6, 2017 Share Posted December 6, 2017 Not buying NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 6, 2017 Share Posted December 6, 2017 On 12/6/2017 at 9:18 PM, ORH_wxman said: Well someone has to get the first weenie tag every season....just sayin' Lets make good posts in here. This is a storm thread. Expand He needs a breather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 6, 2017 Share Posted December 6, 2017 On 12/6/2017 at 9:24 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: Not buying NAM Expand Like ever... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 6, 2017 Share Posted December 6, 2017 On 12/6/2017 at 9:25 PM, HoarfrostHubb said: Like ever... Expand Yup. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted December 6, 2017 Share Posted December 6, 2017 On 12/6/2017 at 9:24 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: Not buying NAM Expand What do you think is most likely? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 6, 2017 Share Posted December 6, 2017 On 12/6/2017 at 9:18 PM, Ericjcrash said: Well done. Lol Expand In all honesty, the NAM is so unstable. I really don't weigh this much whether it came west 50 miles or east 50 miles. We'll see what the 18zgfs does. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 6, 2017 Share Posted December 6, 2017 On 12/6/2017 at 9:26 PM, Ericjcrash said: What do you think is most likely? Expand Like I've said, I'd be suprised if at least e NE didn't score measurable and maybe advisory levels snows this wknd considering the magnitude of that trough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 6, 2017 Share Posted December 6, 2017 Just a reminder Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 6, 2017 Share Posted December 6, 2017 On 12/6/2017 at 9:28 PM, HoarfrostHubb said: Just a reminder Expand And the DGEX is in a cage defacting in the corner.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 6, 2017 Share Posted December 6, 2017 On 12/6/2017 at 9:26 PM, CoastalWx said: In all honesty, the NAM is so unstable. I really don't weigh this much whether it came west 50 miles or east 50 miles. We'll see what the 18zgfs does. Expand And given how bad it has been we wait till 0z. I think 0z tomorrow night seals the deal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted December 6, 2017 Share Posted December 6, 2017 On 12/6/2017 at 9:26 PM, CoastalWx said: In all honesty, the NAM is so unstable. I really don't weigh this much whether it came west 50 miles or east 50 miles. We'll see what the 18zgfs does. Expand You're going to miss it when it's gone. But I really don't know what fundamentally about it causes this firehose effect at the end of the run. I mean it's a similar resolution to the Euro, and the Euro doesn't get that wild at day 7. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 6, 2017 Share Posted December 6, 2017 On 12/6/2017 at 9:34 PM, OceanStWx said: You're going to miss it when it's gone. But I really don't know what fundamentally about it causes this firehose effect at the end of the run. I mean it's a similar resolution to the Euro, and the Euro doesn't get that wild at day 7. Expand Being nonhydrostatic? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted December 6, 2017 Share Posted December 6, 2017 Gfs looks flat Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 6, 2017 Share Posted December 6, 2017 Late tug back to the NW on the 18z GFS, Looks like it came west a tic or two from 12z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted December 6, 2017 Share Posted December 6, 2017 On 12/6/2017 at 9:48 PM, dryslot said: Late tug back to the NW on the 18z GFS, Looks like it came west a tic or two from 12z Expand It did but not by much... Still pretty flat Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 6, 2017 Share Posted December 6, 2017 On 12/6/2017 at 9:48 PM, dryslot said: Late tug back to the NW on the 18z GFS, Looks like it came west a tic or two from 12z Expand Not surprising. GFS has won the late to the party award 15 years running. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 6, 2017 Share Posted December 6, 2017 On 12/6/2017 at 9:49 PM, ineedsnow said: It did but not by much... Still pretty flat Expand That what a tic or two means, If it looked like the Ukie that would have been a sizeable shift..............lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted December 6, 2017 Share Posted December 6, 2017 On 12/6/2017 at 9:35 PM, CT Rain said: Being nonhydrostatic? Expand Probably. It'll be interesting to see the parallel NGGPS sometime in the next 1-1.5 years. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 6, 2017 Share Posted December 6, 2017 That was a better look for sure. Not that you expect a jump in 6 hrs, but compare the look from hr 66-72 vs hr 72-78 at 12z. A better look overall of the low from better H5 consolidation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 6, 2017 Share Posted December 6, 2017 Baby steps, Still plenty of time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 6, 2017 Share Posted December 6, 2017 Yeah better than 12z, but 12z was pretty awful...veyr far SE, so not a surprise it came back a bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted December 6, 2017 Share Posted December 6, 2017 On 12/6/2017 at 10:00 PM, CoastalWx said: That was a better look for sure. Not that you expect a jump in 6 hrs, but compare the look from hr 66-72 vs hr 72-78 at 12z. A better look overall of the low from better H5 consolidation. Expand Yeah HR 66 h5 is considerably better than 12z just gets together too late. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 6, 2017 Share Posted December 6, 2017 Also, anyone who is H5 savvy, checkout what happens to the vort in SW Quebec from hr 66 at 12z to hr 60 at 18z. LOL...WTF is the GFS doing with that? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersComing Posted December 6, 2017 Share Posted December 6, 2017 On 12/6/2017 at 10:11 PM, CoastalWx said: Also, anyone who is H5 savvy, checkout what happens to the vort in SW Quebec from hr 66 at 12z to hr 60 at 18z. LOL...WTF is the GFS doing with that?Looked like a huge jump east?. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersComing Posted December 6, 2017 Share Posted December 6, 2017 Looks like it’s digging hard SE but then pops well NE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 6, 2017 Share Posted December 6, 2017 On 12/6/2017 at 10:13 PM, WintersComing said: Looked like a huge jump east? . Expand It went 300 miles to the northeast lol. If you compare the panels for the same time (06z Saturday). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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