Turner Team Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 6 minutes ago, Buddy1987 said: We are effed up this way. Dry air for the win! Ugh We are for now.... Looking good for later on tonight though. I think its going to be a situation where there is a very sharp cutoff somewhere just north of 81 though. There definitely should be a wide range of accumulations across the valley though. I wouldn't be surprised at all to see the Bent Mountain or Clearbrook areas get 5 or 6 inches out of this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDeac Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 1 minute ago, strongwxnc said: http://weather.cod.edu/satrad/nexrad/index.php?type=GSP-N0C-1-24 Thanks. That line is definitely moving NW. Might be time to punt for the CLT metro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 1 minute ago, Turner Team said: We are for now.... Looking good for later on tonight though. I think its going to be a situation where there is a very sharp cutoff somewhere just north of 81 though. There definitely should be a wide range of accumulations across the valley though. I wouldn't be surprised at all to see the Bent Mountain or Clearbrook areas get 5 or 6 inches out of this. Good thing is I am closer to that way. Im off exit 137 on 81 if you are familiar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 HRRR looks yummy for my area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Turner Team Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 1 minute ago, Buddy1987 said: Good thing is I am closer to that way. Im off exit 137 on 81 if you are familiar. Yeah you're definitely in a good spot too. I'm in Cave Spring right behind Cave Spring Middle. Seems like we always do better than other parts on the valley in this type of setup. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 You can see on the CC radar a surge of warmth as the snow vs other line races up to I-85 in the upstate and NE from there to Mooresville area. Basically, the atmosphere can feel Mack's warmth coming up from Columbia Looking at the HRRR, it does show this surging warm nose (not to be mistaken with the pre-storm warm bubble) and it hangs in the upstate to CLT corridor until overnight into sunrise unfortunately The benefactor of this surge will be those just to the north of it who are cold enough for snow, maybe Hickory to Morganton to Winston 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lilj4425 Posted December 8, 2017 Author Share Posted December 8, 2017 I thought the HRRR showed snow here. Did I miss something? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bargainmusic Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 Weather Channel now saying 5-8" of snow tonight in Winston-Salem. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tar Heel Snow Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 sleet pellets mixing back in, as well as what appears to be rain. Oi. I sense a bad trend coming. Right after some big flakes were returning and looking like they wanted to stick. Temps finally cooperating down here, guess not up above. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthernUpstateSC Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 1 hour ago, lilj4425 said: I remember when CJ got ridiculed for busting badly when he predicted too much snow. I don’t blame him for being conservative after that. My daughter said that chris justice actually got a death threat 2 years ago from someone on facebook when they were forecasting a big storm and we got nothing close to what they were forecasting. Pretty sad to say the least.... I think he does a good job in a really tough area to forecast winter weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
calculus1 Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 I can't seem to get under freezing. Sitting at 32.6 over 31. Just need another degree to hold it off from melting whenever the rates let up. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 5 minutes ago, lilj4425 said: I thought the HRRR showed snow here. Did I miss something? It did, only gives you 4.4" on that run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lilj4425 Posted December 8, 2017 Author Share Posted December 8, 2017 Just now, mackerel_sky said: It did, only gives you 4.4" on that run Well, hopefully it changes back over then tonight otherwise it won’t be 4.4 inches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mello Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 Woo, back over to snow here. Massive flakes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDeac Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 For those already warm nosed, I think the only shot at any accumulations will be the backside/deform band snow that is being depicted currently by all of the short term models. Hopefully can paint a wide swath of an inch or two. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
calculus1 Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 This is a beautiful picture of what could come in the next 12 hours (?!?!) from the latest RGEM. That's a crazy tight gradient here though: 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jet Stream Rider Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 Yeah, that backside on this one really seems to be persistent. Still some snow in LA, MS, and AL at this hour. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 I can't seem to get under freezing. Sitting at 32.6 over 31. Just need another degree to hold it off from melting whenever the rates let up. Same here. Trees are melting now where 1 hour ago was not. Need some banding that should lower the temp .. wind is also picking up . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 7 minutes ago, calculus1 said: This is a beautiful picture of what could come in the next 12 hours (?!?!) from the latest RGEM. That's a crazy tight gradient here though: Book that ! It's awesome! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
No snow for you Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 9 minutes ago, calculus1 said: This is a beautiful picture of what could come in the next 12 hours (?!?!) from the latest RGEM. That's a crazy tight gradient here though: Maybe coma head coming through the upstate. If thunder snow happens I will pull a Jim Cantore Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
a5ehren Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 18 minutes ago, strongwxnc said: Same here. Trees are melting now where 1 hour ago was not. Need some banding that should lower the temp .. wind is also picking up . FWIW, this is the exact same pattern we had around ATL this afternoon. The snow will come back in a few hours. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheVille Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 26 minutes ago, calculus1 said: This is a beautiful picture of what could come in the next 12 hours (?!?!) from the latest RGEM. That's a crazy tight gradient here though: Woah Iredell County in the sweet spot Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tramadoc Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 I hate all of you with snow as I am drenched in my 39 degree rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PGAWx Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 Fishel was just on the radio and is still saying non-event for Wake county. Warm nose should take over this evening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
calculus1 Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 So, the just-released 20Z HRRR literally has snowfall over my backyard for all 18 frames. I'm not sure I've seen that before. https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=hrrr®ion=seus&pkg=ref_frzn&runtime=2017120820&fh=5&xpos=0&ypos=0 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 So, the just-released 20Z HRRR literally has snowfall over my backyard for all 18 frames. I'm not sure I've seen that before.https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=hrrr®ion=seus&pkg=ref_frzn&runtime=2017120820&fh=5&xpos=0&ypos=0Wow! . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DC2Winston Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 Is thundersnow out of the question somewhere in the Piedmont overnight? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PennyForYourThoughts Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 We are now under a winter weather advisory in the western fla panhandle. Escambia, Santa Rosa and okaloosa counties, just to show how far south this storm's reach is. 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
No snow for you Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 That HRRR is crazy. 18 more hours of snow for GSP 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PennyForYourThoughts Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 Saw this on another site. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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