mackerel_sky Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 Just now, lilj4425 said: I think I should be the one who creates these winter storm threads from now on. CJ updated forecast on FB , from an hour ago= hilarity!!! "New" map has 1-2" along 85 and dusting to south around FT Inn!! Lol wut??? Was busting before he could finish typing!! You know a lot of mets are praying for it to switch back to rain!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
odell.moton Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 So now that we are all getting good snows where do you all think the totals will end up at . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rowjimmy73 Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 starting to coat the ground, cars and rooftops here in KDAN Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 8 minutes ago, DopplerWx said: another inch or so on the back end for western nc and ga, what a great storm for you guys. I'd throw that right out because the 2m thermals are all off. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dereknel015 Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 23 minutes ago, BornAgain13 said: Kinda weird that DT is only saying about an inch or so for Richmond, but the weather channel says 8-12" lol I Agree...Role reversal lol. I was expecting to see higher totals for Richmond on his 1st call map. Hopefully he ups his amounts for Ric on his final call Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNC Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 1 minute ago, dereknel015 said: I Agree...Role reversal lol. I was expecting to see higher totals for Richmond on his 1st call map. Hopefully he ups his amounts for Ric on his final call DT's been wrong before too... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sarcean Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 Saw NWS upgraded to Winter Storm Warning for Greensboro/Winston 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sarcean Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 .NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/... As of 211 PM Friday... Upgrade to Winter Storm Warning for Forsyth... Guilford... Davidson... Randolph... Alamance... Orange... and Person Counties into Saturday afternoon... Based on satellite, radar, and observational data including heavy wet snow upstream from Jackson to Birmingham to much of western NC (locally already 5-8 inches)... we will upgrade our Northwest Piedmont to a Winter Storm Warning (2-4 inches of wet snow), some locally higher totals possible. The battle of the cold air (very marginal) with surface temperatures just above freezing, and warmer air aloft intruding into mainly eastern NC (or as far west as potentially Greensboro and Lexington this evening), with an initial warm ground have been greatly limiting snowfall accumulations thus far. However, as we lose insolation with nightfall, most guidance suggests snow will continue (very wet) through near sunset, with a potential lull in some areas early to mid evening, before increasing again later tonight. Storm totals of 2-4 slushy inches are possible with locally 5 inches just north of the urban areas of Winston- Salem to Greensboro, and around Roxboro. Roads should be wet to slushy, especially on bridges and overpasses. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lilj4425 Posted December 8, 2017 Author Share Posted December 8, 2017 7 minutes ago, mackerel_sky said: CJ updated forecast on FB , from an hour ago= hilarity!!! "New" map has 1-2" along 85 and dusting to south around FT Inn!! Lol wut??? Was busting before he could finish typing!! You know a lot of mets are praying for it to switch back to rain!! I remember when CJ got ridiculed for busting badly when he predicted too much snow. I don’t blame him for being conservative after that. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StoneColdWeatherAustin Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 I think I should be the one who creates these winter storm threads from now on. Indeed. I started one last year in early January, and a guy in Asheville bout lost his mind. We ended up with 6 inches. WooHoo!Sent from my SM-N950U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lilj4425 Posted December 8, 2017 Author Share Posted December 8, 2017 WSW for Greenville, Pickens, and Oconee Counties until noon Saturday. Isohume came through. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 WSW now in efect for Southside VA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 3 minutes ago, lilj4425 said: WSW for Greenville, Pickens, and Oconee Counties until noon Saturday. Isohume came through. Not just the mtns of SC?? What they saying about totals?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
odell.moton Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 I remember when CJ got ridiculed for busting badly when he predicted too much snow. I don’t blame him for being conservative after that. Yeah they hammered him mercilessly......if I were him I’d say sunny and 70 . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lilj4425 Posted December 8, 2017 Author Share Posted December 8, 2017 1 minute ago, mackerel_sky said: Not just the mtns of SC?? What they saying about totals?? Just the mtns. WWA for rest of Counties listed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoshM Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 2 minutes ago, mackerel_sky said: Not just the mtns of SC?? What they saying about totals?? GSP said up to 2 inches around I-85, hence the WWA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tarheel17 Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 Winter Weather Advisory for Charlotte/Mecklenburg county now. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WarmNose Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 23 minutes ago, mackerel_sky said: CJ updated forecast on FB , from an hour ago= hilarity!!! "New" map has 1-2" along 85 and dusting to south around FT Inn!! Lol wut??? Was busting before he could finish typing!! You know a lot of mets are praying for it to switch back to rain!! if a dusting south of 85 is what he's calling for, he better hope it stops within the next 5 minutes. I'm thinking 2-4 and maybe more than that. Just need the warm nose to stay away Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 GFS and Euro both roll comma head precip through NE GA into the western Carolinas in the overnight to late morning timeframe....should keep the snowy mood going in those regions. This makes sense given that the trough axis is still as far west as the Mississippi/Alabama border at 4AM. It won't fully clear out until that trough axis swings through. Accumulations will be more efficient once the sun goes down...it makes a difference. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tar Heel Snow Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 Allan Huffman on twitter just showed a map that looks like a thunderstorm could cause a gap in precipitation for a solid chunk of the NC piedmont tonight. What does that mean? Seems like the 18z NAM has it too? Not a met, so not sure how that works. Interesting, albeit sad phenomenon if it were to happen today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Poimen Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 using the Kuchera method, the 18Z NAM drops 6" in eastern Forsyth county. We'll see. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 4 minutes ago, Tar Heel Snow said: Allan Huffman on twitter just showed a map that looks like a thunderstorm could cause a gap in precipitation for a solid chunk of the NC piedmont tonight. What does that mean? Seems like the 18z NAM has it too? Not a met, so not sure how that works. Interesting, albeit sad phenomenon if it were to happen today. The 3km NAM has convective shower/thunderstorm cells rolling through SE GA into S SC, so the model is indicating that those storms could rob the moisture transport into central NC...we'll see 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tar Heel Snow Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 1 minute ago, griteater said: The 3km NAM has convective shower/thunderstorm cells rolling through SE GA into S SC, so the model is indicating that those storms could rob the moisture transport into central NC...we'll see Much appreciated 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 We are effed up this way. Dry air for the win! Ugh Edit: And then the gods heard me and the first flakes started to fly! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 29 minutes ago, JoshM said: GSP said up to 2 inches around I-85, hence the WWA I can see that busting pretty hard , if we keep this sleet/snow going! Gotta be a lot of dustings to 1" on grassy areas already all around Greenville Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lilj4425 Posted December 8, 2017 Author Share Posted December 8, 2017 Any word on when this sleet will change back over to snow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LovingGulfLows Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 The HRRR and NAM both are pretty aggressive with the backend snow tonight. Hope it verifies. I might actually get accumulating snow for the first time in almost 4 years. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDeac Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 Anyone have the correlation coefficient radar link? Would likely be very useful for some. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bargainmusic Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 13 minutes ago, Poimen said: using the Kuchera method, the 18Z NAM drops 6" in eastern Forsyth county. We'll see. I've been telling people coming in to my shop 5-7" of snow, and they're all laughing at me. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 1 minute ago, SnowDeac said: Anyone have the correlation coefficient radar link? Would likely be very useful for some. http://weather.cod.edu/satrad/nexrad/index.php?type=GSP-N0C-1-24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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