bargainmusic Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 Spitting something very light outside my home. It's just the beginning!! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
msuwx Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 The 925mb temperatures seem to be behaving very similarly to what the European model projected. Actual vs. model: 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEGa Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 22 minutes ago, Lookout said: I'm heading to gainesville in a little bit but the latest nam is unbelievably close to all snow even here...at least it suggests a sloppy mix of rain/sleet/snow..or even all snow if it's heavy enough...much of the day. Never ceases to amaze me how often it comes down to not just one degree here every time. Probably a good sign for much of NE Ga/upstate if i'm this close way down here. valid at 18z this afternoon Is it snowing in Gainesville? Just woke up to rain here lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lookout Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 2 minutes ago, NEGa said: Is it snowing in Gainesville? Just woke up to rain here lol. last observation was at 7:53...rain had just started there but temp is already 37...and it's snowing in dawson caounty. I imagine it will changeover within the next few minutes. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEGa Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 Ok thanks. Maybe it just started here. Took the dogs out and it’s wet but it’s sleeting here now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Poimen Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 The models seem to have overestimated qpf amounts in the NC piedmont this morning. Otherwise, they seem on track. It's always good to see that precip shield in MS/AL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 30 minutes ago, msuwx said: The 925mb temperatures seem to be behaving very similarly to what the European model projected. Actual vs. model: I need some more creeping off to the east here in Rutherford. However, been moving well west to east since 4 am. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FallsLake Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 The latest RAP is ever so colder for areas to the east. RDU is going to be on the line for some of the heaver amounts (...or should I say rates). 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 warm nose right now looks very similar to the hires nam and hrrr from last night. when you have both of them showing the snow line above you it is usually the kiss of death. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 5 minutes ago, DopplerWx said: warm nose right now looks very similar to the hires nam and hrrr from last night. when you have both of them showing the snow line above you it is usually the kiss of death. HRRR is looking better and better for Piedmont areas... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 also this should scare you if you have visions of clown maps dancing in your head, models may be underdoing the warm nose (imagine that) Jonathan Wall @_jwall RDU flight observed sounding vs SREF from last night. Notice shallow warm layer from 900-1000mb and the tiny warm nose just before 800mb. It’s as if it was trying to tell us something! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sarcean Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 4 minutes ago, DopplerWx said: also this should scare you if you have visions of clown maps dancing in your head, models may be underdoing the warm nose (imagine that) Jonathan Wall @_jwall RDU flight observed sounding vs SREF from last night. Notice shallow warm layer from 900-1000mb and the tiny warm nose just before 800mb. It’s as if it was trying to tell us something! To the surprise of no one who follows snow storms in our region. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 JB says GEFS crushes the Carolinas 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 RAP looks good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 9Z SREF just crushes WNC. Basically everyone west of 77 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaryWx Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 12 minutes ago, DopplerWx said: also this should scare you if you have visions of clown maps dancing in your head, models may be underdoing the warm nose (imagine that) Jonathan Wall @_jwall RDU flight observed sounding vs SREF from last night. Notice shallow warm layer from 900-1000mb and the tiny warm nose just before 800mb. It’s as if it was trying to tell us something! Forget all the maps, forecasting and projections. That is as true as it gets for my area. If that does not erode it's game cancel. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packfan98 Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 Anyone have a good dew point map link? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
odell.moton Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 JB says GEFS crushes the Carolinas Jb??. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rduwx Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 1 minute ago, odell.moton said: Jb?? . Joe Bastardi Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 The NAM is beautiful for WNC ... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lilj4425 Posted December 8, 2017 Author Share Posted December 8, 2017 9 minutes ago, Blue_Ridge_Escarpment said: 9Z SREF just crushes WNC. Basically everyone west of 77 4.90 inches here at GSP. Lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 14 minutes ago, mackerel_sky said: JB says GEFS crushes the Carolinas 1.5" qpf on the mean. Awesome Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 14 minutes ago, mackerel_sky said: JB says GEFS crushes the Carolinas Orange CRUSH Job!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 SREF now shows a Mean over 6" here in Danville. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
drfranklin Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 my wife reports some sleet near DT Greenville, SC (mods please move to obs) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 Classic 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
odell.moton Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 4.90 inches here at GSP. LolHow long will it rain before it changes over is the question . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Poimen Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 The NAM is a great run for the Triad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaryWx Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 Just now, Poimen said: The NAM is a great run for the Triad. Yep and pretty much a big boo/hiss for the two major metro areas of NC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packfan98 Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 2 minutes ago, Poimen said: The NAM is a great run for the Triad. No. It's much worse than 6z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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