Rhart Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 5 minutes ago, Touchet said: Just now starting to see actual dime size flakes mixing in. Temp is 33 degrees. Haven’t seen anything here’s yet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TellicoWx Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 lol...06z GFS increases totals across W NC and expands precip NW across E TN Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HKY_WX Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 I made it to hky last night for the wknd. like 6z runs a lot for imby. Pretty classic setup aloft for this area like I mentioned earlier in the week, so this shift was not surprising. Biggest hurdle will be boundary ayyer temps from 10am to about 5pm. Then I think most of what falls will lay. Mtns and n foothills will ne crushed. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
oconeexman Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 That warm meso at 925 is pretty "pronounced" in parts of the upstate up toward charlotte( as Mark has eluded to). But has retrograded pretty significantly in nw sc in the last hour. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Poimen Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 Latest 1" and 6" snowfall probabilities through 7am Saturday. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 Burrel, you seeing any snow yet? Do you think the upper level temps get right by this afternoon for most in the upstate or just mtns of the upstate Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 9 minutes ago, oconeexman said: That warm meso at 925 is pretty "pronounced" in parts of the upstate up toward charlotte( as Mark has eluded to). But has retrograded pretty significantly in nw sc in the last hour. 3 For us, this needs to be destroyed! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Regan Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 Well, despite the models last night, NWS is saying nada for Raleigh basically. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tar Heel Snow Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 2 minutes ago, Regan said: Well, despite the models last night, NWS is saying nada for Raleigh basically. Yeah, unfortunately these models have kept the cold air to the west, but what else is new? It was always a long shot, but I just hope to see flakes in the air with no rain at some point in the next 36 hours purely for the visual! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tar Heel Snow Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 NWS Raleigh: "555 am... Regional radar & observations show snow across many locations in the Southeast including those that typically do not receive snow such as coastal TX, LA, MS and AL. Anomalous weather upstream often precedes unusual weather here. Stay alert!" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lilj4425 Posted December 8, 2017 Author Share Posted December 8, 2017 Still 44 degrees. Not expecting anything here with that but rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Poimen Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 I still think the accumulating snow holds off in the Triad until tonight and early Saturday. Radar is not all that impressive over the area currently. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Regan Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 6 minutes ago, Tar Heel Snow said: Yeah, unfortunately these models have kept the cold air to the west, but what else is new? It was always a long shot, but I just hope to see flakes in the air with no rain at some point in the next 36 hours purely for the visual! I wasn’t holding much hope either. I just wanted to see something fall. They've made it feel hopeless. At least if we don’t get flakes, I wish it wasn’t too rainy. This killed yardwork for the weekend. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 About time to get HRRR 'd or RAP'd or something!? 6z GFS put my snow hole back Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andrew29649 Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 IMO the rain snow line on radar is progressing faster southeast in GA, AL, MS, LA, and TX. The whole gulf coast of TX is in SN and that's not something I would have expected based on previous forecast. It seems as heavier precip moves in, those areas are having no issues changing over to SN. Hopefully the RN/SN line continues this same progression as the precip and sunrise occur in SC and NC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 We now have a name for this monster: Winter Storm Benji! Thank you TWC! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burrel2 Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 53 minutes ago, mackerel_sky said: Burrel, you seeing any snow yet? Do you think the upper level temps get right by this afternoon for most in the upstate or just mtns of the upstate Upper level temps are fine for us for the duration of the event,(north if i-85). It all comes down to the boundary layer and how much we cool off at the surface Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LovingGulfLows Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 Pretty large dry slot going through GA right now...was this modeled? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 2 minutes ago, burrel2 said: Upper level temps are fine for us for the duration of the event,(north if i-85). It all comes down to the boundary layer and how much we cool off at the surface I'm already ahead of last years storm, it started raining at 49, took forever to get to 35 and snow, while TR already had 5"! Moisture won't be in short supply, that's for sure! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 Just now, LovingGulfLows said: Pretty large dry slot going through GA right now...was this modeled? I wouldn't focus on that as much as the super huge batch of moisture coming out of Louisiana and MS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LovingGulfLows Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 Just now, mackerel_sky said: I wouldn't focus on that as much as the super huge batch of moisture coming out of Louisiana and MS It doesn't really matter to me...looking at temp profiles, I'd be rain anyway....perhaps the drier air could help me cool down some. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
toxictwister00 Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 Just now, LovingGulfLows said: Pretty large dry slot going through GA right now...was this modeled? A couple of HRRR runs showed it, but it showed it filling back in quickly. It's gradually starting to fill in back in SE AL right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 Kinda curious... why do you guys think mby in Danville, VA are under a WWA instead of a WSW? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 Just now, BornAgain13 said: Kinda curious... why do you guys think mby in Danville, VA are under a WWA instead of a WSW? Because we are most likely going to waste moisture on rain or mix most of today... I think its a good call. HRRR gives us an inch after a lot of rain.. GFS has us on Eastern edge with heaviest snow in mtns which will surely happen Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
calculus1 Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 Latest expected snowfall totals from GSP: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
a5ehren Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 13 minutes ago, Flum said: First time poster, but I've been lurking for a while. It looks like city of Atlanta is right on the edge of the snow/rain line. What do you think the chances are that we get a significant snow event vs. a lot of liquid? An inch in CoA would mean you did pretty well. Pretty low chance of getting more than that. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rankin5150 Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 Looks like the CLT area will be screwed with this system. Looking at the radar, it appears the battle lines are already set. SMH. Looks like the Mountains/Foothills and I-40 N will be the places to be yall. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lookout Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 I'm heading to gainesville in a little bit but the latest nam is unbelievably close to all snow even here...at least it suggests a sloppy mix of rain/sleet/snow..or even all snow if it's heavy enough...much of the day. Never ceases to amaze me how often it comes down to not just one degree here every time. Probably a good sign for much of NE Ga/upstate if i'm this close way down here. valid at 18z this afternoon NAM Text Sounding | 18 UTC Fri 08 Dec 2017 | Latitude: 34.0374 | Longitude: -82.9672 PRES HGHT TEMP DWPT RELH MIXR DRCT SKNT TWTB TVRT THTA THTE THTV 995.5 172 1.3 0.7 95 4.1 4 6 1.1 2.0 274.8 286.1 275.5 975.0 339 0.2 -0.1 98 3.9 20 15 0.1 0.8 275.3 286.2 276.0 950.0 547 0.1 -0.2 98 4.0 38 25 -0.0 0.7 277.2 288.3 277.9 925.0 761 0.2 -0.1 98 4.1 49 17 0.1 0.8 279.5 291.0 280.2 900.0 981 0.1 -0.2 98 4.2 49 11 -0.0 0.8 281.6 293.5 282.3 875.0 1206 -0.2 -0.5 98 4.2 57 8 -0.3 0.5 283.6 295.7 284.3 850.0 1438 -0.2 -0.6 97 4.3 66 5 -0.4 0.5 285.9 298.4 286.7 825.0 1678 0.3 -0.2 96 4.6 242 6 0.1 1.1 288.9 302.2 289.7 800.0 1925 0.1 -0.2 98 4.7 238 16 -0.0 0.9 291.2 305.2 292.1 775.0 2178 -1.7 -2.1 97 4.2 259 14 -1.9 -1.0 291.9 304.5 292.7 750.0 2439 -2.3 -2.7 97 4.2 241 10 -2.5 -1.6 294.0 306.6 294.8 725.0 2709 -0.7 -0.9 98 5.0 208 29 -0.8 0.2 298.7 313.7 299.6 700.0 2990 0.0 -0.3 98 5.4 209 46 -0.1 0.9 302.5 319.0 303.4 675.0 3282 -0.1 -0.4 98 5.5 212 60 -0.3 0.8 305.5 322.6 306.5 650.0 3585 -0.8 -1.1 98 5.5 215 70 -0.9 0.1 308.0 325.1 309.0 625.0 3898 -1.9 -2.2 98 5.3 215 75 -2.0 -1.0 310.2 326.8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DixieBlizzard Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 Our cabin in Ellijay this morning. Still coming down steadily. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
calculus1 Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 Matthew East's morning video: 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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