mackerel_sky Posted December 6, 2017 Share Posted December 6, 2017 KK just saying rain with a few flurries mixed possible Friday! AW will have updated info in the morning, after overnight model runs, lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
oconeexman Posted December 6, 2017 Share Posted December 6, 2017 2 minutes ago, mackerel_sky said: KK just saying rain with a few flurries mixed possible Friday! AW will have updated info in the morning, after overnight model runs, lol Prob a safe call right now. Lets see after tomorrows runs 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted December 6, 2017 Share Posted December 6, 2017 Someone bring home the GFS glory run!!! Through 30, looking a little slower Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
oconeexman Posted December 6, 2017 Share Posted December 6, 2017 Gfs looking more like Nam to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
oconeexman Posted December 6, 2017 Share Posted December 6, 2017 Doesnt have initial strung out precip thursday like the nam but main energy hanginv back. Should be colder but may be drier than the nam Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceagewhereartthou Posted December 6, 2017 Share Posted December 6, 2017 4 hours ago, Lookout said: 18z run of the cmc seems pretty bullish. Still showing that aggravating near surface warm bubble around here.. but overall..nw of the 12z run Total precip amounts between 06z friday and 06z saturday.... You guys are a lot better at this than me but this set up looks unusual to me. The low looks pretty good just off the SE coast, but our cold high feed is the 1033 in northern, Mexico, n`est pas? I guess the 1044 over Idaho is a reinforcing cold feed, but that seems too far. It seems we need that 1033 about 1000 miles NE. Then we have our infamous great lakes low. On the 78 hour frames we have 3 lows that look well placed and about the right strength. So we have 2 highs, one that seems too far South, one that seems too far West, 2 upper Midwest lows, and 3 SE lows. With all that change in pressures, why are not seeing more wind, and with 3 lows a lot more moisture? Any good analogues for this set up? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted December 6, 2017 Share Posted December 6, 2017 Canadian looks big...would guess 85 to 77 are big snows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted December 6, 2017 Share Posted December 6, 2017 Cold and dry on GFS! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
oconeexman Posted December 6, 2017 Share Posted December 6, 2017 Gfs sticking to its guns..seems to steadily squash the energy. So far its by itself with the lack of moisture Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted December 6, 2017 Share Posted December 6, 2017 Just now, packbacker said: Canadian looks big...would guess 85 to 77 are big snows. How different could the Canadian and GFS be!? Jeez Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted December 6, 2017 Share Posted December 6, 2017 NAM and GFS come in with scrapers, but.....lol......the new CMC is juiced. Looks like that amped JMA run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted December 6, 2017 Share Posted December 6, 2017 1 minute ago, mackerel_sky said: How different could the Canadian and GFS be!? Jeez Ridiculously big...like the 18z run Lookout posted above. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WidreMann Posted December 6, 2017 Share Posted December 6, 2017 This was always a long shot. But I expect things to trend a bit NW by the time we get to Friday. Whether it'll be cold enough is quite another question. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted December 6, 2017 Share Posted December 6, 2017 2 minutes ago, griteater said: NAM and GFS come in with scrapers, but.....lol......the new CMC is juiced. Looks like that amped JMA run Uk at 96 definitely amped. Not going to make it to see the earlier panels. But says the CMC not totally off Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted December 6, 2017 Share Posted December 6, 2017 Didn't Glenn Burns tweet out the GFS is having glitches today!? Maybe they are not fixed,? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted December 6, 2017 Share Posted December 6, 2017 6 minutes ago, oconeexman said: Gfs sticking to its guns..seems to steadily squash the energy. So far its by itself with the lack of moisture I think this is probably where we talk about how god awful the GFS has been. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted December 6, 2017 Share Posted December 6, 2017 Just now, packbacker said: Uk at 96 definitely amped. Not going to make it to see the earlier panels. But says the CMC not totally off How much snow do you get on the Canadian? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted December 6, 2017 Share Posted December 6, 2017 Just now, packbacker said: Uk at 96 definitely amped. Not going to make it to see the earlier panels. But says the CMC not totally off Yep, UKMet looks more amped than its last run. I think this hobby is fun, but I'm not sure. Look at all these model runs and you and I get 38 degrees and rain 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoshM Posted December 6, 2017 Share Posted December 6, 2017 Weenie Run 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cg2916 Posted December 6, 2017 Share Posted December 6, 2017 1 minute ago, JoshM said: Weenie Run That shows 9" for MBY... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted December 6, 2017 Share Posted December 6, 2017 2 minutes ago, Cold Rain said: How much snow do you get on the Canadian? Climo...a few flakes and then a driving 35F rain. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted December 6, 2017 Share Posted December 6, 2017 2 minutes ago, JoshM said: Weenie Run I don’t know I can remember a trail of snow accumulation from Brownsville to the Jersey Shore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted December 6, 2017 Share Posted December 6, 2017 1 minute ago, JoshM said: Weenie Run You get snow, you get snow, you get snow, everybody gets a snow! We both jackpot!! 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted December 6, 2017 Share Posted December 6, 2017 3 minutes ago, Cold Rain said: How much snow do you get on the Canadian? NM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
shahroz98 Posted December 6, 2017 Share Posted December 6, 2017 2 minutes ago, JoshM said: Weenie Run I spy a warm nose east of Atlanta, right over me ): Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted December 6, 2017 Share Posted December 6, 2017 2 minutes ago, griteater said: Yep, UKMet looks more amped than its last run. I think this hobby is fun, but I'm not sure. Look at all these model runs and you and I get 38 degrees and rain Well the UK is slightly less amped then the CMC so shift the snow swatch SE...LOL. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
oconeexman Posted December 6, 2017 Share Posted December 6, 2017 Good grief...OH CANADA! man take a blend from all of em? Or do you throw out the extremes and blend the rest. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAD_Wedge_NC Posted December 6, 2017 Share Posted December 6, 2017 Just now, mackerel_sky said: You get snow, you get snow, you get snow, everybody gets a snow! We both jackpot!! Would love to see the Euro spit out something like that.... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceagewhereartthou Posted December 6, 2017 Share Posted December 6, 2017 4 minutes ago, JoshM said: Weenie Run Talk about you're I-85 special! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted December 6, 2017 Share Posted December 6, 2017 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now