mitchnick Posted December 11, 2017 Share Posted December 11, 2017 Just now, yoda said: Follow up wave around hr 108 looks tasty... 2-3"... we take lower eastern shore jackpots again....it's looking like their winter from an early point of view Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted December 11, 2017 Share Posted December 11, 2017 Just now, mitchnick said: lower eastern shore jackpots again....it's looking like their winter from an early point of view They always get screwed in big events...so they deserve some love. Hope they jackpot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted December 11, 2017 Share Posted December 11, 2017 Ian seems to think the weekend event as having decent potential, on twitter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted December 11, 2017 Share Posted December 11, 2017 7 minutes ago, mitchnick said: Don't look now, but the GFS just gave us a clipper and a follow up snow on the 12z yeah just saw that. Looks like they are digging a little further south. Verbatim it would be a great end of week for many. Dont tell anyone....but snow maps ticked up nicely for EOW. Nut Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted December 11, 2017 Share Posted December 11, 2017 1 minute ago, yoda said: Follow up wave around hr 108 looks tasty... 2-3"... we take Has the euro had anything during this time frame? It does look tasty and the surface temps look pretty cold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 11, 2017 Share Posted December 11, 2017 Just now, Eskimo Joe said: They always get screwed in big events...so they deserve some love. Hope they jackpot. not lately last year, in early January, SBY got 10-12" while we sucked the tailpipe with <1" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted December 11, 2017 Share Posted December 11, 2017 Wouldn't the weekend event kinda be at the end of a pattern, so to speak? We tend to do well at the end of patterns. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted December 11, 2017 Share Posted December 11, 2017 Just now, mitchnick said: lower eastern shore jackpots again....it's looking like their winter from an early point of view It probably wont happen exactly like that. But overall love what the run is advertising for this week- maybe a couple skiffs of snow, then a decent event. We can only hope this week plays out something like this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted December 11, 2017 Share Posted December 11, 2017 Just now, mappy said: Ian seems to think the weekend event as having decent potential, on twitter. I wish he'd post in here again as a non-moderator. He offered great insight and it would be nice to see him in the discussions. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted December 11, 2017 Share Posted December 11, 2017 I wish he'd post in here again as a non-moderator. He offered great insight and it would be nice to see him in the discussions.Agreed. Always had some good insight, don't entirely remember what drove him off but I enjoy following him on Twitter. Looking like we don't get through the next week without a couple chances. Exciting times. Have to start checking the NAMs again soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted December 11, 2017 Share Posted December 11, 2017 If only we could get that bit of ridging out west a bit stronger...would be a bigger impact for everyone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 11, 2017 Share Posted December 11, 2017 Just remember, that the GFS 3 days+ out has been too far north with the 5H vorts, so if that error persists, it will come south as we approach the weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted December 11, 2017 Share Posted December 11, 2017 14 minutes ago, DCTeacherman said: Has the euro had anything during this time frame? It does look tasty and the surface temps look pretty cold. Upper 20s high temps ftw... everything looks really nice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted December 11, 2017 Share Posted December 11, 2017 Whoa, just saw the GFS...interesting and close in...maybe we can reel this one in...sure, it's "only" 2" or so, but it's December, so... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 11, 2017 Share Posted December 11, 2017 Just now, stormtracker said: Whoa, just saw the GFS...interesting and close in...maybe we can reel this one in...sure, it's "only" 2" or so, but it's December, so... I just started a new thread to discuss all event(s) for this week of December 11. This week isn't long or even medium at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted December 11, 2017 Share Posted December 11, 2017 The Saturday thing definitely has potential. I started paying attention to it as a singular threat yesterday because it struck me as the kind of thing that often trends better for us. Not all the time but enough to think maybe. It's still way too far out to be worried about specifics. Just look what happened the last 72 hours last week. This is still 100 hours out. The trends are good right now. Just have to wait and see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted December 11, 2017 Share Posted December 11, 2017 6 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: The Saturday thing definitely has potential. I started paying attention to it as a singular threat yesterday because it struck me as the kind of thing that often trends better for us. Not all the time but enough to think maybe. It's still way too far out to be worried about specifics. Just look what happened the last 72 hours last week. This is still 100 hours out. The trends are good right now. Just have to wait and see. it looks like a friday thing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted December 11, 2017 Share Posted December 11, 2017 I wouldn't sleep on the wave early next week either. Actually the whole long range looks loaded with potential to me. Looks like waves galore riding the boundary. Most look warm in the gfs but there are numerous ways to change that. A well timed high. Two waves seperating just enough to sink the boundary for the following wave to ride along. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted December 11, 2017 Share Posted December 11, 2017 1 minute ago, Ji said: it looks like a friday thing My bad. It does. Too far out for me to dig into so I probably saw the 0z saturday time stamp and didn't think into it enough to realize that's showing Friday afteroon. Ive been busy beyond belief with family and work stuff. Not as much time to weather as years past. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted December 11, 2017 Share Posted December 11, 2017 That Monday wave has a lot of potential as well. A little bit stronger HP over the lakes and it could be game on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smokeybandit Posted December 11, 2017 Share Posted December 11, 2017 At least the GFS said "just kidding" with that 71 on Xmas Eve Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted December 11, 2017 Share Posted December 11, 2017 21 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: I wouldn't sleep on the wave early next week either. Actually the whole long range looks loaded with potential to me. Looks like waves galore riding the boundary. Most look warm in the gfs but there are numerous ways to change that. A well timed high. Two waves seperating just enough to sink the boundary for the following wave to ride along. Mentioned I liked early next week (Mon/Tues), yesterday . Going over the last few days of runs it looked as if the GFS/GEFS was moving towards a look that argued for amplification of a trough into the central part of the country and swinging it east. Nice to see the GFS run do pretty much what I had in mind. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted December 11, 2017 Share Posted December 11, 2017 EPS is pretty dry through 15 days Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted December 11, 2017 Share Posted December 11, 2017 I think another time to watch, maybe for a rain -> snow event would be next Monday GFS has an event that ends with flurries, but PA gets a pretty decent event Euro has the storm even further North. It would be a long shot, but a trend to the South isn't off the table Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted December 11, 2017 Share Posted December 11, 2017 Saw some talk about this in other fourms: The talk was of a -EPO... but a +NAO. Looks like the Southeast Ridge comes back into play as the month ends per the 12z EPS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted December 11, 2017 Share Posted December 11, 2017 7 minutes ago, yoda said: Saw some talk about this in other fourms: The talk was of a -EPO... but a +NAO. Looks like the Southeast Ridge comes back into play as the month ends per the 12z EPS thats not the worst SE ridge ive ever seen...might be the worst NAO ive ever seen though lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AfewUniversesBelowNormal Posted December 11, 2017 Share Posted December 11, 2017 GFS ensembles have trended away from cold, and the way they have shifted is strong idea for continued warming trend. Late December will likely be above average and maybe dry. I'm not sure the -EPO will verify, it's fundamentals are weak. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AfewUniversesBelowNormal Posted December 11, 2017 Share Posted December 11, 2017 I don't know... this isn't really exciting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 11, 2017 Share Posted December 11, 2017 18z brings back the Christmas wintry event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prestige Worldwide Posted December 11, 2017 Share Posted December 11, 2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.