Bob Chill Posted December 5, 2017 Share Posted December 5, 2017 Just now, WxUSAF said: And it again totally kills the vort for the clipper. It has bounced all over the place with the shortwave placement and strength. Quite a jump in 24 hours. 12z yesterday: 12z today: ^PU Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ErinInTheSky Posted December 5, 2017 Share Posted December 5, 2017 Well.... This was at least a fun last 5 days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted December 5, 2017 Share Posted December 5, 2017 2 minutes ago, supernovasky said: Well.... This was at least a fun last 5 days. Yes it’s always fun. But I am sure this isn’t the final answer. Keep the cold around long enough and something will pop. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted December 5, 2017 Share Posted December 5, 2017 17 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: If you click through the 8 previous runs @ h5, the GFS has morphed the entire evolution/trough into weak sauce with the 12z run being the weakest. Gfs is splitting the energy equally between all the waves and thus a bunch of strung out crap. It does that sometimes but if the rest of the guidance today looks that way still it's probably a sign we will have to wait a bit longer for our first real threat. Not shocking. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ErinInTheSky Posted December 5, 2017 Share Posted December 5, 2017 Just now, BristowWx said: Yes it’s always fun. But I am sure this isn’t the final answer. Keep the cold around long enough and something will pop. Yeah. I'm still watching the whole run too, as long as ANYTHING is showing in December pre-Christmas, I have something to be hopeful for! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted December 5, 2017 Share Posted December 5, 2017 4 minutes ago, supernovasky said: Well.... This was at least a fun last 5 days. The front end of a pattern change is not typically when we get a storm. Next week holds some potential. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted December 5, 2017 Share Posted December 5, 2017 1 minute ago, psuhoffman said: Gfs is splitting the energy equally between all the waves and thus a bunch of strung out crap. It does that sometimes but if the rest of the guidance today looks that way still it's probably a sign we will have to wait a bit longer for our first real threat. Not shocking. Isn't that kind of what the Euro has been doing for a few days now? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ErinInTheSky Posted December 5, 2017 Share Posted December 5, 2017 1 minute ago, C.A.P.E. said: The front end of a pattern change is not typically when we get a storm. Next week holds some potential. Thanks, I'm new here so I don't quite understand the weather patterns yet. It helps that last year was my first winter, pretty much ever, so... my hopes aren't exactly sky high! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted December 5, 2017 Share Posted December 5, 2017 Now we are to reasoning to why we are not getting any storms... It is only the first week of December. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ErinInTheSky Posted December 5, 2017 Share Posted December 5, 2017 Hey! 174/180h looks good! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ErinInTheSky Posted December 5, 2017 Share Posted December 5, 2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted December 5, 2017 Share Posted December 5, 2017 always 10 days away Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted December 5, 2017 Share Posted December 5, 2017 1 minute ago, mappy said: always 10 days away luckily its 8 lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ErinInTheSky Posted December 5, 2017 Share Posted December 5, 2017 1 minute ago, mappy said: always 10 days away Hey now, this one is <8 days! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted December 5, 2017 Author Share Posted December 5, 2017 Hmmm GFS storm next Tuesday looks almost identical to the 0z euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted December 5, 2017 Share Posted December 5, 2017 1 minute ago, mappy said: always 10 days away We both know the weekend deal(s) aren't dead yet. Well, dead right now but subject to resurrection or zombification. Something like that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted December 5, 2017 Share Posted December 5, 2017 4 minutes ago, supernovasky said: Just don't look at the snowfall map. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted December 5, 2017 Share Posted December 5, 2017 Just now, showmethesnow said: Just don't look at the snowfall map. Brings up the redistricting argument I started a couple years ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted December 5, 2017 Share Posted December 5, 2017 1 minute ago, Bob Chill said: Brings up the redistricting argument I started a couple years ago. Yup lol. If we could get the SLP to be 50-100 miles more SE we would all enjoy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted December 5, 2017 Share Posted December 5, 2017 1 minute ago, yoda said: Yup lol. If we could get the SLP to be 50-100 miles more SE we would all enjoy Probably best to start with getting SLP at all inside of 48 hours. Then we can discuss placement. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Z-Cast Posted December 5, 2017 Share Posted December 5, 2017 Always difficult for MA to get real SN chances in December. I'm intrigued by the potential this weekend, but this was always a mid December setup. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx's Thanks Giving Posted December 5, 2017 Share Posted December 5, 2017 2 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: Probably best to start with getting SLP at all inside of 48 hours. Then we can discuss placement. Even that may be too premature with this setup. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted December 5, 2017 Share Posted December 5, 2017 13 minutes ago, mappy said: always 10 days away The threats showing up later next week are way more indicative of how we typically score in patterns like this though so it has that going for it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ErinInTheSky Posted December 5, 2017 Share Posted December 5, 2017 10 minutes ago, showmethesnow said: Just don't look at the snowfall map. SHHHH. Blue on map real time = SNOW, don't tell me any differently. I'm still kind of excited though for this extended period of cold with multiple chances at flakes, even if none of it accumulates. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted December 5, 2017 Share Posted December 5, 2017 Why do the new TT snow maps look do wonky? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AfewUniversesBelowNormal Posted December 5, 2017 Share Posted December 5, 2017 Strange the way models are behaving with the closed 500mb vortex moving SE in Canada. There is no amplification of the SE ridge ahead of it (would draw the storm inland), and a stronger weakness is dropping in behind it(?). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted December 5, 2017 Share Posted December 5, 2017 Argh, I wish there was a 108 panel on the 12z UKMET... I think we get missed, but 120 SLP looks like it came close as it brushed by? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted December 5, 2017 Share Posted December 5, 2017 11 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: Brings up the redistricting argument I started a couple years ago. Gonna leave me all by myself arguing with blizzard83 huh? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 5, 2017 Share Posted December 5, 2017 I hate this hobby, but it's the only one I've got Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ErinInTheSky Posted December 5, 2017 Share Posted December 5, 2017 Got a little something going on at the end of the run too. So 3 portions are conducive to at least getting flakes. Better than the 06z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.