NorthArlington101 Posted December 6, 2017 Share Posted December 6, 2017 On 12/6/2017 at 4:57 PM, yoda said: Last night's run Yeah I saw that just after I posted it. Wasn't a bad run though. Probably an inch or so at DCA. Surprised it wasn't mentioned. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted December 6, 2017 Share Posted December 6, 2017 12z UKIE 72 hrs 12z UKIE 96 hrs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted December 6, 2017 Share Posted December 6, 2017 12z Ukie-CMC on board. 0z JMA and 6z Navgem on board. Bob Chill not on board. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx's Thanks Giving Posted December 6, 2017 Share Posted December 6, 2017 On 12/6/2017 at 5:02 PM, Bob Chill said: 12z Ukie-CMC on board. 0z JMA and 6z Navgem on board. Bob Chill not on board. Expand Yea, I've lost interest now too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted December 6, 2017 Share Posted December 6, 2017 Pretty sure 12z UKIE would be a major hit for us... this is the QPF map at 72 (farthest out that it goes)... wish there was an 84 hr panel somewhere Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted December 6, 2017 Share Posted December 6, 2017 On 12/6/2017 at 4:52 PM, WxUSAF said: So you’re saying you’re all in? Expand I couldn't be farther out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted December 6, 2017 Share Posted December 6, 2017 On 12/6/2017 at 5:04 PM, BTRWx's Thanks Giving said: Yea, I've lost interest now too. Expand I haven't lost interest. Not at all. I might in an hour and 10 mins though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted December 6, 2017 Share Posted December 6, 2017 On 12/6/2017 at 5:05 PM, stormtracker said: I couldn't be farther out Expand But now with the UKMET in... one foot in now? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted December 6, 2017 Share Posted December 6, 2017 On 12/6/2017 at 5:02 PM, Bob Chill said: 12z Ukie-CMC on board. 0z JMA and 6z Navgem on board. Bob Chill not on board. Expand If the Euro looked like the UK/CMC, I'd run into the street naked. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 6, 2017 Share Posted December 6, 2017 On 12/6/2017 at 5:05 PM, Bob Chill said: I haven't lost interest. Not at all. I might in an hour and 10 mins though. Expand Dave.......Dave....... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted December 6, 2017 Share Posted December 6, 2017 Up until last winter the UKIE usually was close to the Euro and could tip you off to what the Euro would do but it’s had some wild runs the past 12-18 months so I’m not convinced we see the Euro jump on something this big yet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted December 6, 2017 Author Share Posted December 6, 2017 On 12/6/2017 at 5:05 PM, stormtracker said: I couldn't be farther out Expand So far out that you’re...in???? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted December 6, 2017 Share Posted December 6, 2017 On 12/6/2017 at 5:07 PM, yoda said: But now with the UKMET in... one foot in now? Expand No Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted December 6, 2017 Share Posted December 6, 2017 The Ukie has drawn me back in. That looks very close to the coast and would appear to be a major hit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted December 6, 2017 Share Posted December 6, 2017 On 12/6/2017 at 5:07 PM, stormtracker said: If the Euro looked like the UK/CMC, I'd run into the street naked. Expand I took a snip-it of this for later use. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted December 6, 2017 Author Share Posted December 6, 2017 On 12/6/2017 at 5:02 PM, Bob Chill said: 12z Ukie-CMC on board. 0z JMA and 6z Navgem on board. Bob Chill not on board. Expand 12z JMA onboard too! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted December 6, 2017 Share Posted December 6, 2017 On 12/6/2017 at 5:05 PM, Bob Chill said: I haven't lost interest. Not at all. I might in an hour and 10 mins though. Expand I am still "interested"...been doing this too long to every turn my back on the weather...but it would be nice if one of the varsity players would get on board. As long as its only random ensemble outliers and JV op runs that show anything I am going to be skeptical at best. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted December 6, 2017 Share Posted December 6, 2017 On 12/6/2017 at 5:08 PM, Interstate said: I took a snip-it of this for later use. Expand Not worried at all. In about an hour, I'll be fully clothed in my office watching all of the tears on this forum. I emotionally divested last night. It's early December..we'll be fine. I'm full prepped to wait until Jan. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted December 6, 2017 Share Posted December 6, 2017 On 12/6/2017 at 5:09 PM, losetoa6 said: Ukie lookin stout fwiw. Expand The Ukie would be a significant hit tho Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted December 6, 2017 Share Posted December 6, 2017 On 12/6/2017 at 5:10 PM, psuhoffman said: I am still "interested"...been doing this too long to every turn my back on the weather...but it would be nice if one of the varsity players would get on board. As long as its only random ensemble outliers and JV op runs that show anything I am going to be skeptical at best. Expand UKMET is JV? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted December 6, 2017 Share Posted December 6, 2017 On 12/6/2017 at 5:11 PM, yoda said: UKMET is JV? Expand I mean, it isn't JV, but it's not Euro league either. It flops wildly sometimes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted December 6, 2017 Share Posted December 6, 2017 On 12/6/2017 at 5:09 PM, WxUSAF said: 12z JMA onboard too! Expand Looks slightly East compared to yesterday's 12z, but better than GFS FWIW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted December 6, 2017 Share Posted December 6, 2017 On 12/6/2017 at 5:11 PM, yoda said: UKMET is JV? Expand I dunno, don't take comments like that too seriously, but the UKMET is a weird animal because it's got pretty good verification scores but because its so limited in access and products we don't really look at it much. But it also does have a history of crazy runs here and there so that sometimes makes it hard to take it seriously when it diverges greatly from the GFS/Euro. It can lend support though when there is a model war going on between the two heavies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted December 6, 2017 Author Share Posted December 6, 2017 On 12/6/2017 at 5:11 PM, stormtracker said: I mean, it isn't JV, but it's not Euro league either. It flops wildly sometimes. Expand Ukie is the really smart girl in high school who ignores everyone and gets ignored by everyone most of the time until her name shows up as runner up valedictorian . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted December 6, 2017 Share Posted December 6, 2017 12z GFS vs 0z GFS 0z \ 12z CMC vs 0z CMC 0z CMC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MDstorm Posted December 6, 2017 Share Posted December 6, 2017 On 12/6/2017 at 5:05 PM, Bob Chill said: I haven't lost interest. Not at all. I might in an hour and 10 mins though. Expand Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DownpourDave Posted December 6, 2017 Share Posted December 6, 2017 On 12/6/2017 at 5:19 PM, MDstorm said: If the euro shows a hit this forum would go crazy. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted December 6, 2017 Share Posted December 6, 2017 Us Western guys are rooting for you all...you can have our temps since we won't need them Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted December 6, 2017 Share Posted December 6, 2017 Nobody should be on board anything until King CRAS speaks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted December 6, 2017 Share Posted December 6, 2017 On 12/6/2017 at 5:26 PM, WxWatcher007 said: Post of the day. Spot on. Ukie is legit. Not infallible like some of you think the Euro is but it’s really good when it’s really good. That said, I’m out, not getting back in, and have no interest in the next 4 days. I’m just here for the lols. ETA: and to reap the feeble. Expand Ukie is a good model but no model is perfect. Not even the euro. However, from 72 hours and in, the euro is unquestionably the most accurate. It has its hiccups too but if the euro shows something similar to the gfs then banking on the ukie is foolish. The real fun starts when the euro splits the difference between the ukie/cmc and gfs. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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