WxUSAF Posted December 4, 2017 Share Posted December 4, 2017 Starting with 12z runs on December 4. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted December 4, 2017 Share Posted December 4, 2017 Looks like the GFS is trending the wrong way with the southern wave. Dampened flow compared to 6z leading in. Should push things east a tad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 4, 2017 Share Posted December 4, 2017 2 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: Looks like the GFS is trending the wrong way with the southern wave. Dampened flow compared to 6z leading in. Should push things east a tad. Just gunna post that but got locked out of old thread 96 hrs looks meh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted December 4, 2017 Share Posted December 4, 2017 Just now, mitchnick said: Just gunna post that but got locked out of old thread 96 hrs looks meh Still another 2 days or so before we can accept track as pretty much locked in but not a fun run either way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eurojosh Posted December 4, 2017 Share Posted December 4, 2017 Same. 12z GFS looks suppressed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted December 4, 2017 Author Share Posted December 4, 2017 Much less dig on the Sunday clipper shortwave also. I want the 0z run back. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted December 4, 2017 Share Posted December 4, 2017 1 minute ago, WxUSAF said: Much less dig on the Sunday clipper shortwave also. I want the 0z run back. Very uninspiring across the board. Euro should...might...god I hope...save us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted December 4, 2017 Share Posted December 4, 2017 CMC trended the other way from its previous run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted December 4, 2017 Share Posted December 4, 2017 What an ugly run. I even went to the NAM to look for false hope. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted December 4, 2017 Author Share Posted December 4, 2017 1 minute ago, Bob Chill said: Very uninspiring across the board. Euro should...might...god I hope...save us. Yeah, just a nut punch run through D5. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted December 4, 2017 Share Posted December 4, 2017 1 minute ago, WxUSAF said: Yeah, just a nut punch run through D5. Nice little Miller B transfer over our heads to hit NE for the cherry on top Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted December 4, 2017 Share Posted December 4, 2017 1 minute ago, WxUSAF said: Yeah, just a nut punch run through D5. Our period of light snow from the clipper completely dried up, but hey, it's still the first half of December. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted December 4, 2017 Author Share Posted December 4, 2017 GGEM snows us for on Friday morning and then says what clipper? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted December 4, 2017 Share Posted December 4, 2017 I blame the new thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 4, 2017 Share Posted December 4, 2017 Only the GEM....check out that snowfall map for Florida! lol https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gem®ion=eus&pkg=asnow&runtime=2017120412&fh=150&xpos=0&ypos=626 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted December 4, 2017 Share Posted December 4, 2017 GFS SE bias? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted December 4, 2017 Share Posted December 4, 2017 2 minutes ago, mappy said: GFS SE bias? Ensembles > OP Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted December 4, 2017 Share Posted December 4, 2017 Just now, yoda said: Ensembles > OP Yup. 06z GEFS/0z EPS will lead the way (hopefully) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted December 4, 2017 Share Posted December 4, 2017 2 minutes ago, losetoa6 said: Overall H5 pattern lookin good at 180 .high Hieghts building into GL and all up top for that matter . Cold flood coming I'm sure . Should be no shortage of storm and clipper threats GFS is reminding us how hard it is to get the NS right for our area in early Dec. Getting a legit vort to track south of us is harder than most think this time of year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted December 4, 2017 Share Posted December 4, 2017 welcome to winter...when need a step forward, you get 3 steps back Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted December 4, 2017 Share Posted December 4, 2017 492DM h5 in WI/MN at 216... large arctic blast incoming Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted December 4, 2017 Share Posted December 4, 2017 Bi polar GFS much, can I keep the 0z run and ignore 12z? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eurojosh Posted December 4, 2017 Share Posted December 4, 2017 3 minutes ago, yoda said: 492DM h5 in WI/MN at 216... large arctic blast incoming Cold... and, dry, you say? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 4, 2017 Share Posted December 4, 2017 If those temps verify, I'll take a ride over to the lower eastern shore and see some Bay effect streamers I'm bettin'. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted December 4, 2017 Share Posted December 4, 2017 I guess it is off to the next fantasy land storm...lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted December 4, 2017 Share Posted December 4, 2017 1 minute ago, eurojosh said: Cold... and, dry, you say? yes it does appear that way. we are flush with cold this run so far. but can't buy a flake. I somehow don't believe that as there will be some disturbances I would think for some mood flakes at times. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted December 4, 2017 Share Posted December 4, 2017 Just now, Interstate said: I guess it is off to the next fantasy land storm...lol It's not completely off the table. the 6z GEFS upped snow for that time while the op backed down. We'll see. 24 hours from now we'll have a better idea, but it does seem less likely now that we're 12 hours from the last good run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 4, 2017 Share Posted December 4, 2017 Now that's a height anomaly! https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=eus&pkg=z500a&runtime=2017120412&fh=234&xpos=0&ypos=422 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted December 4, 2017 Share Posted December 4, 2017 I'm not a fan of cold and dry but if cold is all we got I do root for serious negative departures Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted December 4, 2017 Author Share Posted December 4, 2017 GFS going to try and make it up to us with a D12-14 event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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