tim123 Posted December 4, 2017 Share Posted December 4, 2017 No when it comes to snow I want it all. Hahaha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted December 4, 2017 Share Posted December 4, 2017 Newest run of hi-res NAM shows the band getting up to the city and even into the northtowns for a little bit late Wednesday.. maybe it's higher resolution is picking up on some of tat early season thermal troughing... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ayuud11 Posted December 4, 2017 Share Posted December 4, 2017 10 minutes ago, WesterlyWx said: Newest run of hi-res NAM shows the band getting up to the city and even into the northtowns for a little bit late Wednesday.. maybe it's higher resolution is picking up on some of tat early season thermal troughing... Spits out 8" of snow in a matter of 6hrs with lots to go.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted December 4, 2017 Share Posted December 4, 2017 10 hours ago, CNY-LES FREAK said: These totals a quite paltry to say the least but really not concerned with snow totals but noticed winds may veer enough next weekend to get us in on the action for as several hrs, then there are several synoptic chances as well. Notice how New England always seem to do well, even moreso, than Syracuse, lol. Sent from my SM-G930V using Tapatalk Hey, I used my riding mower today to mulch up some leaves! If its not gonna snow...I could live with this all winter long. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted December 4, 2017 Share Posted December 4, 2017 Hey, I used my riding mower today to mulch up some leaves! If its not gonna snow...I could live with this all winter long. Yeah, that's what we might be dealing with all Winter, lol, jk. I'm at the point where it's starting to become comical, seriously. Will we ever get a band to sit over us for longer than 2 hrs, lol, at a time. It's absolutely hilarious but, these are the brakes, lol!When was the last time Fulton actually saw over 2ft, in an event? I can't remember the last time it occurred, as this snow belt used to be quite active, but that has since changed, for some unknown reason.Sent from my SM-G930V using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted December 4, 2017 Share Posted December 4, 2017 I remember when Fulton was constantly getting hammered. It's been a while. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted December 4, 2017 Share Posted December 4, 2017 This is one loaded pattern we are going into. Goin to be some last minute kinda surprises with a pattern like this lots of energy diving in from nw Canada. Notorious for models having a hard time with. As in regards to lake snow I think it will be a mainly wsw type flow for most part. That will extend into rochester at times. I see the flow becoming more nw later in month. And especialy into January. But there will be plenty of synoptic systems as well. 2/3 of country will have a white christmas Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted December 4, 2017 Share Posted December 4, 2017 New gfs run gives Rochester 15 to 20 inches into week before christmas Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ayuud11 Posted December 4, 2017 Share Posted December 4, 2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted December 4, 2017 Share Posted December 4, 2017 That run slams Greece and Brockport and nw side of rochester Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 4, 2017 Share Posted December 4, 2017 Fulton still received 160” last year in a bad year lmao Six 200” seasons in the last 22 years.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 4, 2017 Share Posted December 4, 2017 Just a couple years back Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 4, 2017 Share Posted December 4, 2017 Plenty more where that came from lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 4, 2017 Share Posted December 4, 2017 We will get ours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted December 4, 2017 Share Posted December 4, 2017 Good Morning!!!! URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Buffalo NY 338 AM EST Mon Dec 4 2017 NYZ010-011-041645- /O.NEW.KBUF.WS.A.0005.171206T0800Z-171208T0900Z/ Northern Erie-Genesee- Including the cities of Buffalo and Batavia 338 AM EST Mon Dec 4 2017 ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH LATE THURSDAY NIGHT... * WHAT...Heavy lake effect snow possible. Travel will be very difficult at times, including the morning and evening commute on Wednesday. Total snow accumulations of 12 to 24 inches are possible in the most persistent lake snows. * WHERE...Northern Erie and Genesee counties. * WHEN...From late Tuesday night through late Thursday night. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Heavy lake effect snow may result in very difficult travel at times, including very low visibility and deep snow cover on roads. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted December 4, 2017 Share Posted December 4, 2017 Winter storm watch for all of WNY except Alleghany county...niagara and Orleans until 10 pm Wednesday, Northern Erie until 4am Friday, 10am for Southern Erie County and not certain about southern tier...NWS calling for 1 to 2 feet buffalo metro, 2 feet plus for southtowns and 1 to 2 feetfor southern tier...looks to be another, in my opinion, impressive response starting next Sunday...here we go!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted December 4, 2017 Share Posted December 4, 2017 15 minutes ago, SouthBuffaloSteve said: Good Morning!!!! URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Buffalo NY 338 AM EST Mon Dec 4 2017 NYZ010-011-041645- /O.NEW.KBUF.WS.A.0005.171206T0800Z-171208T0900Z/ Northern Erie-Genesee- Including the cities of Buffalo and Batavia 338 AM EST Mon Dec 4 2017 ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH LATE THURSDAY NIGHT... * WHAT...Heavy lake effect snow possible. Travel will be very difficult at times, including the morning and evening commute on Wednesday. Total snow accumulations of 12 to 24 inches are possible in the most persistent lake snows. * WHERE...Northern Erie and Genesee counties. * WHEN...From late Tuesday night through late Thursday night. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Heavy lake effect snow may result in very difficult travel at times, including very low visibility and deep snow cover on roads. Right in the 18-24” zone not far from the 24”+ zone! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted December 4, 2017 Share Posted December 4, 2017 I remember when Fulton was constantly getting hammered. It's been a while. Yes it has!Sent from my SM-G930V using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted December 4, 2017 Share Posted December 4, 2017 Just a couple years back It seems as though ppl have a hard time reading sometimes, lol. I said NOTHING about a season did I? No, I said when was the last event Fulton got over 2ft? The last time a band sat over them for a day or 2?Anywhere, can nickel.and dime their way to an above normal snow yr, especially in and around the lakes.Funny thing is, this is usually how Syracuse makes their avg, by nickel.and diming it's way, every yr, lol.Last yr we had the Nov blitz and that was it, and we still made it to avg but without any memorable events. Sent from my SM-G930V using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted December 4, 2017 Share Posted December 4, 2017 1 hour ago, CNY-LES FREAK said: It seems as though ppl have a hard time reading sometimes, lol. I said NOTHING about a season did I? No, I said when was the last event Fulton got over 2ft? The last time a band sat over them for a day or 2? Anywhere, can nickel.and dime their way to an above normal snow yr, especially in and around the lakes. Funny thing is, this is usually how Syracuse makes their avg, by nickel.and diming it's way, every yr, lol. Last yr we had the Nov blitz and that was it, and we still made it to avg but without any memorable events. Sent from my SM-G930V using Tapatalk Well don't forget we did have the March storm last year...about 2 feet around KSYR. Granted it was synoptic and not lake effect. But, that's what got us to avg snowfall last winter season. Bookend season with nickel and dime events in between. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted December 4, 2017 Share Posted December 4, 2017 1 minute ago, WxWatcher007 said: I so wish I could be there but alas, now will not be that time. Good luck everyone. May you see feet and feet of snow. The next 2 weeks SHOULD hold plenty of opportunities...hopefully one lines up for you to come out! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted December 4, 2017 Share Posted December 4, 2017 Hi res NAM shows band getting into the northtowns for quite a period of time. I think the northtowns could do quite well as well and I think the sweet spot will be further north than the models are showing now. I could see this being almost exactly like 2010 in regards to placement of the heaviest snows but I don’t think it’ll stay in place long enough to drop the same totals as that event however I think 1-2 feet could fall from Lackawanna and West Seneca all the way up to Tonawanda and Clarence. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted December 4, 2017 Share Posted December 4, 2017 13 minutes ago, WesterlyWx said: Hi res NAM shows band getting into the northtowns for quite a period of time. I think the northtowns could do quite well as well and I think the sweet spot will be further north than the models are showing now. I could see this being almost exactly like 2010 in regards to placement of the heaviest snows but I don’t think it’ll stay in place long enough to drop the same totals as that event however I think 1-2 feet could fall from Lackawanna and West Seneca all the way up to Tonawanda and Clarence. Agreed...the early season events always shift a bit more northward than forecast...channel 7 was the worst this morning and looked out to lunch, Kaylee on 4, who im not a fan of, showed the band taking shape square in the northtowns and into the city by 6am Wednesday already. On a side note, next Sunday through Tuesday really has my attention as well. Lot's to talk about and follow over the next 5 to 7 days it appears. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted December 4, 2017 Share Posted December 4, 2017 Cmc gives roc area 6 to 12 over the next 10 days Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 4, 2017 Author Share Posted December 4, 2017 The Australian model gives Roc 30" over the next 2 weeks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted December 4, 2017 Share Posted December 4, 2017 Lol Australian where you get that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 4, 2017 Author Share Posted December 4, 2017 Looks like a spread the wealth LES, won't see insane totals because of the transient nature of the band. With respect to accumulations, Lake Erie typically will perform slightly better than Lake Ontario in these southwest to west- southwesterly flow scenarios. Snowfall accumulations of 1 to 2 feet of snow is likely for many locations in the Buffalo metro area south to the Boston Hills and into Genesee/Wyoming Counties. Locally 2+ feet is possible for locations in the Buffalo Southtowns. For Lake Ontario, 1 to 1.5 feet of snow is possible for much of the Watertown/Fort Drum area, with some locally higher amounts possible across the northern Tug Hill. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted December 4, 2017 Share Posted December 4, 2017 I could totally see monroe county under a advisory for 3 to 6 inches Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted December 4, 2017 Share Posted December 4, 2017 2 minutes ago, tim123 said: I could totally see monroe county under a advisory for 3 to 6 inches They tend to add those during the event... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted December 4, 2017 Share Posted December 4, 2017 9 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: The Australian model gives Roc 30" over the next 2 weeks. While I enjoy the sarcasm, Rochester is usually underrepresented (especially with LES events) on this forum, so I really appreciate Tim's input - he's usually right! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.