BuffaloWeather Posted December 9, 2017 Author Share Posted December 9, 2017 That band tomorrow in southern Erie will be cranking 2-3" per hour I think at it's max. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ayuud11 Posted December 9, 2017 Share Posted December 9, 2017 18 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: That band tomorrow in southern Erie will be cranking 2-3" per hour I think at it's max. 18z BTV's WRF goes wild with that band tomorrow! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ENYsnow Posted December 9, 2017 Share Posted December 9, 2017 8 minutes ago, ayuud11 said: 18z BTV's WRF goes wild with that band tomorrow! It'll be one heck of a Bills game if that verifies! Fingers crossed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted December 9, 2017 Share Posted December 9, 2017 20 minutes ago, ayuud11 said: 18z BTV's WRF goes wild with that band tomorrow! Ha just beat me to posting those. Timing looks good if you want snow at the game. Extreme northern cutoff. Should be an interesting day tracking tomorrow! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted December 10, 2017 Share Posted December 10, 2017 Hope you guys get a nice hit tomorrow. Would be nice to see on tv. Anyone care to chime in on potential for south shore later in week. Looks like a big event Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted December 10, 2017 Share Posted December 10, 2017 KBGM's afternoon disco sounds interesting. Boundary layer winds will back to the w/sw in the afternoon and allow the Lake Ontario snow band to shift to the north. As this occurs a Lake Erie snow band will develop across wrn and central NY and lift slowly to the north as well. The influx of cold air aloft during the afternoon will steepen lapse rates...which when combined with mixed layer heights around 9-10kt ft will create favorable conditions for scattered to widespread snow showers...with a few possibly being quite intense. Winds at the top of the boundary layer are expected to be around 30-40 kt...which if brought to the surface in these snow showers could create potentially near white-out conditions. Snowfall amounts on Sunday and Sunday night could range from 1-2 inches over the Finger Lakes...an inch or less in ne PA and possibly 3 to 6 inches in nrn Onondaga/Madison and Oneida counties. Amounts should remain below Winter Weather Advisory criteria, but if the forecast changes, headlines may be needed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted December 10, 2017 Share Posted December 10, 2017 12 minutes ago, tim123 said: Hope you guys get a nice hit tomorrow. Would be nice to see on tv. Anyone care to chime in on potential for south shore later in week. Looks like a big event It virtually snows from tomorrow through friday in one form or another for the whole South Shore to the Northern Tug Hill. The Euro was a complete snow bomb at 12Z! That's ten days above Here's a 5 day total, KU method which takes into account ratios. and here's 3 day totals. I think the Euro is a pretty good model within 3 days too, so I'd be pretty confident that the board sees nice snows the whole week, lol. Can the Euro be wrong, yes it can but how bad can it be within 3 days? 3 days totals of 10" for KFZY and by the end of the week, close to 2' so I'm pretty confident someone gets pounded! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted December 10, 2017 Share Posted December 10, 2017 Just drove back from Baltimore with the family as my middle child had a gymnastics meet out there...left at 7am to zero precip and that was a great decision as we beat the storm before it arrived, of course 2 to 4 inches isn't much per our standards but it would've caused headaches there! As for tomorrow's LES I would be extremely interested to see if the game might actually have a delay if the snow comes down at 2 or 3 inches an hour. As for the Tuesday Wednesday storm I'm hoping for a nice 4 to 8 inch storm area wide which would put me, in Williamsville, around a foot on the ground due to Friday mornings LES. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buffalo Bumble Posted December 10, 2017 Share Posted December 10, 2017 9 minutes ago, Thinksnow18 said: Just drove back from Baltimore with the family as my middle child had a gymnastics meet out there...left at 7am to zero precip and that was a great decision as we beat the storm before it arrived, of course 2 to 4 inches isn't much per our standards but it would've caused headaches there! As for tomorrow's LES I would be extremely interested to see if the game might actually have a delay if the snow comes down at 2 or 3 inches an hour. As for the Tuesday Wednesday storm I'm hoping for a nice 4 to 8 inch storm area wide which would put me, in Williamsville, around a foot on the ground due to Friday mornings LES. Yeah, I was wondering too about whether the game could be delayed. Anything over 2”/hr I would think you’re just looking at white on the tv. And it would accumulate faster than they could keep track of yard lines. That said, I’m not aware of any game ever being delayed for snow, in BUF or anywhere else. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted December 10, 2017 Share Posted December 10, 2017 4 minutes ago, Buffalo Bumble said: Yeah, I was wondering too about whether the game could be delayed. Anything over 2”/hr I would think you’re just looking at white on the tv. And it would accumulate faster than they could keep track of yard lines. That said, I’m not aware of any game ever being delayed for snow, in BUF or anywhere else. It wont be the first time and it wont be the last, at least for KBUF! http://www.nj.com/jets/index.ssf/2014/11/buffalo_snow_the_nfl_has_a_history_of_postponing_games_because_of_weather_1.html Incredible pics! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buffalo Bumble Posted December 10, 2017 Share Posted December 10, 2017 2 minutes ago, CNY-WXFREAK said: It wont be the first time and it wont be the last, at least for KBUF! http://www.nj.com/jets/index.ssf/2014/11/buffalo_snow_the_nfl_has_a_history_of_postponing_games_because_of_weather_1.html Incredible pics! Yeah, plenty of games postponed over the years for snow and other crazy weather. I was thinking though of games in progress that had to delay because of heavy snow. Not that I want it to happen...but imagine the chaos if a juiced up band dropping 3”/hr moves over the stadium in the 2nd half and stays there for several hours. 75K mostly hammered people navigating their way through that... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted December 10, 2017 Share Posted December 10, 2017 5 minutes ago, CNY-WXFREAK said: It wont be the first time and it wont be the last, at least for KBUF! http://www.nj.com/jets/index.ssf/2014/11/buffalo_snow_the_nfl_has_a_history_of_postponing_games_because_of_weather_1.html Incredible pics! Only 2 games on that list are directly snow storm condition postponements. Interesting list. Postponing a Bills game based on predictions of possible lake effect would be...very un-Buffalo (and very modern day NFL). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted December 10, 2017 Share Posted December 10, 2017 Just now, Buffalo Bumble said: Yeah, plenty of games postponed over the years for snow and other crazy weather. I was thinking though of games in progress that had to delay because of heavy snow. Not that I want it to happen...but imagine the chaos if a juiced up band dropping 3”/hr moves over the stadium in the 2nd half and stays there for several hours. 75K mostly hammered people navigating their way through that... It wouldn't be a pretty scene that's for sure, lol, but it could and probably will happen and we will all be watching, if it does, lol! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted December 10, 2017 Share Posted December 10, 2017 But I don't think, once they start, they can postpone, No? I really don't know the answer to that. It's not like their gonna say, "Well we'll finish next Thursday", lol! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ayuud11 Posted December 10, 2017 Share Posted December 10, 2017 The timing looks to be just right at the end of the game, if that band starts cranking some serious snowfall rates then a lot of people might get stranded out that way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 10, 2017 Author Share Posted December 10, 2017 Looks like a nice band forming already. Light snow has started, new blanket of white. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ayuud11 Posted December 10, 2017 Share Posted December 10, 2017 lol 0z HI-RES nam has that band all the way up to S.buffalo for tomorrow! interesting.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted December 10, 2017 Share Posted December 10, 2017 Nam coming in hot and heavy. Looks like low goin farther south on this run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 10, 2017 Author Share Posted December 10, 2017 2 minutes ago, ayuud11 said: lol 0z HI-RES nam has that band all the way up to S.buffalo for tomorrow! interesting.. That band stalls for 6-7 hours over Buffalo to southtowns tomorrow. It looks very intense too, 1-3" per hour I think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ayuud11 Posted December 10, 2017 Share Posted December 10, 2017 Just now, BuffaloWeather said: That band stalls for 6-7 hours over Buffalo to southtowns tomorrow. It looks very intense too, 1-3" per hour I think. Where is Devin??? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted December 10, 2017 Share Posted December 10, 2017 It's happened before we talked about it last thread I think. December 2002. Started mid 4th quarter... 2"+ per hour. Great game and it barely finished with Buffalo running out the clock in a white out. Was a nightmare drive home and OP saw 22" that afternoon/evening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 10, 2017 Author Share Posted December 10, 2017 2 minutes ago, ayuud11 said: Where is Devin??? It starts at 19Z. So about 3 PM, game usually ends at 4. Going to be close call, if it was a 4 oclock game we would be in business! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted December 10, 2017 Share Posted December 10, 2017 37 minutes ago, Buffalo Bumble said: Yeah, plenty of games postponed over the years for snow and other crazy weather. I was thinking though of games in progress that had to delay because of heavy snow. Not that I want it to happen...but imagine the chaos if a juiced up band dropping 3”/hr moves over the stadium in the 2nd half and stays there for several hours. 75K mostly hammered people navigating their way through that... This is exactly what I am hoping and planning for. Truck will have a full tank of gas and tons of supplies. Bring on the mayhem! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 10, 2017 Author Share Posted December 10, 2017 The WRF models are not as far north, grace the southtowns. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted December 10, 2017 Share Posted December 10, 2017 3 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: The WRF models are not as far north, grace the southtowns. My gut says that OP is a tad too far North even though a 270 wind still gives them a decent fetch. Hamburg and South get the most action. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted December 10, 2017 Share Posted December 10, 2017 Nam 12k Roc eastern suburbs to Syracuse looking good. Roc proper touch and go. Orleans county? 2"? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted December 10, 2017 Share Posted December 10, 2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted December 10, 2017 Share Posted December 10, 2017 Remember it' 10 to 1 on nam. Probally at least 20 to 22 to 1 when lake kicks in Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted December 10, 2017 Share Posted December 10, 2017 Best first guess is 3 to 5 with system at 10 to 1 Ratios. Then 7 to 14 with lake snow at 20 to 1 ratios. Could even go as hi as 25 to 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted December 10, 2017 Share Posted December 10, 2017 Nam looks very nice! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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