BuffaloWeather Posted December 7, 2017 Author Share Posted December 7, 2017 Very strong northern cutoff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 7, 2017 Author Share Posted December 7, 2017 ..A BAND OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL AFFECT WESTERN WYOMING...NORTHERN CATTARAUGUS...SOUTHERN ERIE AND NORTHEASTERN CHAUTAUQUA COUNTIES... At 100 PM EST, a band of lake effect snow producing snow fall rates of 2 inches per hour extended along the Lake Erie shoreline from Blasdell to Fredonia and inland to the Boston Hills. This band of heavy lake effect snow will remain stationary or drift gradually south through mid-afternoon. After this, the band will move south of Silver Creek late this afternoon and early this evening. Expect heavy lake effect snow in this band, with thundersnow possible this afternoon. If traveling, be prepared for rapidly changing road conditions and visibilities. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted December 7, 2017 Share Posted December 7, 2017 Here we go again! 90 East all lanes blocked. Vehicles are stranded. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted December 7, 2017 Share Posted December 7, 2017 There may be accumulating snow in New Orleans before Syracuse this yr, lol! Weather is sick, seriously! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted December 7, 2017 Share Posted December 7, 2017 Wow, the 12z Euro is absolutely horrific for all of CNY, excluding the snow belts. Just cold cold and more cold but it'll change as last nights 00Z was the complete opposite, lol. The models are having quite a bit of difficulty with the injection of all this cold air because the swings, once past day 3, are drastic! Going from a forecasted 2-2.5" of Liq Eqv, and today's 12Z its 0.4". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 7, 2017 Author Share Posted December 7, 2017 Picked up 11.6" today and .5" yesterday. Total of 12.1" so far. Snow depth is 9.8". Think we pick up another 3-6" when the band swings north. This band had very low ratios, it's extremely sloppy and heavy to shovel, Going to last awhile with no warmup coming up. Totals so far: ********************STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL******************** LOCATION STORM TOTAL TIME/DATE COMMENTS SNOWFALL OF /INCHES/ MEASUREMENT NEW YORK ...Chautauqua County... Silver Creek 12.0 229 PM 12/07 Social Media ...Erie County... Marilla 13.5 220 PM 12/07 Snow Spotter ENE East Aurora 8.3 245 PM 12/07 NWS Employee 1 W Lake View 8.0 235 PM 12/07 CoCoRaHS ...Lewis County... Harrisville 7.0 1201 PM 12/07 Social Media Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 7, 2017 Author Share Posted December 7, 2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ayuud11 Posted December 7, 2017 Share Posted December 7, 2017 For Nrn.Erie folks best chance of some snow is that band moving northward overnight and the LES potential late Sunday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 Looks like the band is getting sheared up and pushing back north already. Really hoping for some surprise bonus snow tomorrow morning but my expectations are pretty low. Thinking it sets back up over Eden/Hamburg/EA overnight drops another 6-8" then quickly flies up through the metro for morning rush but only drops an inch. At this point if I could grab 2-3" I would be happy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 8, 2017 Author Share Posted December 8, 2017 20 minutes ago, SouthBuffaloSteve said: Looks like the band is getting sheared up and pushing back north already. Really hoping for some surprise bonus snow tomorrow morning but my expectations are pretty low. Thinking it sets back up over Eden/Hamburg/EA overnight drops another 6-8" then quickly flies up through the metro for morning rush but only drops an inch. At this point if I could grab 2-3" I would be happy. Yeah, that thing looks to be moving north a bit earlier than expected. This is a good radar to see upstream trends. https://weather.gc.ca/radar/index_e.html?id=WSO Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 8, 2017 Author Share Posted December 8, 2017 Some pics and a video. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 Euro trended a little wetter on that mon/tues clipper with about 1/3” LE.. The Gfs is between .40”-50”... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 Well the gnashing of the teeth begin with most , if not all all globals. going to a brief ridge by day 16, just in time for the Holidays, lol! Before that , there are some nice chances of a few synoptic events, with a couple brief LE events, so all in all, it doesn't look like the Armageddon Cold that JB has been touting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 Mesoscale Discussion 1785 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0138 AM CST Fri Dec 08 2017 Areas affected...TX Coastal Plain Concerning...Heavy snow Valid 080738Z - 081045Z SUMMARY...Isolated pockets of moderate snowfall (i.e. rates briefly approaching 1" per hour) possible during the next 2 to 3 hours. DISCUSSION...Current observations reveal wet-bulb effects have reduced temperatures from around 34-36 degrees F to closer to freezing across much of the region. This reduction in temperatures has resulted in a change-over from light rain to light/moderate snow across the region, evidenced by recent surface observations reporting snow from CRP northeastward as far north as BMT. Frontogenetic forcing responsible for these bands of snow will persist, while gradually weakening, for the next several hours as it slowly shifts eastward in response to the progression of the mid-level trough. As such, potential for light to moderate snow is expected to continue across the region for the next 2 to 3 hours. Absolutely hilarious, seriously, as some things you just cant make up. Coastal Texas including Houston and Galveston, yes Galveston, with snows approaching an 1"/hr, for down there is gonna be treacherous! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 I really like the look of the next 6 days as all three globals are on board for 2 solid snow events with LE on the backside of both events as well, so for a 6 day total, all three look very similar as the first event is a Coastal, but I don't think it's a KU storm system yet, but there is room for this to come further West with the high Latitude blocking we have in place! CMC GFS EURO Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 Now we wait for the models to fine tune these two systems as we move forward in time, but the first event looks like a definite Warning event for the Coastal Plain, up through New England then a Clipper that has the potential to really blow up out over the GOM, so a lot to watch the next week. I'll take this season, one week at a time, no 16 day stuff as I don't even want to know the long range cause it to me, is a guess past day 3-4. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 Walking a fine line on the Gfs, any more west and you get the ggem which is nada lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buffalo Bumble Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 Nice waking up this morning to heavy snow! About 3 inches OTG. Still moderate snow but band looks to be shifting north of me soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 And another dud this morning... just depressing... 1/2" from the last pass brings me to a whopping 3 day total of 0.7". Not even enough to cover the grass... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 3 minutes ago, Buffalo Bumble said: Nice waking up this morning to heavy snow! About 3 inches OTG. Still moderate snow but band looks to be shifting north of me soon. Must be nice, band lasted all of 25 minutes here as it relaxed north and dropped 0.6”. We’ve really been in the screw zone since this whole event started. Wednesday everything was to our north over Amherst and Williamsville and we got 0.7”. Yesterday we only got 0.1” as Hamburg and Orchard Park just 5 miles to my south saw well over a foot of snow, and as I stated this morning we picked up 0.6” while the northtowns get a quick 2-4”. Can still see grass sticking through the snow everywhere. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 Just now, SouthBuffaloSteve said: And another dud this morning... just depressing... 1/2" from the last pass brings me to a whopping 3 day total of 0.7". Not even enough to cover the grass... Haha we think alike for sure. South Buffalo and West Seneca got absolutely shafted. We have a whopping 3 day total of 1.4”... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 Well at least your winning the snowball accumulation contest . KBGM won last yr, the first time in many years! KSYR, not even a dusting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WNash Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 8 minutes ago, WesterlyWx said: Haha we think alike for sure. South Buffalo and West Seneca got absolutely shafted. We have a whopping 3 day total of 1.4”... My brother lives in south Texas and he has had more snow than us. Brutal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 Funny enough our next chance at some good snow looks to be Sunday. Every model is showing it and the NAM try's to put a good band just south of the city around 4pm Sunday. Just in time for the end of the Bills game. NWS doesn't seem excited about it but maybe this will be our over achiever... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 Heavy snow being reported at Galveston, TX Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 Snowing along the Mexican Border, lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 8, 2017 Author Share Posted December 8, 2017 Picked up another 4.6” overnight. 16.7” event total. Looks like a snow globe outside. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 8, 2017 Author Share Posted December 8, 2017 8 minutes ago, CNY-WXFREAK said: Snowing along the Mexican Border, lol College station got 6” of snow, San Antonio and Houston saw accumulating snow too. Crazy! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 8, 2017 Author Share Posted December 8, 2017 11 minutes ago, SouthBuffaloSteve said: Funny enough our next chance at some good snow looks to be Sunday. Every model is showing it and the NAM try's to put a good band just south of the city around 4pm Sunday. Just in time for the end of the Bills game. NWS doesn't seem excited about it but maybe this will be our over achiever... The nam has been the best model. It’s underrated for lake effect. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 1 minute ago, BuffaloWeather said: College station got 6” of snow, San Antonio and Houston saw accumulating snow too. Crazy! Yeah, I was actually up watching it as well. A few posts back I posted a mesoscale discussion, if ys wanna go back and read it, as it was very interesting. I love the weather, whether its in my BY or on TX its all the same! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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