swamplover56 Posted December 7, 2017 Share Posted December 7, 2017 28 minutes ago, bluewave said: The EPS is getting close to KU potential for the 13th.-400 meter anomalies at 500 mb are usually reserved for the strongest East Coast winter storms. So while everyone is in the other thread bluewave what are we looking for on the 13th it def seems to be an earlier developer than what was modeled the last few cycles develops the low at Atlantic City latitude instead of long islandLong Island Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted December 7, 2017 Share Posted December 7, 2017 41 minutes ago, bluewave said: The EPS is getting close to KU potential for the 13th.-400 meter anomalies at 500 mb are usually reserved for the strongest East Coast winter storms. Bluewave, any thoughts on how this eventually plays out based on the ultimate strength of the low pressure area on the 8 th and 9 th . More digging , etc. Will be very interesting to say the least. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted December 7, 2017 Share Posted December 7, 2017 1 hour ago, bluewave said: The EPS is getting close to KU potential for the 13th.-400 meter anomalies at 500 mb are usually reserved for the strongest East Coast winter storms. Chris I think this is a snowstorm. We liked the 13th 18th 23rd But I agree about Tuesday , I think that rolls under and deepens at the BM Not a bad start to the pattern Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCG RS Posted December 7, 2017 Share Posted December 7, 2017 Chris I think this is a snowstorm. We liked the 13th 18th 23rd But I agree about Tuesday , I think that rolls under and deepens at the BM Not a bad start to the pattern I agree with the sentiment of you two and I like this storm for a good hit. Teleconnections are favorable, and the atmosphere looks rather primed. Ssts will also give this a nice boost, and I believe this may be in part what models are looking at (I'm regards to what eps is picking up on). A long way to go, but this may be something we haven't seen in quite a long time up the eastern seaboard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted December 7, 2017 Share Posted December 7, 2017 That's really impressive, it was only 2 years ago where we had 60s and 70s throughout the entire month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paragon Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 2 hours ago, bluewave said: Pent up demand from the string of recent Decembers. You think we could get a snowstorm on top of a snowstorm on top of a snowstorm on top of a snowstorm with little or no melting in between? Haven't seen that since 2011. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hailstorm Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 33 minutes ago, Paragon said: You think we could get a snowstorm on top of a snowstorm on top of a snowstorm on top of a snowstorm with little or no melting in between? Haven't seen that since 2011. Well, we also had that in Jan-Feb 2014 and Jan-Feb 2015 to an extent. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HeinzGuy Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 NAM looks 50 miles SE through hour 21 for storm 1 on Sat afternoon compared to 18z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 3 minutes ago, HeinzGuy said: NAM looks 50 miles SE through hour 21 for storm 1 on Sat afternoon compared to 18z Hour 21 is tomorrow and it looks about the same to me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HeinzGuy Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 3 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: Hour 21 is tomorrow and it looks about the same to me Yeah its close actually...think it was just slower with the timing so it looked southeast initially Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 On 12/4/2017 at 11:43 AM, snowman19 said: “Crankyweatherguy” on twitter has a whole new detailed tweet chain explaining why this weekend is going to be a total non event for the metro area. Just snow showers that at best may amount to a dusting or coating. Here is just one of his tweets on this, check out his other tweets as well: 2 for the price of 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 On 12/5/2017 at 10:59 PM, Doorman said: I will send out nails... to all the posters who need them, for the coffins burial at sea!!! Added to the list Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 Eps for next week has a miller B further south then the gfs and cmc. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 On 12/5/2017 at 11:04 PM, redbanknjandbigbasslakepa said: This one never had a chance. Never ever Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILoveWinter Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 27 minutes ago, PB GFI said: Never ever Yea he has been awfully quiet. I am no Met so I dont pretend to understand as much as many of you here but one thing I do know is never to make overly confident calls 3 or 4 days prior to the potential! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 Eps for next week has a miller B further south then the gfs and cmc.I may get annihilated for even saying this, but I could see some similarities to Dec 30, 2000 especially irt PHL being on the Southern fringes with NYC points N and E getting hit pretty good. Synoptic setup isn't terribly far off either. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 44 minutes ago, Snow88 said: Eps for next week has a miller B further south then the gfs and cmc. These late blooming Miller B's are always a close call for our area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 Just now, Rjay said: These late blooming Miller B's are always s close call for our area. Yes Ray Better for New England Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 7 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: I may get annihilated for even saying this, but I could see some similarities to Dec 30, 2000 especially irt PHL being on the Southern fringes with NYC points N and E getting hit pretty good. Synoptic setup isn't terribly far off either. It's early Ralph but I think you see accumulating snow. The main axis will be from 80 on N and probably focused in New England Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 GFS looks good for next weekend I am such a weenie following next weekend's storm while we are about to have a snowstorm tomorrow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow1 Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 29 minutes ago, Snow88 said: GFS looks good for next weekend I am such a weenie following next weekend's storm while we are about to have a snowstorm tomorrow Come on ant, you gotta explain how good it looks lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 8, 2017 Share Posted December 8, 2017 18 minutes ago, snow1 said: Come on ant, you gotta explain how good it looks lol Possible Miller b Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nibor Posted December 9, 2017 Share Posted December 9, 2017 Both the gfs and euro have had the 12-13 storm grazing the northern part of the metro for a few model runs. As of right now they show light impact. Still a few days away. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted December 10, 2017 Author Share Posted December 10, 2017 Nam gonna be solid run for NW areas imo..early but 500 looks much improved Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brasiluvsnow Posted December 10, 2017 Share Posted December 10, 2017 Did someone say a few posts back that there is something to watch this Tuesday ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Gorilla Posted December 10, 2017 Share Posted December 10, 2017 What is the latest on the early week event? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathermedic Posted December 10, 2017 Share Posted December 10, 2017 Looks like rain for the coast and nearby inland areas as the storm (clipper) goes by to our north and doesn't really develop until off the New England coast. Snow/frozen precip over to rain further inland. As it looks right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eduardo Posted December 10, 2017 Share Posted December 10, 2017 That Friday night feature on the 12Z Euro today has my curiosity piqued up a bit more. Would be a nice little hit of snow before relaxation, were it to verify... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternLI Posted December 10, 2017 Share Posted December 10, 2017 Eh, Not seeing much relaxation on the 12z EPS, and this is where it leaves us on Christmas eve : Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted December 10, 2017 Share Posted December 10, 2017 35 minutes ago, Eduardo said: That Friday night feature on the 12Z Euro today has my curiosity piqued up a bit more. Would be a nice little hit of snow before relaxation, were it to verify... Canadian has it too but borderline on temps Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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