redbanknjandbigbasslakepa Posted December 6, 2017 Share Posted December 6, 2017 Nam is actually further east than gfs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doorman Posted December 6, 2017 Share Posted December 6, 2017 I will send out nails... to all the posters who need them, for the coffins burial at sea!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
redbanknjandbigbasslakepa Posted December 6, 2017 Share Posted December 6, 2017 This one never had a chance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowBlitzkrieg Posted December 6, 2017 Share Posted December 6, 2017 GFS is a complete miss but the CMC is a probably a WSW event, about 18 hours of snowfall from the city east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowBlitzkrieg Posted December 6, 2017 Share Posted December 6, 2017 this happened last winter with the early January event, the GFS was way too far east in the 3-4 days before and never corrected west until the storm was in progress. we got a surprise 10" out on the island, it was a nice Saturday storm. that said, it's not a promising sign when the canadian is all by itself, but it came way way way west from 12z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doorman Posted December 6, 2017 Share Posted December 6, 2017 13 minutes ago, SnowBlitzkrieg said: GFS is a complete miss but the CMC is a probably a WSW event, about 18 hours of snowfall from the city east And I bet you can name every starting QB in the CFL !!!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mophstymeo Posted December 6, 2017 Share Posted December 6, 2017 Do we actually give credence to the CMC? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doorman Posted December 6, 2017 Share Posted December 6, 2017 5 minutes ago, Mophstymeo said: Do we actually give credence to the CMC? Big M Our job here is to find every last hope, for snow in the Metro.....without creating a flame war didn't you get the memo???? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted December 6, 2017 Share Posted December 6, 2017 10 minutes ago, Mophstymeo said: Do we actually give credence to the CMC? Not unless the GEFS UKMET or Euro move that way Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mophstymeo Posted December 6, 2017 Share Posted December 6, 2017 3 minutes ago, Doorman said: Big M Our job here is to find every last hope, for snow in the Metro.....without creating a flame war didn't you get the memo???? Alas . . . . Still, the map is pretty. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted December 6, 2017 Author Share Posted December 6, 2017 GGem is more of a dumpster fire than the NYG....clinching to it without other guidance would be a weenie move, if something else comes on hoard I’ll bite... still too flat imo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doorman Posted December 6, 2017 Share Posted December 6, 2017 10 day 0Z GFS snow total for the Metro #bestdecemberpattern Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCG RS Posted December 6, 2017 Share Posted December 6, 2017 GGem is more of a dumpster fire than the NYG....clinching to it without other guidance would be a weenie move, if something else comes on hoard I’ll bite... still too flat imoDay eight threat looks legitimate. While the NAM at h5 looks like a hit for the weekend, I still do not believe it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted December 6, 2017 Author Share Posted December 6, 2017 9 minutes ago, USCG RS said: 25 minutes ago, UlsterCountySnowZ said: GGem is more of a dumpster fire than the NYG....clinching to it without other guidance would be a weenie move, if something else comes on hoard I’ll bite... still too flat imo Day eight threat looks legitimate. While the NAM at h5 looks like a hit for the weekend, I still do not believe it. Lol... as I was responding I see UKIE came way west and stronger for Weeknd, also the Gefs have a lot of EC snowstorm members, still need gfs or euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCG RS Posted December 6, 2017 Share Posted December 6, 2017 Lol... as I was responding I see UKIE came way west and stronger for Weeknd, also the Gefs have a lot of EC snowstorm members, still need gfs or euro Yeah, there's alot in play and Flux right now, so we will see. That being said, I think regardless, this winter will plenty of snow for the entire sub forum. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted December 6, 2017 Share Posted December 6, 2017 6 hours ago, UlsterCountySnowZ said: Lol... as I was responding I see UKIE came way west and stronger for Weeknd, also the Gefs have a lot of EC snowstorm members, still need gfs or euro The real threat if there is one is next week. For this weekend the GFS/GEFS, Euro/EPS, all misses Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 6, 2017 Share Posted December 6, 2017 7 hours ago, redbanknjandbigbasslakepa said: This one never had a chance. Then stop posting in this thread. Your trolling is annoying Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 6, 2017 Share Posted December 6, 2017 6z GFS and gefs are slightly west of the previous runs. 6z Navgem is still a good hit It wouldn't take much for the gfs and Euro to trend back west. We have seen this many times with these events how the Stj was stronger than modeled as we got closer to the event Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 6, 2017 Share Posted December 6, 2017 7 hours ago, Doorman said: 10 day 0Z GFS snow total for the Metro #bestdecemberpattern You think this will be the final outcome ? LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 6, 2017 Share Posted December 6, 2017 7 hours ago, UlsterCountySnowZ said: GGem is more of a dumpster fire than the NYG....clinching to it without other guidance would be a weenie move, if something else comes on hoard I’ll bite... still too flat imo Navgem , Ukie , JMA and some gefs members. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
redbanknjandbigbasslakepa Posted December 6, 2017 Share Posted December 6, 2017 Overnight runs continue the trends of the last 48 hours of the fri-sun period being dry but cool. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherFeen2000 Posted December 6, 2017 Share Posted December 6, 2017 Navgem is a SECS for the Friday night system. It develops a decently strong low and rises the trough all the way into Maine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted December 6, 2017 Share Posted December 6, 2017 There is no GFS phasing for the 9th-----the 13th. now looks like the 9th. did previously-----a midmonth try and the first potential plowmaster GOM beast does not kickoff till the 19th. Enjoy the BN temps. while we wait. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 6, 2017 Share Posted December 6, 2017 6 minutes ago, redbanknjandbigbasslakepa said: Overnight runs continue the trends of the last 48 hours of the fri-sun period being dry but cool. Which runs ? You know how close the gfs and Euro were ? GFS ensembles are west of the op Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 6, 2017 Share Posted December 6, 2017 4 minutes ago, CIK62 said: There is no GFS phasing for the 9th-----the 13th. now looks like the 9th. did previously-----a midmonth try and the first potential plowmaster GOM beast does not kickoff till the 19th. Enjoy the BN temps. while we wait. Don't take your eye off of next weeks storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted December 6, 2017 Share Posted December 6, 2017 21 minutes ago, redbanknjandbigbasslakepa said: Overnight runs continue the trends of the last 48 hours of the fri-sun period being dry but cool. UKMET JMA GGEM GEFS EPS NAV ALL snow for you to some degree on the Jersey Shore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted December 6, 2017 Share Posted December 6, 2017 2 minutes ago, PB GFI said: UKMET JMA GGEM GEFS EPS NAV ALL snow for you to some degree on the Jersey Shore. Fake snow though....you know Paul, if it isn't a HECS it's not real. ;-) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted December 6, 2017 Share Posted December 6, 2017 1 minute ago, Ralph Wiggum said: Fake snow though....you know Paul, if it isn't a HECS it's not real. ;-) Ralph it's crazy , some of the declarative statements in here about these types of Arctic waves are hard to read through. The models are 72 hours out and precip shield and center need a 50 mile fix for some. But yeh , I guess if it's not sizeable it's not worth real analysis. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted December 6, 2017 Share Posted December 6, 2017 There’s definitely time for this to become more impressive aloft and shift west 50-75 miles or so. We’ve seen this numerous times with waves along the ridge that become more amplified at the end. Stop the bickering and trolling please. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted December 6, 2017 Share Posted December 6, 2017 My ignore user list keeps growing. Go figure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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