SnowGoose69 Posted December 28, 2017 Share Posted December 28, 2017 2 minutes ago, Snow88 said: Not sure if it breaks down completely The epo keeps reloading on the models. If you buy into what DT and a few others are saying about the La Niña with -QBOs it may never break aside from a 10-14 day thaw somewhere later next month. I’m not sure if the La Niña forcing is enough with us only avergarig somewhere around -0.7 to see a 10–11 type reversal Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted December 28, 2017 Share Posted December 28, 2017 Euro and GFS now sort of hint that best “snows” if you want to call them that may be to our south. Wouldn’t surprise me at all TBH as I’ve been giving people between ACY and TTN a heads up about possible accumulating snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 28, 2017 Share Posted December 28, 2017 Just now, SnowGoose69 said: Euro and GFS now sort of hint that best “snows” if you want to call them that may be to our south. Wouldn’t surprise me at all TBH as I’ve been giving people between ACY and TTN a heads up about possible accumulating snow Eps has also shifted west with the low offshore. Still little time to nail this down . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted December 28, 2017 Share Posted December 28, 2017 1 hour ago, Snow88 said: Not sure if it breaks down completely The epo keeps reloading on the models. My thinking is that it will be a 1-2 week relaxation. I am impressed that the recent runs of the EPS have tended to preserve the EPO- to some extent. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LurkerBoy Posted December 28, 2017 Share Posted December 28, 2017 1 hour ago, donsutherland1 said: My thinking is that it will be a 1-2 week relaxation. I am impressed that the recent runs of the EPS have tended to preserve the EPO- to some extent. When you say relaxation, do you think that means a relaxation from the current VERY cold pattern, or a more traditional January thaw with balmy temps and sun? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dan76 Posted December 28, 2017 Share Posted December 28, 2017 32 minutes ago, LurkerBoy said: When you say relaxation, do you think that means a relaxation from the current VERY cold pattern, or a more traditional January thaw with balmy temps and sun? Probably ... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted December 28, 2017 Share Posted December 28, 2017 42 minutes ago, LurkerBoy said: When you say relaxation, do you think that means a relaxation from the current VERY cold pattern, or a more traditional January thaw with balmy temps and sun? Less cold, less snowy than the period ending during the first 7-10 days in January. A more traditional thaw remains on the table, so to speak. However, such a relaxation will likely last 1-2 weeks. It should not be a long-enduring pattern change. The current La Niña event is weaker than some of those that saw the longer pattern change. Further, the trade winds have slackened for some time and that could be an early indication that the current La Niña event is either near its peak or has peaked. More data will be required before one can reach a better conclusion about whether or not the current La Niña has peaked. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted December 28, 2017 Share Posted December 28, 2017 A started a thread to discuss any storm potential for the first week of January since we have a separate thread for the clipper over the weekend now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IntenseBlizzard2014 Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 On 12/28/2017 at 12:26 AM, IntenseBlizzard2014 said: Looks great for the 3rd to the 5th. Called it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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