NortheastPAWx Posted December 25, 2017 Share Posted December 25, 2017 Just a little too late on that GFS outside LI. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted December 25, 2017 Share Posted December 25, 2017 Mt Holly Nws afd mentions social media is predicting a blockbuster storm this weekend. Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted December 25, 2017 Share Posted December 25, 2017 NYC now up to 0.25” vs. 0.15” at 18z. The Island does better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted December 25, 2017 Share Posted December 25, 2017 Next storm incoming on new years day Big hit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 25, 2017 Share Posted December 25, 2017 Gfs is way better for Saturday and New Years. Few inches for Saturday and a big snowstorm for New years. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted December 25, 2017 Share Posted December 25, 2017 4 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: Next storm incoming on new years day Blizzard for Suffolk and SNE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Enigma Posted December 25, 2017 Share Posted December 25, 2017 00z GFS is very close to HECS IF the phase occurs (but there's no phase). Clearly, NWP indicating high potential for something very significant the next 10 days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted December 25, 2017 Share Posted December 25, 2017 I still like wave 1 more. But here's wave 2 on the gfs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted December 25, 2017 Share Posted December 25, 2017 5 minutes ago, Snow88 said: Gfs is way better for Saturday and New Years. Few inches for Saturday and a big snowstorm for New years. You mean a few inches on friday, not saturday. The snow actually comes in pretty early on friday on tonight's GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted December 25, 2017 Share Posted December 25, 2017 14 minutes ago, Enigma said: Complete jibberish. When will mods do their job? Its 1145 at night on xmas eve, and he posted it 4 friggin minutes ago. Geez. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted December 25, 2017 Share Posted December 25, 2017 12 minutes ago, BxEngine said: Its 1145 at night on xmas eve, and he posted it 4 friggin minutes ago. Geez. I unhid your post. I'm sick of this crap. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted December 25, 2017 Share Posted December 25, 2017 Anyway, at least the Ukie leaves Bermuda alone this time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted December 25, 2017 Share Posted December 25, 2017 19 minutes ago, Rjay said: Anyway, at least the Ukie leaves Bermuda alone this time. This is one I still have a good feeling about. Lots of pieces on the board that can really create something nice if they come together. And as we’re seeing with the different outcomes, there’s multiple ways we can get a significant snow event with the potential for a major event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Enigma Posted December 25, 2017 Share Posted December 25, 2017 GEFS is east for both systems. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paragon Posted December 25, 2017 Share Posted December 25, 2017 3 hours ago, Stormlover74 said: Next storm incoming on new years day Big hit I really want to see a lot of snow falling when the ball drops and on New Years. Never seen that before. This would be better than the Millenium storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paragon Posted December 25, 2017 Share Posted December 25, 2017 3 hours ago, Enigma said: 00z GFS is very close to HECS IF the phase occurs (but there's no phase). Clearly, NWP indicating high potential for something very significant the next 10 days. Think we are trending towards a phase? I wonder how much Cape Cod is going to get with this system lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted December 25, 2017 Share Posted December 25, 2017 1 hour ago, Paragon said: Think we are trending towards a phase? I wonder how much Cape Cod is going to get with this system lol. Mt Holly Nws morning afd mentions the phase looks to occur to late. Light snowfall likely... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted December 25, 2017 Share Posted December 25, 2017 3 hours ago, Animal said: Mt Holly Nws morning afd mentions the phase looks to occur to late. Light snowfall likely... Eps agrees Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 25, 2017 Share Posted December 25, 2017 10 minutes ago, Rjay said: Eps agrees Members are all over the place lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted December 25, 2017 Share Posted December 25, 2017 6 minutes ago, Snow88 said: Members are all over the place lol many show a late bloomer..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 25, 2017 Share Posted December 25, 2017 12 minutes ago, Rjay said: many show a late bloomer..... Yep Usually good for the NYC area and the best for SNE but we want the low to bomb further south. The models are still in crazy mode. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted December 25, 2017 Share Posted December 25, 2017 The northern stream dominant GFS having more activity over the next 10 days than the Euro probably means the Euro is over squashing things Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted December 25, 2017 Share Posted December 25, 2017 Overunning, to a coastal bomb to an IVT to a late blooming Miller B. Lol. Merry Christmas... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted December 25, 2017 Share Posted December 25, 2017 11 minutes ago, Rjay said: Overunning, to a coastal bomb to an IVT to a late blooming Miller B. Lol. Merry Christmas... I was curious to see what the 12z GFS would show as we are now in the "big" window. to my surprise...I don't see a storm that impacts the NY metro area. hmm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted December 25, 2017 Share Posted December 25, 2017 It's an awful model run, it would be devastating if we didn't get any snow from this pattern because we will warm after wards, and if it ends up like 10/11 then winter will end early. Have fun defending this one weenies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted December 25, 2017 Share Posted December 25, 2017 This threat looks nothing like it did the other day. As we stand now, it looks super unfavorable for anything other a period of snow over the weekend. Wave 2 is prob dead too if the TPV parks it's over NNE as it will likely shred anything that attempts to come up this way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherFeen2000 Posted December 25, 2017 Share Posted December 25, 2017 13 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said: It's an awful model run, it would be devastating if we didn't get any snow from this pattern because we will warm after wards, and if it ends up like 10/11 then winter will end early. Have fun defending this one weenies. Winter is not ending on January 11th sorry to break it to you. Yes winter looks to peak this week but it's not ending in two weeks use some common sense dude Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted December 25, 2017 Share Posted December 25, 2017 11 minutes ago, Rjay said: This threat looks nothing like it did the other day. As we stand now, it looks super unfavorable for anything other a period of snow over the weekend. Wave 2 is prob dead too if the TPV parks it's over NNE as it will likely shred anything that attempts to come up this way. I just hope we get some snow out of it, even if it isn't a significant system. I see the 12z GGEM does bring in a decent batch of snow from the west for saturday and gives the area a couple inches of snow. With the super cold weather in place, I think that would make people happy since the snow would stay on the ground. I don't know if GFS is off with this light snow event it has been showing for friday. The saturday threat looks better to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowman86 Posted December 25, 2017 Share Posted December 25, 2017 Common sense isn't so common anymore. Back to weather reporting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted December 25, 2017 Share Posted December 25, 2017 5 minutes ago, WeatherFeen2000 said: Winter is not ending on January 11th sorry to break it to you. Yes winter looks to peak this week but it's not ending in two weeks use some common sense dude I said if it goes that route, not that it will. GGEM only has a clipper during the next 10 days and completely whiffs on wave 1 & 2. Euro/EPS have stayed away from this the last 2-3 days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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