Monmouth_County_Jacpot Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 11 minutes ago, redbanknjandbigbasslakepa said: Setup is poor for next weekend. It’s toast, next. Would love for this storm to come west stick it right in you’re mug Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILoveWinter Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 12 minutes ago, redbanknjandbigbasslakepa said: Setup is poor for next weekend. It’s toast, next. Follow the hot hand? The inner troll is strong with you Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Gorilla Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 13 minutes ago, redbanknjandbigbasslakepa said: Setup is poor for next weekend. It’s toast, next. Wow, so confident of this solution a week away? Because, you know, storms almost always verify as exactly modeled this far out.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 15 minutes ago, redbanknjandbigbasslakepa said: Setup is poor for next weekend. It’s toast, next. You shouldn't even be talking Your trolling Is stupid Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 Gefs members are west of the op Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 His trolling seems to be working bc he got a bunch of responses. Let it go folks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 2 hours ago, Snow88 said: Gefs members are west of the op We have cold air and an active pattern with two shots of snow after Christmas. I will take my chances. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nibor Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 1 minute ago, Rjay said: A good portion of the members are west of the mean. It's been mentioned that the closer we get to the event the models move west. Though the threat of suppression is there it's definitely not dead. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 13 minutes ago, Rjay said: His trolling seems to be working bc he got a bunch of responses. Let it go folks. His trolling got us a few snow events lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 Modelology and not meteorology reigns supreme in these forums. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JetsPens87 Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 1 hour ago, redbanknjandbigbasslakepa said: Setup is poor for next weekend. It’s toast, next. Mods can we get rid of this garbage? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 13 minutes ago, JetsPens87 said: Mods can we get rid of this garbage? I know they are doing the best that they can while still trying to get in some holiday time. I truly hope trolls don’t stop you from continuing to contribute to the board as it’s appreciated. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JetsPens87 Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 9 minutes ago, IrishRob17 said: I know they are doing the best that they can while still trying to get in some holiday time. I truly hope trolls don’t stop you from continuing to contribute to the board as it’s appreciated. Most of the time I just ignore and move on but this guy is just over the top with it hah. And thank you I will be around no matter what. Merry Xmas to you and yours! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 36 minutes ago, JetsPens87 said: Mods can we get rid of this garbage? He did. I unhid it for posterity. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 Not one post on the Euro? Wow. The first piece of energy escapes ots but then the TPV comes through and gives us a period of snow. Another solution with some pretty big potential. It's going to take some time before the models get a handle on this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 12 minutes ago, Rjay said: Not one post on the Euro? Wow. The first piece of energy escapes ots but then the TPV comes through and gives us a period of snow. Another solution with some pretty big potential. It's going to take some time before the models get a handle on this. We still get several inches from this Stronger west coast ridge and tons of energy around. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mophstymeo Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 1 hour ago, Snow88 said: His trolling got us a few snow events lol The problem is that one of these days he will actually be right, and at that point he'll be insufferable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 Remember guys nothing has been sampled yet. We have the favorable west trend as well. The fact that there is a major storm signal is all we need right now. I’d be willing to bet my life savings we get at least a moderate event out of this pattern. I’d say chances of that are near 100%. As far as something very large as in a 96 style KU somewhere around 50/50 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 Huge spread on the eps Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 Strong Atlantic blocking would've been nice or if that doesn't work then a SE ridge could bring this further west. It's happening with today's system, maybe it'll help that one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 2 hours ago, SnoSki14 said: Strong Atlantic blocking would've been nice or if that doesn't work then a SE ridge could bring this further west. It's happening with today's system, maybe it'll help that one. A strong NAO block would have def suppressed this. A larger PNA spike would help slow down the initial s/w. The WAR has been undermodeled for years and I expect the same here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 4 minutes ago, Rjay said: A strong block would have def suppressed this. A larger PNA spike would help slow down the initial s/w. The WAR has been undermodeled for years and I expect the same here. Especially in a La niña year Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Plowsman Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 Remember guys nothing has been sampled yet. We have the favorable west trend as well. The fact that there is a major storm signal is all we need right now. I’d be willing to bet my life savings we get at least a moderate event out of this pattern. I’d say chances of that are near 100%. As far as something very large as in a 96 style KU somewhere around 50/50 How much would that be? 🤣 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 1 hour ago, SnoSki14 said: Strong Atlantic blocking would've been nice or if that doesn't work then a SE ridge could bring this further west. It's happening with today's system, maybe it'll help that one. If there was a strong west-based -NAO (Greenland Block) there would definitely be no hope at all for it. Suppression would be a near certainty Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 Gfs much improved over 12z gfs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 9 minutes ago, Snow88 said: Gfs much improved over 12z gfs 18z GFS gives the area a 1 to 3 inch snowfall on friday. Euro focuses more on the weekend. Models will be confused for awhile. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 Gefs is west of the op Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 GFS QPF (last 3 runs): 12/29 0z through 12/31 0z Period: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted December 25, 2017 Share Posted December 25, 2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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