ILoveWinter Posted December 22, 2017 Share Posted December 22, 2017 3 minutes ago, UlsterCountySnowZ said: That Kuchera map tho lmao BECS ftw, lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yanksfan Posted December 22, 2017 Share Posted December 22, 2017 1 minute ago, ILoveWinter said: BECS ftw, lol That map is avatar worthy. Weather porn at its finest. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted December 22, 2017 Author Share Posted December 22, 2017 12 minutes ago, NJwx85 said: I purposely posted a map that doesn't include anything but the New Years storm. Minus 3-5” for our area... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherlogix Posted December 22, 2017 Share Posted December 22, 2017 16 minutes ago, UlsterCountySnowZ said: That Kuchera map tho lmao Ugh, going to both Phish shows, 12/30 & 31....poorly timed big snowstorm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted December 22, 2017 Share Posted December 22, 2017 1 minute ago, UlsterCountySnowZ said: Minus 3-5” for our area... The Kuchera method is for weenies. It was an exciting run, but it's nine days away. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 22, 2017 Share Posted December 22, 2017 Just now, NJwx85 said: The Kuchera method is for weenies. It was an exciting run, but it's nine days away. 7-8 days away Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted December 22, 2017 Share Posted December 22, 2017 3 minutes ago, NJwx85 said: The Kuchera method is for weenies. It was an exciting run, but it's nine days away. The pattern is promising. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted December 22, 2017 Share Posted December 22, 2017 31 minutes ago, NJwx85 said: The Kuchera method is for weenies. It was an exciting run, but it's nine days away. How is the Kuchera method for weenies? All it does is factor in snow ratios, rather than assuming 10:1. Not every storm is 10:1, so Kuchera maps tend to be more accurate than 10:1 maps. When snow ratios are going to be poor, the Kuchera snow maps show less snow than the 10:1 maps. Nothing weenie about it at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted December 22, 2017 Author Share Posted December 22, 2017 38 minutes ago, NJwx85 said: The Kuchera method is for weenies. It was an exciting run, but it's nine days away. And this is a model thread Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted December 22, 2017 Author Share Posted December 22, 2017 43 minutes ago, NJwx85 said: The Kuchera method is for weenies. It was an exciting run, but it's nine days away. Here you are your majesty lol...such a big difference wowwwww Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Metasequoia Posted December 22, 2017 Share Posted December 22, 2017 4 minutes ago, winterwx21 said: How is the Kuchera method for weenies? All it does is factor in snow ratios, rather than assuming 10:1. Not every storm is 10:1, so Kuchera maps tend to be more accurate than 10:1 maps. When snow ratios are going to be poor, the Kuchera snow maps show less snow than the 10:1 maps. Nothing weenie about it at all. From past experience, I think it's wise to think of Kuchera maps as representing maximum snow potential. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Gorilla Posted December 22, 2017 Share Posted December 22, 2017 I would be happy with even a quarter of that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted December 22, 2017 Share Posted December 22, 2017 There's explosive potential here and in the past we either benefited significantly (1'+) or at the very least got involved (4-10") That -EPO has been very good to us so far, and it looks more likely we'll have a -AO too, perfect couplet so far this month for our snows. I think even if this is more of a southern storm, we'll still get several inches out of it. Should be an interesting New Year's Eve. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kpantz Posted December 22, 2017 Share Posted December 22, 2017 It's missing the Monmouth County bullseye. I'd take it with a grain of salt. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted December 22, 2017 Share Posted December 22, 2017 16 minutes ago, UlsterCountySnowZ said: Here you are your majesty lol...such a big difference wowwwww Just had Jan 2015 flashback Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowman86 Posted December 22, 2017 Share Posted December 22, 2017 So we are looking at a possible storm next friday. i know its a long way out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paragon Posted December 22, 2017 Share Posted December 22, 2017 1 hour ago, NJwx85 said: Surface low tracks from Ocean City, MD to ACY to Suffolk County. It's the perfect track for 95% of the sub forum and revenge for the recent big storms that favored the East end of Long Island. Match this to the Millenium storm track, very similar, stayed all snow on the south shore of Nassau with 12-16 inches, mixed in Suffolk and all rain in eastern New England Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paragon Posted December 22, 2017 Share Posted December 22, 2017 30 minutes ago, UlsterCountySnowZ said: Here you are your majesty lol...such a big difference wowwwww lol the totals are very similar to the ones for the Millenium storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted December 22, 2017 Author Share Posted December 22, 2017 17 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: Just had Jan 2015 flashback Don’t u ever Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paragon Posted December 22, 2017 Share Posted December 22, 2017 Just now, UlsterCountySnowZ said: Don’t u ever That was an amazing winter, one miss can't change that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternLI Posted December 22, 2017 Share Posted December 22, 2017 Euro/gfs blend looks nice from where I sit at this range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted December 22, 2017 Share Posted December 22, 2017 23 minutes ago, UlsterCountySnowZ said: Don’t u ever A bad flashback not a good one, lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted December 22, 2017 Share Posted December 22, 2017 22 minutes ago, Paragon said: That was an amazing winter, one miss can't change that. Was pretty good. Most of the Feb events involved mixing which was odd considering how cold it was. March was nice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted December 22, 2017 Share Posted December 22, 2017 Gfs already looks much better for next week storm Looks like a coastal hugger, then pulls NE so most areas stay snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 22, 2017 Share Posted December 22, 2017 4 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: Gfs already looks much better for next week storm Looks like a coastal hugger, then pulls NE so most areas stay snow Classic east coast track Big snowstorm on the gfs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted December 22, 2017 Share Posted December 22, 2017 8-14" areawide Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted December 22, 2017 Share Posted December 22, 2017 4 minutes ago, bluewave said: The OP Euro and GFS both have that diving TPV through the area. We can get very extreme storms in situations like this. http://wx.graphics/models/ecmwf/ecmwf.php http://wx.graphics/models/gfs/gfs.php Do the ensembles and EPS show a similar setup? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted December 22, 2017 Share Posted December 22, 2017 If only this wasn't so far away, 7-8 days out is an eternity. Nice second fantasy storm on 18z gfs post New Year's. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 22, 2017 Share Posted December 22, 2017 Nice signal on the gefs for next weekend Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted December 23, 2017 Share Posted December 23, 2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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