Powerball Posted April 17, 2018 Share Posted April 17, 2018 Please, make it stop... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AfewUniversesBelowNormal Posted April 17, 2018 Share Posted April 17, 2018 There is a pretty good signal of negative North Atlantic Tripole right now. Historically, the Spring is a great time to correlate Atlantic SSTs with hurricane season activity. 1969,1995, 1998, 2005, 2010 were the highest +NTA Spring's and the average #storms for these years is about 20. El Nino also looks like a sure things, so I'd go over/under on number named storms 12. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AfewUniversesBelowNormal Posted April 17, 2018 Share Posted April 17, 2018 Check out the progression of storm 4-20 to 4-23, very El Nino-ish Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinstonSalemArlington Posted April 18, 2018 Share Posted April 18, 2018 Brad Panovich: Clearly we aren't doing Spring this year. #cltwx #ncwx #scwx Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinstonSalemArlington Posted April 18, 2018 Share Posted April 18, 2018 Spring Cancel Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yotaman Posted April 18, 2018 Share Posted April 18, 2018 Awesome, I love the cooler weather. The longer I get to keep the A/C off, the better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinstonSalemArlington Posted April 18, 2018 Share Posted April 18, 2018 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NC_hailstorm Posted April 20, 2018 Share Posted April 20, 2018 GFS spiting out some healthy rain totals lately,here's today at day 5.Euro not as aggressive east of I-77 but it's upping totals slowly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tramadoc Posted April 20, 2018 Share Posted April 20, 2018 What spring? I'm so tired of all this rain. I thought La Nina's were dry in the southeast? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted April 20, 2018 Share Posted April 20, 2018 43 minutes ago, tramadoc said: What spring? I'm so tired of all this rain. I thought La Nina's were dry in the southeast? Rain in the spring is good. It keeps the air from being yellow! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frazdaddy Posted April 20, 2018 Share Posted April 20, 2018 1 hour ago, Cold Rain said: Rain in the spring is good. It keeps the air from being yellow! Yupp, and my pond has finally reached max level. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SENC Posted April 20, 2018 Share Posted April 20, 2018 This "False Spring" is something ehh? At least I'm keeping the Electric bill to almost Nil... Sea surface Temp is stuck at 60... Mucho delaying the "spring" fish run down here.. Were Usually catching Spanish Mackerel by now... Or Sea Mullet.. No signs of either Species of Fish... except waaaaay down south, like in Florida.. Not supposed to get above 70 all this week here on the Beach's Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solak Posted April 20, 2018 Share Posted April 20, 2018 NWS RaleighVerified account @NWSRaleigh 19m19 minutes ago Heavy rain is expected next week across the Carolinas. With rivers running high from prior rainfall, a few locations could see some minor river flooding. This is not expected to be a widespread flooding event but soggy conditions will prevail through much of next week. #ncwx Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moonhowl Posted April 20, 2018 Share Posted April 20, 2018 50 minutes ago, SENC said: This "False Spring" is something ehh? At least I'm keeping the Electric bill to almost Nil... Sea surface Temp is stuck at 60... Mucho delaying the "spring" fish run down here.. Were Usually catching Spanish Mackerel by now... Or Sea Mullet.. No signs of either Species of Fish... except waaaaay down south, like in Florida.. Not supposed to get above 70 all this week here on the Beach's It is remarkable and looking at the long range the pattern seems to show no sign of changing. Since it looks like it is going to hold until next winter; we should be in for some epic snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SENC Posted April 20, 2018 Share Posted April 20, 2018 31 minutes ago, Moonhowl said: It is remarkable and looking at the long range the pattern seems to show no sign of changing. Since it looks like it is going to hold until next winter; we should be in for some epic snow. Solar Minimum? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solak Posted April 20, 2018 Share Posted April 20, 2018 May, June, July per the CPC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAD_Wedge_NC Posted April 21, 2018 Share Posted April 21, 2018 6 hours ago, SENC said: Solar Minimum? I have always wanted to witness a year without a summer. However, sorry to say, we can't avoid the inevitable heat that's coming. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tramadoc Posted April 21, 2018 Share Posted April 21, 2018 Rain in the spring is good. It keeps the air from being yellow!Rain is good, to a point. My yard is saturated and the ditches in my neighborhood have been holding water since December. La Nina my butthole. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FallsLake Posted April 21, 2018 Share Posted April 21, 2018 11 hours ago, CAD_Wedge_NC said: I have always wanted to witness a year without a summer. However, sorry to say, we can't avoid the inevitable heat that's coming. I'm sorry to say we'll probably go straight from using heat to AC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
drfranklin Posted April 21, 2018 Share Posted April 21, 2018 11 hours ago, CAD_Wedge_NC said: I have always wanted to witness a year without a summer. However, sorry to say, we can't avoid the inevitable heat that's coming. I recall a summer about 5 years ago ('13 or '14) where it rained nearly every day/every other day/was always cloudy - only had a few weeks of intense heat/humidity - I vividly remember this summer as my kids had nearly all outdoor swimming events delayed/canceled Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted April 21, 2018 Share Posted April 21, 2018 4 hours ago, drfranklin said: I recall a summer about 5 years ago ('13 or '14) where it rained nearly every day/every other day/was always cloudy - only had a few weeks of intense heat/humidity - I vividly remember this summer as my kids had nearly all outdoor swimming events delayed/canceled It may have been summer of ‘’12? we had tons of rain that summer! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solak Posted April 21, 2018 Share Posted April 21, 2018 2 hours ago, mackerel_sky said: It may have been summer of ‘’12? we had tons of rain that summer! It's probably archived here somewhere. I remember Brick's kid's ball games getting rained out something like a gazillion times Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
goldsborosnow Posted April 21, 2018 Share Posted April 21, 2018 3 minutes ago, Solak said: It's probably archived here somewhere. I remember Brick's kid's ball games getting rained out something like a gazillion times There was a thread titled "The Big Wet" during one of those summers. I can't remember the year, but it was in the 2012 or 2013 time frame. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
drfranklin Posted April 21, 2018 Share Posted April 21, 2018 2 hours ago, mackerel_sky said: It may have been summer of ‘’12? we had tons of rain that summer! not sure, it might have been 2013 - I've been a resident in various parts of the Southeast all of my life - that was one of the mildest summers I can recall - it was great! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AfewUniversesBelowNormal Posted April 21, 2018 Share Posted April 21, 2018 It will probably be an above average temperature Summer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NC_hailstorm Posted April 21, 2018 Share Posted April 21, 2018 Euro is still putting heaviest rain on I-77 and west,hour 84 below..GFS is still more widespread across NC/SC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment Posted April 21, 2018 Share Posted April 21, 2018 50 minutes ago, NC_hailstorm said: Euro is still putting heaviest rain on I-77 and west,hour 84 below..GFS is still more widespread across NC/SC. Wow you can easily identify the eastern escarpment there. Got over 4 inches out of last system, look to get at least that much this go around. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solak Posted April 22, 2018 Share Posted April 22, 2018 NWS Newport/MoreheadVerified account @NWSMoreheadCity 22m22 minutes ago Heavy rains, gusty winds and minor coastal flooding will be possible Monday night and Tuesday as low pressure approaches then moves across the area. Please monitor the latest NWS forecasts for the latest on this system. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solak Posted April 22, 2018 Share Posted April 22, 2018 Patrick Rockey WTKRVerified account @PatrickRockey 13m13 minutes ago RAIN FORECAST: 7-day rain forecast from the Weather Prediction Center. Check radar--> https://ift.tt/2vsWBAZ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SENC Posted April 22, 2018 Share Posted April 22, 2018 SUMMARY...A marginal tornado/wind damage threat is expected across parts of southern Alabama, the Florida Panhandle and far southwestern Georgia this afternoon. The threats are not currently expected to be great enough to warrant watch issuance. DISCUSSION...Latest surface analysis shows a 1010 mb low across southern Mississippi with backed southeast flow across much of southern Alabama, southwestern Georgia and the Florida Panhandle. Surface dewpoints in these areas are in the mid to upper 60s F and the RAP is estimating SBCAPE values in the 750 to 1500 J/kg range. In addition, the Fort Rucker, Alabama WSR-88D VWP shows a curved hodograph with 0-3 km storm relative helicity around 300 m2/s2. This suggests that the stronger discrete cells will rotate and could have a marginal tornado and/or wind damage threat. In spite of this, a large area of cloudiness and rainfall is present from the Florida Panhandle northward across much of Alabama. This should limit any further destabilization and should keep any severe threat marginal this afternoon. Nevertheless, we will continue to closely monitor the situation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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