tramadoc Posted March 18, 2018 Share Posted March 18, 2018 I had thunderstorms this morning. It was nice to see the flashes and hear the thunder. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FallsLake Posted March 18, 2018 Share Posted March 18, 2018 Some of the 18Z and 0z the model runs started to trend more north with the potential Wednesday event. They look to have stopped that trend and even shifted back southward with the 6z runs. I like what the NAM is showing, particularly for NC. Some of these models are showing over 4" but we have to keep our expectations down to maybe getting another output like last week; whereas somebody lucky might see 3" but most (in the snowfall areas) will see less than 1". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FallsLake Posted March 18, 2018 Share Posted March 18, 2018 From RAH: Hazardous Weather Outlook Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Raleigh NC 916 AM EDT Sun Mar 18 2018 NCZ007>010-021>026-038>041-191330- Person-Granville-Vance-Warren-Forsyth-Guilford-Alamance-Orange- Durham-Franklin-Davidson-Randolph-Chatham-Wake- 916 AM EDT Sun Mar 18 2018 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central North Carolina. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight. Hazardous weather is not expected at this time. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday. A low pressure system will result in a chance of rain and snow Tuesday night into Wednesday. While confidence in details remains low, a light accumulation will be possible. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. $$ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tacoma Posted March 18, 2018 Share Posted March 18, 2018 5 minutes ago, FallsLake said: From RAH: Hazardous Weather Outlook Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Raleigh NC 916 AM EDT Sun Mar 18 2018 NCZ007>010-021>026-038>041-191330- Person-Granville-Vance-Warren-Forsyth-Guilford-Alamance-Orange- Durham-Franklin-Davidson-Randolph-Chatham-Wake- 916 AM EDT Sun Mar 18 2018 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central North Carolina. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight. Hazardous weather is not expected at this time. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday. A low pressure system will result in a chance of rain and snow Tuesday night into Wednesday. While confidence in details remains low, a light accumulation will be possible. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. $$ Yep I think GSP is out to lunch right now, I think the mountains see some accumulations out of this if models hold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wake4est Posted March 18, 2018 Share Posted March 18, 2018 NAM is north Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FallsLake Posted March 18, 2018 Share Posted March 18, 2018 1 hour ago, Tacoma said: Yep I think GSP is out to lunch right now, I think the mountains see some accumulations out of this if models hold. The 12z NAM shifted the goods north. The MA folks are loving the numbers (> foot). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted March 18, 2018 Share Posted March 18, 2018 Still plenty of time for it to shift south... lets see what GFS/CMC/EURO say... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PackGrad05 Posted March 18, 2018 Share Posted March 18, 2018 How are y’all seeing the NAM so far out? I can’t see past Tuesday. Also it is concerning that NAM shifted north. It has been on the money with every other system it seems like. GFS is also pathetic. At least 6z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PackGrad05 Posted March 18, 2018 Share Posted March 18, 2018 Nevermind, I figured it out. The 12Z GFS and NAM are not enthused for central NC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PackGrad05 Posted March 18, 2018 Share Posted March 18, 2018 The silence is deafening. 18z models aren’t bringing the goods either. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted March 18, 2018 Share Posted March 18, 2018 IT’S NNNNOOOOOOOOTTTTT GOING TO SNOW!!!!!!!! Just trying to make it not so silent. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chapelhill Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 3 hours ago, Cold Rain said: IT’S NNNNOOOOOOOOTTTTT GOING TO SNOW!!!!!!!! Just trying to make it not so silent. Silly man. It will snow way up there where no one is... And we will be amazed. Happy face. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherHawk Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 3 hours ago, Cold Rain said: IT’S NNNNOOOOOOOOTTTTT GOING TO SNOW!!!!!!!! Just trying to make it not so silent. You are right...it will not snow in Raleigh...so you are accurate Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover91 Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 36 minutes ago, WeatherHawk said: You are right...it will not snow in Raleigh...so you are accurate 3km nam would disagree. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PackGrad05 Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 Overnight runs don't look great. Maybe some rain/snow mix or flurries. That's about it for central NC. About all we can hope for now is the model runs today to bring this more south, a bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FallsLake Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 49 minutes ago, PackGrad05 said: Overnight runs don't look great. Maybe some rain/snow mix or flurries. That's about it for central NC. About all we can hope for now is the model runs today to bring this more south, a bit. Yeah I'm not liking the trends. If models don't shift back south today (by 12z), I think flurries or snow showers will be best we can manage. But I'm actually ok with that solution. It's spring and I'm ready to start the season. **winter keeps gasping for that last breath of air... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tacoma Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PackGrad05 Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 The 12Z NAM, both 12KM and 3KM varieties, show a little snow for central NC in the morning hours on Wednesday. Could mess up the morning commute a little bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PackGrad05 Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 Anyone have the new euro? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sw NC weather Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 30 minutes ago, PackGrad05 said: Anyone have the new euro? There are some good pics in the mid Atlantic forum and it’s crushes them but in nc mostly rain east of the mountains Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thor Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sarcean Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 RNK says I have a chance of at least seeing some snow fall. TUESDAY NIGHT...Rain. Snow likely after midnight. Snow accumulation up to 1 inch. Cooler with lows in the mid 30s. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph. Chance of precipitation 90 percent. .WEDNESDAY...A chance of snow in the morning. Cloudy with a chance of rain. Little or no snow accumulation. Highs in the lower 40s. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph. Chance of precipitation 50 percent. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain with a slight chance of snow in the evening. Little or no snow accumulation. Lows in the lower 30s. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to 25 mph. Chance of precipitation 30 percent. .THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 40s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SENC Posted March 19, 2018 Share Posted March 19, 2018 Local AFD calling for "flurries" here locally.. Area forecast discussion National Weather Service Wilmington NC 335 PM EDT Mon Mar 19 2018 Possible strong to severe thunderstorms will occur ahead of the low on Tuesday with potential for a few flurries in the mix as colder air moves in on the back end on Wednesday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 So when does the snow start Wednesday? Why is there not a thread? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PackGrad05 Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 Wednesday morning mix/snow burst I hear. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tramadoc Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 So when does the snow start Wednesday? Why is there not a thread? Look who's back! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCentralWake Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 00z NAM looks a little better for Central NC. Brings snow during morning commute. Here’s 12km. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 2 hours ago, mackerel_sky said: So when does the snow start Wednesday? Why is there not a thread? Lololololol Haters gonna hate!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCentralWake Posted March 20, 2018 Share Posted March 20, 2018 3km NAM looking even better Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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