Upstate Tiger Posted January 26, 2018 Share Posted January 26, 2018 I don't understand all the wailing and gnashing of teeth on here right now. We are at our below average the next 10 days after this weekend. There is also a potential threat showing up for next weekend and the indices look even better after that. It turned cold the second week of November and except for a few brief warmups it has been cold since then. We have had a 3" snow before Christmas and a 5" snow in January plus a number of morning with single digit lows IMBY. I have been closely following winters for 41 of my 53 years here in the SE and this one has been a good one by SE standards. Even "great" winters here in the SE are usually front, middle or back loaded. We still have possibilities heading into Feb. It is quite unusual for us in the SE to go multiple months with threats of winter weather. Enjoy it folks, it's a rare thing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherHawk Posted January 26, 2018 Share Posted January 26, 2018 7 minutes ago, Upstate Tiger said: I don't understand all the wailing and gnashing of teeth on here right now. We are at our below average the next 10 days after this weekend. There is also a potential threat showing up for next weekend and the indices look even better after that. It turned cold the second week of November and except for a few brief warmups it has been cold since then. We have had a 3" snow before Christmas and a 5" snow in January plus a number of morning with single digit lows IMBY. I have been closely following winters for 41 of my 53 years here in the SE and this one has been a good one by SE standards. Even "great" winters here in the SE are usually front, middle or back loaded. We still have possibilities heading into Feb. It is quite unusual for us in the SE to go multiple months with threats of winter weather. Enjoy it folks, it's a rare thing. 10-4 and we are not even half-way done with our winter...more to come Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PisgahNCWeather Posted January 26, 2018 Share Posted January 26, 2018 The comments from people who have not been doing their homework have been very entertaining to say the least. Heck I have been hitting 400 yard long drives just since a few days ago while this torch has been going on. Anyway just relax as the Mother is coming and it will be fun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 26, 2018 Share Posted January 26, 2018 5 minutes ago, PisgahNCWeather said: The comments from people who have not been doing their homework have been very entertaining to say the least. Heck I have been hitting 400 yard long drives just since a few days ago while this torch has been going on. Anyway just relax as the Mother is coming and it will be fun. Yeah, the heat and humidity make the air more buoyant, so 400 yd drives ate easier to come by! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orangeburgwx Posted January 26, 2018 Share Posted January 26, 2018 28 minutes ago, Upstate Tiger said: I don't understand all the wailing and gnashing of teeth on here right now. We are at our below average the next 10 days after this weekend. There is also a potential threat showing up for next weekend and the indices look even better after that. It turned cold the second week of November and except for a few brief warmups it has been cold since then. We have had a 3" snow before Christmas and a 5" snow in January plus a number of morning with single digit lows IMBY. I have been closely following winters for 41 of my 53 years here in the SE and this one has been a good one by SE standards. Even "great" winters here in the SE are usually front, middle or back loaded. We still have possibilities heading into Feb. It is quite unusual for us in the SE to go multiple months with threats of winter weather. Enjoy it folks, it's a rare thing. You raise a good point, even I saw a few flakes before Thanksgiving (first time in my life I have witnessed that). I think the main reason there is so much gnashing is because we are snow hungry, most of us are way overdue (myself included) for a major winter storm that dumps several feet of snow IOBYs. If you think about it, the pattern goes back to LAST winter, Savannah got snow showers around St. Patrick’s Day for crying out loud (I was there). Then our summer was cooler than the last few years m and rainy, IMBY anyway, then followed up with the pattern flip at the end of October that set us up. Keep in mind, this is a LA NIÑA winter, just imagine if we had this set up with a weak El Niño... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow dog Posted January 26, 2018 Share Posted January 26, 2018 29 minutes ago, Orangeburgwx said: You raise a good point, even I saw a few flakes before Thanksgiving (first time in my life I have witnessed that). I think the main reason there is so much gnashing is because we are snow hungry, most of us are way overdue (myself included) for a major winter storm that dumps several feet of snow IOBYs. If you think about it, the pattern goes back to LAST winter, Savannah got snow showers around St. Patrick’s Day for crying out loud (I was there). Then our summer was cooler than the last few years m and rainy, IMBY anyway, then followed up with the pattern flip at the end of October that set us up. Keep in mind, this is a LA NIÑA winter, just imagine if we had this set up with a weak El Niño... If you are waiting for a storm to dump several feet of snow in Orangeburg, SC, your wait might be quite long, because that's not happening. I've lived in the upstate of SC all 47 years of my life, and have only seen a 12"+ snow (1988). Some peoples' expectations are hilarious to say the least... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 26, 2018 Share Posted January 26, 2018 1 hour ago, PisgahNCWeather said: The comments from people who have not been doing their homework have been very entertaining to say the least. Heck I have been hitting 400 yard long drives just since a few days ago while this torch has been going on. Anyway just relax as the Mother is coming and it will be fun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 26, 2018 Share Posted January 26, 2018 Man, the 12z GFS is money after the 7th! Going for glory, temps are off, but it'll make its own cold air! Cold shots look transient, but Fab Feb is gonna be great! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orangeburgwx Posted January 26, 2018 Share Posted January 26, 2018 1 hour ago, Snow dog said: If you are waiting for a storm to dump several feet of snow in Orangeburg, SC, your wait might be quite long, because that's not happening. I've lived in the upstate of SC all 47 years of my life, and have only seen a 12"+ snow (1988). Some peoples' expectations are hilarious to say the least... I am happy with an inch a year, so anything more than that and I’m satisfied. Luckily I’m sitting at 5.4” total so far Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FlatLander48 Posted January 26, 2018 Share Posted January 26, 2018 GFS and now CMC very close to a big storm for the mountains next weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frazdaddy Posted January 26, 2018 Share Posted January 26, 2018 12 minutes ago, mackerel_sky said: Man, the 12z GFS is money after the 7th! Going for glory, temps are off, but it'll make its own cold air! Cold shots look transient, but Fab Feb is gonna be great! Hope you are right ,rolling the dice, Birthday wkend at the Biltmore for the 24th Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Waiting on snow Posted January 26, 2018 Share Posted January 26, 2018 6 minutes ago, Orangeburgwx said: I am happy with an inch a year, so anything more than that and I’m satisfied. Luckily I’m sitting at 5.4” total so far More snow that I've had total combined over the last 7 years. And you're more southeast! Smdh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orangeburgwx Posted January 26, 2018 Share Posted January 26, 2018 omg the GEFS MJO update... off the damn chart Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FlatLander48 Posted January 26, 2018 Share Posted January 26, 2018 This...this could work. Midday runs are good for about half of North Carolina. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burrel2 Posted January 26, 2018 Share Posted January 26, 2018 3 hours ago, Upstate Tiger said: I don't understand all the wailing and gnashing of teeth on here right now. We are at our below average the next 10 days after this weekend. There is also a potential threat showing up for next weekend and the indices look even better after that. It turned cold the second week of November and except for a few brief warmups it has been cold since then. We have had a 3" snow before Christmas and a 5" snow in January plus a number of morning with single digit lows IMBY. I have been closely following winters for 41 of my 53 years here in the SE and this one has been a good one by SE standards. Even "great" winters here in the SE are usually front, middle or back loaded. We still have possibilities heading into Feb. It is quite unusual for us in the SE to go multiple months with threats of winter weather. Enjoy it folks, it's a rare thing. It hasn't been that good for everyone in the Southeast... maybe that's why some are gnashing teeth more than others. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orangeburgwx Posted January 26, 2018 Share Posted January 26, 2018 4 minutes ago, burrel2 said: It hasn't been that good for everyone in the Southeast... maybe that's why some are gnashing teeth more than others. yeah, that is something when the eastern half of the Carolinas (North and South) have had a better winter than the western half Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCSNOW Posted January 26, 2018 Share Posted January 26, 2018 54 minutes ago, AsheCounty48 said: This...this could work. Midday runs are good for about half of North Carolina. Yes they are. Week away but its starting to catch my eye. Id be getting a hair tick excited espeacilly up your way if these trends keep up over the weekend. Boderline as it gets imby, but not out of the question some folks in NW NC outside of the mtns can't score frozen. Ill officially start tracking Sunday if its still hanging around on models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCSNOW Posted January 26, 2018 Share Posted January 26, 2018 If you got snow from the December event, Then Id suggest watching next Friday into Sat. Same areas are candidates, espeacilly mtns, to really luck up here. Noticed the GEM pics in the MTN thread comparing last 2 model runs how its not far off from Northern GA, mainly NW GA getting in on some action. Grain of salt and caution cause im just looking at surface and not H5 maps. But this sould get interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burrel2 Posted January 26, 2018 Share Posted January 26, 2018 13 minutes ago, NCSNOW said: If you got snow from the December event, Then Id suggest watching next Friday into Sat. Same areas are candidates, espeacilly mtns, to really luck up here. Noticed the GEM pics in the MTN thread comparing last 2 model runs how its not far off from Northern GA, mainly NW GA getting in on some action. Grain of salt and caution cause im just looking at surface and not H5 maps. But this sould get interesting. Cold chasing moisture... no chance for anyone east of the apps, imo. Northwest Georgia could possibly get something. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LithiaWx Posted January 26, 2018 Share Posted January 26, 2018 4 hours ago, frazdaddy said: Great book with a simple message. Must read for my kids and bought copies for friends that needed it. Yes sir awesome book. I like “The energy bus” too along with Linchpin. My job pays for free audio books. I listen to them on my long commutes in Atlanta. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Waiting on snow Posted January 26, 2018 Share Posted January 26, 2018 1 hour ago, burrel2 said: It hasn't been that good for everyone in the Southeast... maybe that's why some are gnashing teeth more than others. Exactly! My patience has run out with winter. After the last 2 duds and now this my pessimism is at an all time high. This is the most depressing map I've ever seen for CAE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FallsLake Posted January 26, 2018 Share Posted January 26, 2018 2 hours ago, AsheCounty48 said: This...this could work. Midday runs are good for about half of North Carolina. Here's the snow map for hour 180: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FallsLake Posted January 26, 2018 Share Posted January 26, 2018 Part of RAH's afternoon discussion for this coming Monday night: The mid level trof will amplify behind the system as a strong short wave digs southeast into the Ohio Valley Monday night. The trof will be nudged east, reinforcing the cool air advection as heights fall and we will probably see some snow showers/flurries, especially in the northern tier counties overnight as the trof axis pivots across the area. Would not be surprised if we need to ramp up the PoPs and maybe need to add a few tenths of snow accumulation as the details emerge. Temperatures will fall below freezing towards midnight across the north, with lows Tuesday morning ranging from 25 to 30 area-wide as the cool air settles in for midweek. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted January 26, 2018 Share Posted January 26, 2018 2nd run in a row with some light snow tues morn Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 26, 2018 Share Posted January 26, 2018 5 minutes ago, DopplerWx said: 2nd run in a row with some light snow tues morn Ooooh, grab the bread and milk! If you don't need it with this, you can use it for Friday's blockbuster!? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
waronxmas Posted January 26, 2018 Share Posted January 26, 2018 7 hours ago, Upstate Tiger said: I don't understand all the wailing and gnashing of teeth on here right now. We are at our below average the next 10 days after this weekend. There is also a potential threat showing up for next weekend and the indices look even better after that. It turned cold the second week of November and except for a few brief warmups it has been cold since then. We have had a 3" snow before Christmas and a 5" snow in January plus a number of morning with single digit lows IMBY. I have been closely following winters for 41 of my 53 years here in the SE and this one has been a good one by SE standards. Even "great" winters here in the SE are usually front, middle or back loaded. We still have possibilities heading into Feb. It is quite unusual for us in the SE to go multiple months with threats of winter weather. Enjoy it folks, it's a rare thing. Same here. IMBY I've had around 14 inches of snow this winter. That's like 5 years worth in Atlanta in the span of 2 months. Can't be mad at that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted January 26, 2018 Share Posted January 26, 2018 7” total so far. I can’t complain if it doesn’t snow again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WarmNose Posted January 26, 2018 Share Posted January 26, 2018 Commence NW trend 384hr 88' redux FTW! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 26, 2018 Share Posted January 26, 2018 Just now, Queencitywx said: 7” total so far. I can’t complain if it doesn’t snow again. I've received about 3" this year. About 50% of normal. Could be worse Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WarmNose Posted January 26, 2018 Share Posted January 26, 2018 850's are solid but 2m temps are worse than marginal It will make its own cold air? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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