BooneWX Posted January 23, 2018 Share Posted January 23, 2018 2 hours ago, BIG FROSTY said: Yes Sir I did get 19", 11" of it was in a four hour period. Beat all I ever seen that morning 4 inches in one hour!!! I doubt I'll ever see anything close to that again, but it sure would be nice to have a run at it......................................... x2. I was living in Mount Airy at the time. Unreal snow rates and I doubt I ever see snowfall rates like that again in my life. Measured 17 inches after the storm with some spots closer to 20. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCSNOW Posted January 23, 2018 Share Posted January 23, 2018 Unreal but true. Saw this on JB twitter feed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 23, 2018 Share Posted January 23, 2018 6z GFS , buffet opens on Feb 2, Riblets hit the bar on Feb 7th! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orangeburgwx Posted January 23, 2018 Share Posted January 23, 2018 12z GFS coming in colder Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted January 23, 2018 Share Posted January 23, 2018 21 minutes ago, Orangeburgwx said: 12z GFS coming in colder Looks to be a fairly strong front coming through at D10. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 23, 2018 Share Posted January 23, 2018 9 minutes ago, Cold Rain said: Looks to be a fairly strong front coming through at D10. Gotta get a few apps rubbers first, then get the pattern Change locked in! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wx n of atl Posted January 23, 2018 Share Posted January 23, 2018 8 minutes ago, Cold Rain said: Looks to be a fairly strong front coming through at D10. Groundhog DAY! Time to watch Bill Murray's movie! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orangeburgwx Posted January 23, 2018 Share Posted January 23, 2018 14 minutes ago, Cold Rain said: Looks to be a fairly strong front coming through at D10. We couldn’t ask for a more perfect set up, except maybe a Gulf low or two to really ramp things up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FlatLander48 Posted January 23, 2018 Share Posted January 23, 2018 , End of the run is cold, with a reload coming in from the NW. someone has to score soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orangeburgwx Posted January 23, 2018 Share Posted January 23, 2018 1 minute ago, AsheCounty48 said: , End of the run is cold, with a reload coming in from the NW. someone has to score soon. We all might considering the bulk of it is supposed to come still outside of the 384 GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WarmNose Posted January 23, 2018 Share Posted January 23, 2018 5 minutes ago, AsheCounty48 said: , End of the run is cold, with a reload coming in from the NW. someone has to score soon. Agreed. Need cold air in place with a reload on the way to get any sort of blockbuster for both the Carolinas Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaryWx Posted January 23, 2018 Share Posted January 23, 2018 Aren't those cold temps ~7am ET? More or less the overnight lows being represented? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted January 23, 2018 Share Posted January 23, 2018 Winter storm at the end of the run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WarmNose Posted January 23, 2018 Share Posted January 23, 2018 14 minutes ago, Cold Rain said: Winter storm at the end of the run. Looks rainy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mrdaddyman Posted January 23, 2018 Share Posted January 23, 2018 16 minutes ago, Cold Rain said: Winter storm at the end of the run. Hey CR. If those snow shields keep dropping we might have a chance again soon! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted January 23, 2018 Share Posted January 23, 2018 24 minutes ago, mrdaddyman said: Hey CR. If those snow shields keep dropping we might have a chance again soon! You know it. One more big hitter (4"+), and they'll be mostly offline. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orangeburgwx Posted January 23, 2018 Share Posted January 23, 2018 37 minutes ago, Cold Rain said: You know it. One more big hitter (4"+), and they'll be mostly offline. You really don’t need one big storm, several small ones back-to-back will do the trick Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted January 23, 2018 Share Posted January 23, 2018 Euro has a nice cross polar flow look to it at the end of the run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orangeburgwx Posted January 23, 2018 Share Posted January 23, 2018 4 minutes ago, griteater said: Euro has a nice cross polar flow look to it at the end of the run do you think the wave coming the second week of Feb. will be colder than the first of the year? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowNiner Posted January 23, 2018 Share Posted January 23, 2018 Well I've gotten a nice solid 4 inch storm this year so I'm good if nothing else shows up. We have really gotten fortunate the last few years. I see the December/January pattern rebooting and starting again come mid February per pretty much all long range modeling. I'd say that leaves a window of perhaps 2-3 weeks for one last shot. Being probably another northern stream dominate pattern, my expectations are low. Heck I don't even fully understand how we just scored but we did, so perhaps we can find a way to do it one more time in February. If we get another solid event, it'll truly be a memorable winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 23, 2018 Share Posted January 23, 2018 1 hour ago, Cold Rain said: Winter storm at the end of the run. Cold chasing moisture always works out, just like clippers! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mrdaddyman Posted January 23, 2018 Share Posted January 23, 2018 20 minutes ago, griteater said: Euro has a nice cross polar flow look to it at the end of the run I know it's a ways out but that looks like some serious suppression with that push of cold air so we might be back to square one where it just shoved everything South. We'll see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mrdaddyman Posted January 23, 2018 Share Posted January 23, 2018 Well this isn't going to get it done. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 23, 2018 Share Posted January 23, 2018 17 minutes ago, mrdaddyman said: Well this isn't going to get it done. Looks good to me. All day everyday, twice on Sunday! 360 hour Euro map! Great look, CAD looks primed! Lobster now coming on the buffet! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mrdaddyman Posted January 23, 2018 Share Posted January 23, 2018 1 minute ago, mackerel_sky said: Looks good to me. All day everyday, twice on Sunday! 360 hour Euro map! Great look, CAD looks primed! Lobster now coming on the buffet! If you like ice and power outages. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frazdaddy Posted January 23, 2018 Share Posted January 23, 2018 3 minutes ago, mrdaddyman said: If you like ice and power outages. It's weather either way. That's why we are here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Southern Track Posted January 23, 2018 Share Posted January 23, 2018 The 10 day Ensemble comparison: Pretty comparable that far out with the Western Ridge and trough progression. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rankin5150 Posted January 23, 2018 Share Posted January 23, 2018 2 hours ago, mrdaddyman said: I know it's a ways out but that looks like some serious suppression with that push of cold air so we might be back to square one where it just shoved everything South. We'll see. If it follows the same trend(s) as December, then we will be rocking late Feb into early March with some good moisture. Something will line up outta this! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted January 23, 2018 Share Posted January 23, 2018 1 hour ago, mrdaddyman said: Well this isn't going to get it done. ?? Do you mean the fact that the cold is too far to the northwest? Agree with Mack, those are some impressive cold numbers showing up for a long range ensemble mean, and it's trending colder at the moment at the end of the run. I wouldn't be surprised to see the cold correct more to the south and east in time on the ensembles, especially given the eastward progression of the MJO. Sometimes -EPO cold can get hung up too far to our northwest, but the MJO should help to move the mean western ridge eastward in time through February, with some retrogression back west toward the end of Feb into early March...we'll see. Also, if those blues were right on top of us, we'd have some playing the suppression card (I don't even have the suppression card in my card deck, ever...bring on the cold, and let's go from there) The Northern Hemisphere 5 day view shows that look again where the coldest air is in North America...that's a good sign for subsequent cold plunges Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted January 23, 2018 Share Posted January 23, 2018 3 hours ago, Orangeburgwx said: do you think the wave coming the second week of Feb. will be colder than the first of the year? I'd say it's unlikely statistically...but it's just long range projection stuff at this time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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