mackerel_sky Posted January 12, 2018 Share Posted January 12, 2018 1 minute ago, Queencitywx said: By hour 126 about half a foot of snow in MBY. We toss . Does that mean you get your next 3 profiles deleted too! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted January 12, 2018 Share Posted January 12, 2018 3" line all the way back to Greenville this run with 5" back to a line from Hickory to Gastonia. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted January 12, 2018 Share Posted January 12, 2018 Well this got interesting. All depends on the wave to dig and transfer energy east. Don't want another Dec 2000. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted January 12, 2018 Share Posted January 12, 2018 Max this run is dead center in Guilford County, probably close to 9 or 10. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaryWx Posted January 12, 2018 Share Posted January 12, 2018 If we get thunder tonight could be game on. Per RAL last evening we get snow 50% of the time within 10days of thunder in winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted January 12, 2018 Share Posted January 12, 2018 Euro Kuchera Clown Map Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Poimen Posted January 12, 2018 Share Posted January 12, 2018 Someone said a few weeks ago that this winter would feature a storm that we would not see coming until 4-5 days out. This fits the bill, more or less. Hats off to whoever said that, if this in fact pans out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted January 12, 2018 Share Posted January 12, 2018 2 minutes ago, Queencitywx said: 3" line all the way back to Greenville this run with 5" back to a line from Hickory to Gastonia. Wow hello, Euro. Someone post up the map when they can. Nice Friday afternoon Eye candy. Thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POWERSTROKE Posted January 12, 2018 Share Posted January 12, 2018 Just now, CaryWx said: If we get thunder tonight could be game on. Per RAL last evening we get snow 50% of the time within 10days of thunder in winter That is not true. It has happened but percentages are way low Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burrel2 Posted January 12, 2018 Share Posted January 12, 2018 Euro appears to be tapping the gulf a little bit. That's a good sign for us Western people to have a chance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted January 12, 2018 Share Posted January 12, 2018 1 minute ago, griteater said: Euro Kuchera Clown Map I wonder why yours is different from mine Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCSNOW Posted January 12, 2018 Share Posted January 12, 2018 5 minutes ago, Queencitywx said: Max this run is dead center in Guilford County, probably close to 9 or 10. Bout where the kuchera had the oz max right at 9-11 inches. 15 to 1 ratios areso much more funner than our standard 8 or 10 to1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burrel2 Posted January 12, 2018 Share Posted January 12, 2018 Also, we're way to far out to predict this, but this is the type setup that could produce an inverted trough behind the mountains and lead to a surprise precip maxima somewhere. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
broken024 Posted January 12, 2018 Share Posted January 12, 2018 Grits is 0z run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packfan98 Posted January 12, 2018 Share Posted January 12, 2018 I believe that the map Grit posted was the 0z run??? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted January 12, 2018 Share Posted January 12, 2018 1 minute ago, burrel2 said: Also, we're way to far out to predict this, but this is the type setup that could produce an inverted trough behind the mountains and lead to a surprise precip maxima somewhere. Could be. Something to keep an eye on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mrdaddyman Posted January 12, 2018 Share Posted January 12, 2018 It looks like the heaviest precip axis with this type of storm would be running through central NC but it ends up being West of here. Doesn't make sense and the Op doesn't match up with it's ensembles. Can win for losing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tornadocane Posted January 12, 2018 Share Posted January 12, 2018 The ECMWF develops that northern piece of energy and pops a low further north. The Northern low keeps pushing East, but gets absorbed by low in the Hudson Bay which is driving down towards the Northeast United States. The trough hangs back and the energy hangs back to the Southwest, collects at the base of the trough and then swings around as the trough moves is pushed further east. A low pops up of the southeast coast. The Hudson Bay Low dives far enough southeast, and directs the Southern towards the North and NNE instead of ENE and NE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaryWx Posted January 12, 2018 Share Posted January 12, 2018 4 minutes ago, POWERSTROKE said: That is not true. It has happened but percentages are way low Please tell Mike Maze then. The 50% may not apply to your area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted January 12, 2018 Share Posted January 12, 2018 2 minutes ago, burrel2 said: Also, we're way to far out to predict this, but this is the type setup that could produce an inverted trough behind the mountains and lead to a surprise precip maxima somewhere. That was one of my thoughts, could definitely enhance that area west of 321 and north of 85. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNC Posted January 12, 2018 Share Posted January 12, 2018 7 minutes ago, Poimen said: Someone said a few weeks ago that this winter would feature a storm that we would not see coming until 4-5 days out. This fits the bill, more or less. Hats off to whoever said that, if this in fact pans out. Somebody lucky please start blue turd thread Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WarmNose Posted January 12, 2018 Share Posted January 12, 2018 Definatley a better run at 12z for folks here in the upstate although it doesn't look like the upstate benefits from the costal low. Looks like our accums come from a gulf tap Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted January 12, 2018 Share Posted January 12, 2018 12 minutes ago, griteater said: Euro Kuchera Clown Map My apologies for screwing some people over with the clown map snow on the old run...here's the SE version of 12z run...can compare them now anyway Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted January 12, 2018 Share Posted January 12, 2018 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Awesomesauce81 Posted January 12, 2018 Share Posted January 12, 2018 8 minutes ago, griteater said: My apologies for screwing some people over with the clown map snow on the old run...here's the SE version of 12z run...can compare them now anyway Where is that area of snow in E Ala/W GA coming from and what needs to be done to get that blue over coastal Georgia Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
broken024 Posted January 12, 2018 Share Posted January 12, 2018 What's with the lower totals south of charlotte? Less precip or mixing? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
shahroz98 Posted January 13, 2018 Share Posted January 13, 2018 This setup reminds me of January 2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GlaringSun Posted January 13, 2018 Share Posted January 13, 2018 The drying out with the moisture here is a bit annoying... Otherwise, looks like a generally good setup for some light evening/overnight snow showers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Red1976Red Posted January 13, 2018 Share Posted January 13, 2018 Need the southern slider at hour 150 to phase with the Chicago cutter at 198. Is that too much to ask for? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 13, 2018 Share Posted January 13, 2018 13 hours ago, GlaringSun said: The drying out with the moisture here is a bit annoying... Otherwise, looks like a generally good setup for some light evening/overnight snow showers. The set up today, looks like the last 6 dumpster fire threats that went poof at 4-5 days out! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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