november rain Posted January 7, 2018 Share Posted January 7, 2018 I have lived 1/2 a century and have seen some cold weather in my upstate SC area over the years, but never can I recall having 10 days or more of lows between 7 and 13 F with days hovering near 32 and stepping out into bright sunshine feel not much warmth. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNC Posted January 7, 2018 Share Posted January 7, 2018 5 minutes ago, november rain said: I have lived 1/2 a century and have seen some cold weather in my upstate SC area over the years, but never can I recall having 10 days or more of lows between 7 and 13 F with days hovering near 32 and stepping out into bright sunshine feel not much warmth. Just think what it would have been had we had snow cover. Really amazing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 7, 2018 Share Posted January 7, 2018 26 minutes ago, wncsnow said: OP EURO looks pretty dang cold days 7 through 10...Not quite as cold as it has been but below average again.. Yeah the Euro has had this signal for several runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted January 7, 2018 Share Posted January 7, 2018 Work with this... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted January 7, 2018 Share Posted January 7, 2018 Or this... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WarmNose Posted January 7, 2018 Share Posted January 7, 2018 25 minutes ago, packbacker said: Work with this... Pack I had a pipe burst coming out my hot water heater 2 days ago. Flooded the wash room. Hence to say I'm ready for a warm up. Hope you have some pretty red maps to post. Bring on the thaw Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted January 7, 2018 Share Posted January 7, 2018 1 minute ago, WarmNose said: Pack I had a pipe burst coming out my hot water heater 2 days ago. Flooded the wash room. Hence to say I'm ready for a warm up. Hope you have some pretty red maps to post. Bring on the thaw Sucks about your water heater! It’s coming but before then day 6-9 there is a chance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WarmNose Posted January 7, 2018 Share Posted January 7, 2018 Looks like GFS gave me some clipper love Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rduwx Posted January 7, 2018 Share Posted January 7, 2018 37 minutes ago, packbacker said: Work with this... Similar to that last storm...If it continues to show up in future runs, will it come far enough west is going to be the question. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted January 7, 2018 Share Posted January 7, 2018 6 minutes ago, WarmNose said: Looks like GFS gave me some clipper love Canadian has been showing something kinda similar in roughly that timeframe. If it digs that much, we could do okay. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted January 7, 2018 Share Posted January 7, 2018 4 minutes ago, rduwx said: Similar to that last storm...If it continues to show up in future runs, will it come far enough west is going to be the question. Impressive setup day 7-8...negatively tilted trough, lowest DN in GA. I haven't really been watching this period so not sure if this what it's been showing though. That atlantic ridge should help to keep the wide rights back in play. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 7, 2018 Share Posted January 7, 2018 4 minutes ago, packbacker said: Impressive setup day 7-8...negatively tilted trough, lowest DN in GA. I haven't really been watching this period so not sure if this what it's been showing though. That atlantic ridge should help to keep the wide rights back in play. What in the Sam Hill? My highs for Friday and Saturday are in the 60s, per my local forecast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NC_hailstorm Posted January 7, 2018 Share Posted January 7, 2018 Ukie has another big 1042 high dropping into MN at day 6 with a deep trof over the east.Might get a 3 or 4 day break from the cold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted January 7, 2018 Share Posted January 7, 2018 HM just posted on Twitter that he’s doubtful of much of a thaw Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted January 7, 2018 Share Posted January 7, 2018 46 minutes ago, Queencitywx said: HM just posted on Twitter that he’s doubtful of much of a thaw The long range warm-ups that we keep seeing in the extended are not panning out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rduwx Posted January 7, 2018 Share Posted January 7, 2018 1 hour ago, packbacker said: Impressive setup day 7-8...negatively tilted trough, lowest DN in GA. I haven't really been watching this period so not sure if this what it's been showing though. That atlantic ridge should help to keep the wide rights back in play. 12z euro has the same wave and setup but we need to have it slow down some. We'll need some separation from the day 5 cutter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GunBlade Posted January 7, 2018 Share Posted January 7, 2018 36 minutes ago, franklin NCwx said: The long range warm-ups that we keep seeing in the extended are not panning out. Nice to read this as opposed to our normal issue of the cool downs the long ranges are predicting never coming. Until late March/early April and the models are correct and it freezes and kills crops. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 7, 2018 Share Posted January 7, 2018 Upper 60s and T storms Friday! Quite the turnaround! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAD_Wedge_NC Posted January 7, 2018 Share Posted January 7, 2018 3 minutes ago, mackerel_sky said: Upper 60s and T storms Friday! Quite the turnaround! You know Brick's old saying "thunder in winter"....... just saying. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted January 7, 2018 Share Posted January 7, 2018 Where is pack with the heat update? Too much fantasy warmth this year Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted January 7, 2018 Share Posted January 7, 2018 44 minutes ago, franklin NCwx said: Where is pack with the heat update? Too much fantasy warmth this year It’s coming! I think... Look at that block on the EPS and what’s rolling over from Siberia. We are in a nina...it has to come...or does it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 7, 2018 Share Posted January 7, 2018 It's supposed to torch after next weekends little cold shot! That's what most the pros are saying, then February reboot Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WarmNose Posted January 8, 2018 Share Posted January 8, 2018 2 hours ago, mackerel_sky said: It's supposed to torch after next weekends little cold shot! That's what most the pros are saying, then February reboot Pack is sweating bullets looking at the end of these model runs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AfewUniversesBelowNormal Posted January 8, 2018 Share Posted January 8, 2018 +Polar 10mb heights in December almost always correlates to -NAO/AO mid-January. Probably 80%. This is showing up nicely on GFS ensembles, and they didn't have it a few days ago. This will continue trending stronger, likely +400-+500dm at peak. Split into a 4-wave PV. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 8, 2018 Share Posted January 8, 2018 34 minutes ago, AfewUniversesBelowNormal said: +Polar 10mb heights in December almost always correlates to -NAO/AO mid-January. Probably 80%. This is showing up nicely on GFS ensembles, and they didn't have it a few days ago. This will continue trending stronger, likely +400-+500dm at peak. Split into a 4-wave PV. Not even sure what I'm looking at, but the end result looks good! Hopefully this isn't anything to do with strat warming and it bringing the cold back! ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceagewhereartthou Posted January 8, 2018 Share Posted January 8, 2018 4 hours ago, packbacker said: It’s coming! I think... Look at that block on the EPS and what’s rolling over from Siberia. We are in a nina...it has to come...or does it Ok Pack, can't quite figure out what you root for. You seem to like snow, but you also seem to want shorts weather. So, are you the, " I want it to snow a few inches, then melt as fast as it fell, then bring back Spring" guy? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted January 8, 2018 Share Posted January 8, 2018 24 minutes ago, Iceagewhereartthou said: Ok Pack, can't quite figure out what you root for. You seem to like snow, but you also seem to want shorts weather. So, are you the, " I want it to snow a few inches, then melt as fast as it fell, then bring back Spring" guy? Pretty much...perfect event would be a 4-6” event. Hangs around for the next day and then 60’s and outside weather the following. I would never survive in the NE. I like tracking, like watching it fall. Then I want life back to normal. I do want to end our sub 10” season drought ASAP. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Waiting on snow Posted January 8, 2018 Share Posted January 8, 2018 1 hour ago, mackerel_sky said: Not even sure what I'm looking at, but the end result looks good! Hopefully this isn't anything to do with strat warming and it bringing the cold back! ? May get cold! But -NAO in the winter? Is that possible? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceagewhereartthou Posted January 8, 2018 Share Posted January 8, 2018 18 minutes ago, Waiting on snow said: May get cold! But -NAO in the winter? Is that possible? Sure it is. BTW, I also hear that mermaids may be real, unicorns have been discovered, and the Patterson video has been authenticated. (Sorry for the banter) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tramadoc Posted January 8, 2018 Share Posted January 8, 2018 Sure it is. BTW, I also hear that mermaids may be real, unicorns have been discovered, and the Patterson video has been authenticated. (Sorry for the banter)Unicorns do exist. They're fat, gray, and reside in Africa. Also known as Rhinos. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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