Heisy Posted December 15, 2017 Share Posted December 15, 2017 If those VVs and Omega values correct on the 00z NAM, that along with the cold temps could create some high 15:1 type ratios in those regions. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted December 15, 2017 Share Posted December 15, 2017 I was trying to remember how many 10"+ snowfall Decembers the area has seen and the relation to the overall winter. 1995,2000,2005,2010,2013 not sure about 2002 and there may have been 1 or 2 others in the 80's and 90's but not more then that they were bad times for Dec snow. All good or great winters with the exception of 2005-2006 which had a blizzard and 10" snow in December. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted December 15, 2017 Author Share Posted December 15, 2017 Current temp down to 24 here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted December 15, 2017 Share Posted December 15, 2017 Weather World 30 day outlook is a cold one through January 17th and below normal precipitation Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted December 15, 2017 Share Posted December 15, 2017 2 hours ago, Newman said: lol crazy trends within 30 hour lead times. This winter's been fun so far. Really don't mind these small events. Something to track...decent stuff although small but keeps things white and well...snow. 20F. Lawn snow covered... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted December 15, 2017 Author Share Posted December 15, 2017 Temp down to 20 here now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KamuSnow Posted December 15, 2017 Share Posted December 15, 2017 Made it down to 16F earlier this morning, coldest of the season so far. Currently 20F and mostly cloudy. Looking forward to an inch or so of fresh snow from early afternoon on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SP Posted December 15, 2017 Share Posted December 15, 2017 Love these setups for the Nj coast. Not saying they always deliver or over perform however there are many 1-3’s that turned into 3-6 and essentially left the GSP and other roads snow covered thru the evening commute. Nice thump potential. We shall see.....☃️Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted December 15, 2017 Share Posted December 15, 2017 I think the trends on the Hrrr/RAP are likely... so not as much N and W of the fall line - thinking I end up with less than last time (1.3") Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DarthDoppler Posted December 15, 2017 Share Posted December 15, 2017 Down to 11 this morning, coldest of the season so far for me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted December 15, 2017 Share Posted December 15, 2017 I am liking my chances for 2 inches here in lower bucks. gotta say I wasn't expecting this one at all. good winters seem to produce snow out of nothing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted December 15, 2017 Share Posted December 15, 2017 Radar looks good, expectations set at 1" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anthonyweather Posted December 15, 2017 Share Posted December 15, 2017 Radar looks good, expectations set at 1" Yeah nice blossom. More then models showed at this pointSent from my LG-H871 using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted December 15, 2017 Share Posted December 15, 2017 A couple flakes falling...28F. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Newman Posted December 15, 2017 Share Posted December 15, 2017 Extremely light flurries right now. Like its so light I might just be hallucinating. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted December 15, 2017 Share Posted December 15, 2017 3 minutes ago, Newman said: Extremely light flurries right now. Like its so light I might just be hallucinating. Lol...thought the same. My face was plastered against the window but there is some activity out there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted December 15, 2017 Share Posted December 15, 2017 Flakes in the air the second weekend before christmas, a third accumulating snowfall by December 15th. Take it all in it doesn't get better than this in early winter. 2005 had two i think, 1995 had one or two. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anthonyweather Posted December 15, 2017 Share Posted December 15, 2017 Flakes hereSent from my LG-H871 using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted December 15, 2017 Share Posted December 15, 2017 I think these may be the smallest flakes I've ever seen... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted December 15, 2017 Share Posted December 15, 2017 Flakes are medium size now snow globe effect. Precipitation appears to be further NW then modeled. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted December 15, 2017 Share Posted December 15, 2017 32 minutes ago, Birds~69 said: I think these may be the smallest flakes I've ever seen... Flake size and intensity have increased...light to moderate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted December 15, 2017 Share Posted December 15, 2017 Car rooftops/grass sticking going on...blacktop coating starting to occur. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted December 15, 2017 Author Share Posted December 15, 2017 Flurries have begun here, temp 26 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted December 15, 2017 Share Posted December 15, 2017 Man, it really picked up in the last 5 minutes. May get a pavement/blacktop coating soon....needed the intensity. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted December 15, 2017 Share Posted December 15, 2017 Reminder there is a dedicated thread to this event for obs if you want to keep them in one spot. Looks like a SE PA overachiever judging by radar and where banding has setup. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted December 15, 2017 Share Posted December 15, 2017 13 minutes ago, Birds~69 said: Car rooftops/grass sticking going on...blacktop coating starting to occur. Driveways coated...streets having some problems probably due to the excessive salt/brine they threw down during the last event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted December 15, 2017 Share Posted December 15, 2017 All i want for Christmas is today's 12z ECM forecast i am good otherwise Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anthonyweather Posted December 15, 2017 Share Posted December 15, 2017 Back edge rapidly approaching the Lehigh valley, looks to be about 1"-1.5". Beautiful. Roads are another story though. Bad bad badSent from my LG-H871 using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted December 15, 2017 Share Posted December 15, 2017 5 minutes ago, anthonyweather said: Back edge rapidly approaching the Lehigh valley, looks to be about 1"-1.5". Beautiful. Roads are another story though. Bad bad bad Sent from my LG-H871 using Tapatalk If ECM is right could be slippery with ice Monday AM rush, winter gone crazy NBC10 girl must be sad Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anthonyweather Posted December 15, 2017 Share Posted December 15, 2017 If ECM is right could be slippery with ice Monday AM rush, winter gone crazy NBC10 girl must be sad Yeah I saw that, gfs was showing that recently tooSent from my LG-H871 using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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