KamuSnow Posted April 3, 2018 Share Posted April 3, 2018 12 minutes ago, RedSky said: Down to freezing that wasn't suppose to happen Your nice looking snow pack is doing it's thing - it's still 40F here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted April 3, 2018 Share Posted April 3, 2018 Overnight ens took jumps back N with the weekend system. GFS op and ICON are just to our South with heavy snow now. CMC is trying to follow along. Euro op (posted below) is a nice signal again but just to our South. And I am posting 2 of the EPS members that show the potential this may have here tho there are several more big hits mixed in. I think with the SE Ridge trying to show this does tick N.....hopefully not too far N. We have the wiggle room tho. Crazier is there is a signal for another coastal storm early next week.Posted are (top to bottom) Euro op and 2 EPS members: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted April 3, 2018 Share Posted April 3, 2018 It is kinda funny digging deeper into guidance this morning seeing the weekend system evolve from a Miller B to a Miller A look and now to a simple wave along a boundary to our South. Most might shrug their shoulders and say meh, I knew we wouldnt score with this threat BUT if anything, I feel the chances have actually increased quite significantly with this look. Very similar look to the last system, wave along a boundary, caa to the N, fairly intense lifting and seasonal warfare overunning. It wont take much to get a significant batch of precip to overun the cold which guidance is showing, just to our South. Couple this with the historical trend for these to increase in qpf and move farther N with overunning and I REALLY like where parts of our region sit right now with wiggle room working in our favor. Climo favors N and W and elevation snows but we'll see how cold this airmass is. Nice neg departures being show so that might work. This will move N over the next few days.....my worry is too far N and not for suppression. I could see a similar event to the April 8-9, 2016 daytime storm where it snowed moderately all day but accums were only a few inches. That is one trend I dont particularly like is this is moving in faster and might be a Saturday daytime event now but there are still notable timing differences even with this lead time. If we can get this timed for Saturday PM could be a nice hit for many. Stay tuned on this one and dont write it off because it isnt a huge wrapped up lp.....that potential is early next week as the pattern will be more favorable :-D Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rockem_sockem_connection Posted April 3, 2018 Share Posted April 3, 2018 Trout fishing starts Saturday in NJ. This weather is getting gross.Sent from my Pixel XL using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted April 3, 2018 Share Posted April 3, 2018 20 minutes ago, hurricane1091 said: Trout fishing starts Saturday in NJ. This weather is getting gross. Sent from my Pixel XL using Tapatalk Nothing like fishing the Striped Bass run up the rivers during snowfall for me. I'll swelter enough flounder fishing during the summer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted April 3, 2018 Share Posted April 3, 2018 37F with rain. Still got my white lawn. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ME_wannabe Posted April 3, 2018 Share Posted April 3, 2018 1 hour ago, Ralph Wiggum said: Nothing like fishing the Striped Bass run up the rivers during snowfall for me. I'll swelter enough flounder fishing during the summer. You ever make it to the Mullica River? I have a few choice spots there. Great perch fishing and stripers as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rockem_sockem_connection Posted April 3, 2018 Share Posted April 3, 2018 Nothing like fishing the Striped Bass run up the rivers during snowfall for me. I'll swelter enough flounder fishing during the summer.I fished for trout when it snowed the first day before, and it's just a wet miserable snow. If you want to fish with snow, go down to the shore for the fall run!!!Sent from my Pixel XL using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wkd Posted April 3, 2018 Share Posted April 3, 2018 6 hours ago, Ralph Wiggum said: Nothing like fishing the Striped Bass run up the rivers during snowfall for me. I'll swelter enough flounder fishing during the summer. Ralph, Start a fishing thread. I'm a bluefishing fan. Don't eat the big ones but hard to beat the fight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowLover22 Posted April 3, 2018 Share Posted April 3, 2018 Nice hit in SEPA. Areas that missed the last storm get hit good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowwors2 Posted April 4, 2018 Share Posted April 4, 2018 2 hours ago, Philadelphia Snow said: Nice hit in SEPA. Areas that missed the last storm get hit good Trends...That’ll shift N over 4 days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowLover22 Posted April 4, 2018 Share Posted April 4, 2018 2 minutes ago, snowwors2 said: Trends...That’ll shift N over 4 days. Which is why I feel good about it. The fact that I am currently on the Northern fringe. Now if I were in DC I would be nervous. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted April 4, 2018 Share Posted April 4, 2018 9 hours ago, ME_wannabe said: You ever make it to the Mullica River? I have a few choice spots there. Great perch fishing and stripers as well. Yepper, and the Maurice River! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted April 4, 2018 Share Posted April 4, 2018 33 minutes ago, snowwors2 said: Trends...That’ll shift N over 4 days. No doubt in my mind. Even if not a true "shift" N of the baro wave, the WAA overrunning will spread much farther N and W. You can already see guidance adjusting N. Like I said earlier, there is ALOT of time to go....hopefully not TOO MUCH. Need to still have wiggle room come Friday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted April 4, 2018 Share Posted April 4, 2018 32 minutes ago, Philadelphia Snow said: Which is why I feel good about it. The fact that I am currently on the Northern fringe. Now if I were in DC I would be nervous. Bullseye rule for them in effect. 4-5 days out....check. Bullseye consistently modeled.....check. Ens individual members clustered N.....check. The other day I stated we would start seeing some adjusting N with precip by Wed or Thurs and some models have begun showing this already. Once mesos get in range in a few days I bet the overunning expands N and W and the heaviest snow bands adjust N due to seasonally stronger WAA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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