wkd Posted April 1, 2018 Share Posted April 1, 2018 Picked the wrong time to cancel my wxbell subscription (4/3). Who would have guessed threats ould go well into April. Navigating weather.us less than convenient. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted April 1, 2018 Share Posted April 1, 2018 My 3:58pm WWA went down to 1-3" from 2-4" this morning. I think it's obvious being at 60F right now for it to drop to snow levels anytime soon meaning more rain before any changeover will occur... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted April 1, 2018 Share Posted April 1, 2018 4 minutes ago, wkd said: Picked the wrong time to cancel my wxbell subscription (4/3). Who would have guessed threats ould go well into April. Navigating weather.us less than convenient. Lol I'm in the same boat. Never thought we'd have 3 snow threats not including tonight in the first week of April... Pretty crazy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormman96 Posted April 1, 2018 Share Posted April 1, 2018 2 minutes ago, The Iceman said: Lol I'm in the same boat. Never thought we'd have 3 snow threats not including tonight in the first week of April... Pretty crazy 3 threats not including tonight? Their is tonight then next weekend then next Tuesday. What other threat we talking about Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted April 1, 2018 Share Posted April 1, 2018 Lol I'm in the same boat. Never thought we'd have 3 snow threats not including tonight in the first week of April... Pretty crazyNever say never. Neg AO and even a weakly neg NAO is how we score this time of year. We have both. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted April 1, 2018 Share Posted April 1, 2018 Been riding the Euro with this one for 7 days now and see ZERO need to change ship. The euro and even euro control have simply not waivered....not one bit with the overall track and amounts tonight and Monday morning. About as consistent you will ever see. Will it be right? Or just consistently wrong? Im betting on the former. Hard to believe it given how gorgeous it is outside right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted April 1, 2018 Share Posted April 1, 2018 15 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: Been riding the Euro with this one for 7 days now and see ZERO need to change ship. The euro and even euro control have simply not waivered....not one bit with the overall track and amounts tonight and Monday morning. About as consistent you will ever see. Will it be right? Or just consistently wrong? Im betting on the former. Hard to believe it given how gorgeous it is outside right now. I'm tempted to agree. The euro holding serve once again is promising. I think we ll have a nice 2-3 hour period of heavy snow that will cave roads. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted April 1, 2018 Share Posted April 1, 2018 24 minutes ago, The Iceman said: I'm tempted to agree. The euro holding serve once again is promising. I think we ll have a nice 2-3 hour period of heavy snow that will cave roads. Hrrr and RGEM concur.....5-6" up this way. My expectations are set for 2" slush....anything more will be a bonus. Exceeding 3.6" will get me over 60" for the season.....within the realm of possibilities. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted April 1, 2018 Share Posted April 1, 2018 If it didnt have the other support it does, I would say the GFS is having some April Fool's fun. Luckily it is the only model that bullseyes the region as other have some more wiggle room. Bullseye 6 days out in April doesnt make me comfy but this threat window has been open for a while now and this is 3 straight GFS runs now. April is the new March which is the new Feb apparently. Instead of daylight savings we will be flipping ahead and behind a month soon lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowLover22 Posted April 1, 2018 Share Posted April 1, 2018 1 minute ago, Ralph Wiggum said: If it didnt have the other support it does, I would say the GFS is having some April Fool's fun. Luckily it is the only model that bullseyes the region as other have some more wiggle room. Bullseye 6 days out in April doesnt make me comfy but this threat window has been open for a while now and this is 3 straight GFS runs now. April is the new March which is the new Feb apparently. Instead of daylight savings we will be flipping ahead and behind a month soon lol. If this verifies for April this would be an HECS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bigtenfan Posted April 1, 2018 Share Posted April 1, 2018 Looking at the 18z GFS snowfall map for the entire northern half of the country I can't ever remember seeing a snowier map this late in the season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KamuSnow Posted April 1, 2018 Share Posted April 1, 2018 4 hours ago, Birds~69 said: I agree, it's going to be crap....beyond crap. The only excitement I have regarding this event is it will probably look pretty cool as I take my 1-2 mile walk between 530-6:30am tomorrow morning. Probably decently heavy at that point. I also made a bet w/myself that by 8pm Monday evening I won't see a drop of snow left...nothing. I may lay a $1000 on that... Place the bet - it will make it even more exciting! I'm thinking that if you get 3-4"or more you'll see some in some shady spots at least. Even then it might still all melt off by the next morning. I'll enjoy it immensely if we can pull off 2" here. Did the spring cleanup deep tissue lawn blow out front yesterday so we're all ready! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
zenmsav6810 Posted April 1, 2018 Share Posted April 1, 2018 39 minutes ago, Philadelphia Snow said: If this verifies for April this would be an HECS. It would be a real magnolia breaker, that's for certain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted April 1, 2018 Share Posted April 1, 2018 This is either a twisted dream or some sick joke from the global computer model programmers. Euro control is honking for next weekend now too: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted April 2, 2018 Share Posted April 2, 2018 1 hour ago, KamuSnow said: Place the bet - it will make it even more exciting! I'm thinking that if you get 3-4"or more you'll see some in some shady spots at least. Even then it might still all melt off by the next morning. I'll enjoy it immensely if we can pull off 2" here. Did the spring cleanup deep tissue lawn blow out front yesterday so we're all ready! All true....but if I only get 1-2" and it's done by 10am and the sun is out by -1pm I may win my own bet. But I am looking forward to seeing some snow fall in the 5am - 6am hours...may be the last one this year. 53.1F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Reilly Posted April 2, 2018 Share Posted April 2, 2018 My best guess snow map for April 2nd 2am to 12 pm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winter Wizard Posted April 2, 2018 Share Posted April 2, 2018 Here's a sounding for tonight at 4 am for the Allentown area. Quite an impressive sounding: there is very favorable snow growth which would support widespread rates of 1 inch per hour or better across most of PA and NNJ. Going to be quite a show. I like a swath of 3-6" in the NW Philly suburbs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted April 2, 2018 Share Posted April 2, 2018 Temperature is down to 41F already after a high in the 60's, impressive cold front Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted April 2, 2018 Share Posted April 2, 2018 42.9F...just outside, nice moon and stars. Was also looking for some Chinese space station junk flaring up the skies...didn't happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted April 2, 2018 Share Posted April 2, 2018 2 minutes ago, Birds~69 said: 42.9F...just outside, nice moon and stars. Was also looking for some Chinese space station junk flaring up the skies...didn't happen. Crashed in the Pacific, where the odds favored it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted April 2, 2018 Share Posted April 2, 2018 4 minutes ago, RedSky said: Crashed in the Pacific, where the odds favored it I guess I'm late to the party. I thought it was tonight 10pm to early Monday timeline but haven't been really following it. Anyhow, Ch6 @ 10 snow map. Looks about right...(42.9F, steadily going down) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted April 2, 2018 Share Posted April 2, 2018 In the 30's (39.4F)...dropping much quicker than I thought. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Albedoman Posted April 2, 2018 Share Posted April 2, 2018 puking snow in macungie 32 degrees 2 in on the ground Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Newman Posted April 2, 2018 Share Posted April 2, 2018 For the potential weekend storm, the northern TPV wave that is supplying the cold air has trended much stronger recently. This is suppressing the flow way too south. We need a good balance of the Friday clipper-like system to be strong enough to provide a fresh shot of "cold" air (it isn't frigid but good enough for April) but not too strong to force everything south and pull the baroclinic zone well off shore. Also, the southern wave energy has basically vanished but I'm positive it'll show up again soon in the shorter range guidance. I think this storm has a legit chance for a SECS area wide, MECS for April standards. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted April 2, 2018 Share Posted April 2, 2018 GFS coming back north no surprise there, Ukmet is a moderate hit next weekend Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted April 2, 2018 Share Posted April 2, 2018 ss Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted April 2, 2018 Share Posted April 2, 2018 ^ Take that April still white, very white Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted April 2, 2018 Share Posted April 2, 2018 18z GFS clones today for Saturday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted April 3, 2018 Share Posted April 3, 2018 58 minutes ago, RedSky said: ss I have nothing. All brown/green grass...couldn't make a snowball if I tried. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted April 3, 2018 Share Posted April 3, 2018 Down to freezing that wasn't suppose to happen Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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