Ralph Wiggum Posted March 30, 2018 Share Posted March 30, 2018 Euro for the April 8ish threat: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted March 30, 2018 Share Posted March 30, 2018 Wow... April is the new January... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KamuSnow Posted March 30, 2018 Share Posted March 30, 2018 53 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: Seasonal trend....lose system or squash it 72-96 hours then slowly bring it back. We're the snow capital of the region this year....why not keep it going she (mother nature) said. Funny how many folks vanished here. I know it isn't January and I know many look at spring snow as a nuisance, but snow is snow and we get our spring snows with a neg NAO. This is one of those rare years we actually have that feature AND a neg AO to boot. Hmmm.....Interesting! And at the same time yesterday was a bit of a shock, like oh yeah, I remember this kind of weather - let me go put shorts on. Can we like both? Sure! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted March 30, 2018 Share Posted March 30, 2018 Philadelphia's average winter temperature was 36.9 this year...+1.3 from the 30 year average for 79-80 to 08-09... 1879-80 to 1888-89....34.0 1889-90 to 1898-99....34.7 1899-00 to 1908-09....33.9 1909-10 to 1918-19....34.7 1919-20 to 1928-29....35.3 1929-30 to 1938-39....36.7 1939-40 to 1948-49....33.2 1949-50 to 1958-59....35.7 1959-60 to 1968-69....31.8 1969-70 to 1978-79....33.2 1979-80 to 1988-89....33.6 1989-90 to 1998-99....36.7 1999-00 to 2008-09....35.6 2009-10 to 2016-17....36.5 1979-80 to 2008-09....35.3 1879-80 to 2008-09....34.5 2017-18....................36.9... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted March 30, 2018 Share Posted March 30, 2018 Some decent stuff moving up into SE PA/NJ. Glenn had a chance for a T-storm in NJ for today on last night 11pm news. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted March 30, 2018 Share Posted March 30, 2018 All guidance now on board for a 1-3" grassy snow event Monday AM for Southern PA. UKIE is a mauling but likely an outlier tho guidance continues increasing overall qpf with every run so there's that. Maybe yet another late positive trending overperformer headed our way lol? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowLover22 Posted March 30, 2018 Share Posted March 30, 2018 7 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: All guidance now on board for a 1-3" grassy snow event Monday AM for Southern PA. UKIE is a mauling but likely an outlier tho guidance continues increasing overall qpf with every run so there's that. Maybe yet another late positive trending overperformer headed our way lol? What do you mean by mauling how much does the Ukie show? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluehens Posted March 30, 2018 Share Posted March 30, 2018 Incoming!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted March 30, 2018 Share Posted March 30, 2018 ECM upgraded the heart of our region to 4-6" Monday. Yeah seriously! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted March 30, 2018 Share Posted March 30, 2018 Time for a good stiff drink and downshifting back to winter mode, when in Rome... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted March 30, 2018 Share Posted March 30, 2018 Thunderstorm south Jersey weather gone wild Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wkd Posted March 30, 2018 Share Posted March 30, 2018 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BBasile Posted March 30, 2018 Share Posted March 30, 2018 15 minutes ago, RedSky said: Thunderstorm south Jersey weather gone wild Some decent rain. 1-2"/hour rates. Haven't heard any thunder, though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted March 30, 2018 Share Posted March 30, 2018 ECM upgraded the heart of our region to 4-6" Monday. Yeah seriously! Ukie was nearly double that but unclear how much is rain. Interesting how qpf continues to increase though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ME_wannabe Posted March 30, 2018 Share Posted March 30, 2018 How often do fronts move at this speed? At 234 PM EDT, radar indicated strong thunderstorms were locatedalong a line extending from near Woodbury Heights to near Greenwich.Movement was northeast at 50 mph. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BBasile Posted March 30, 2018 Share Posted March 30, 2018 4 minutes ago, ME_wannabe said: How often do fronts move at this speed? At 234 PM EDT, radar indicated strong thunderstorms were locatedalong a line extending from near Woodbury Heights to near Greenwich.Movement was northeast at 50 mph. Thunderstorms typically move between 30 and 60 MPH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted March 30, 2018 Share Posted March 30, 2018 ECM upgraded the heart of our region to 4-6" Monday. Yeah seriously! Yepper Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted March 30, 2018 Share Posted March 30, 2018 Euro op April 8ish threat. Suppressed right where we want it. Seriously tho, that is quite a push of cold air for the time of year to even suggest snowfall where the Euro is progged. NAO block just wont fold: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted March 30, 2018 Share Posted March 30, 2018 Euro control run says bring it, game on: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted March 30, 2018 Share Posted March 30, 2018 When will we get NAM'd? I say 12z tomorrow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted March 30, 2018 Share Posted March 30, 2018 Euro control run for April 8: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted March 30, 2018 Share Posted March 30, 2018 Ch6/accu-weather going w/the safe "C - 2" at this point. Really wish it would speed up a tad and get here in the 12-2am range and out of here by 8-9am. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted March 31, 2018 Share Posted March 31, 2018 When will we get NAM'd? I say 12z tomorrow 0z was a start....looks like the Euro. EE rule now in effect...lock it up! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted March 31, 2018 Share Posted March 31, 2018 2 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: 0z was a start....looks like the Euro. EE rule now in effect...lock it up! Yep it's warming up it's memory chips Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
zenmsav6810 Posted March 31, 2018 Share Posted March 31, 2018 1 hour ago, RedSky said: Yep it's warming up it's memory chips Chips... I thought it was still on vacuum tubes! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted March 31, 2018 Share Posted March 31, 2018 UKMET, 3k NAM, EURO all in line now with a 3-6" event for SE PA. Do we cut those in half and go with 1-3" grassy surfaces? That's my feeling anyway but the mesos are showing some good banding with heavy rates for about 4-6 hours. Quick hitter during low light time of day. Tough call. Dont think the general public cares as long as it doesnt accumulate on road surfaces. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted March 31, 2018 Share Posted March 31, 2018 Euro OP still has our snow April 8-9 for the area. The Euro control is a much bigger threat but suppressed and still has the heavy snows thru VA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted March 31, 2018 Share Posted March 31, 2018 2 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: UKMET, 3k NAM, EURO all in line now with a 3-6" event for SE PA. Do we cut those in half and go with 1-3" grassy surfaces? That's my feeling anyway but the mesos are showing some good banding with heavy rates for about 4-6 hours. Quick hitter during low light time of day. Tough call. Dont think the general public cares as long as it doesnt accumulate on road surfaces. Appears it will be starting around 2am or so....so a better chance at stickage. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted March 31, 2018 Share Posted March 31, 2018 Did we get NAM'd I know Monmouth did with 7" lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowLover22 Posted March 31, 2018 Share Posted March 31, 2018 I feel this one slipping away hopefully it trends south again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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