Newman Posted March 22, 2018 Share Posted March 22, 2018 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted March 22, 2018 Share Posted March 22, 2018 Thankfully it looks like we will have at little break of precip events to melt the snow away. But guidance is indicating that afterwards the pattern becomes active again. Not even looking at the snow threat, but as a flooding threat. These past 2 months have been much above normal precip wise, a heavy rain event or 2 could cause issues on most of our streams and rivers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted March 23, 2018 Share Posted March 23, 2018 GEFS/EPS LR ens showing a decent -NAO/-AO look with a +PNA signal as well into early April with the PV hanging around East Central and E Canada with a trof in the East. Heck, the 6z GFS even throws us a snow threat on April 5. We may not be finished just yet.....lol: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wkd Posted March 25, 2018 Share Posted March 25, 2018 Nìce light snow here. On 2/27/2018 at 2:15 PM, The Iceman said: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowLover22 Posted March 25, 2018 Share Posted March 25, 2018 Last flakes of the season right now? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
penndotguy Posted March 25, 2018 Share Posted March 25, 2018 Been snowing steady since 8am nice coating Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted March 25, 2018 Share Posted March 25, 2018 Getting some mood flakes. Saw it get dark all of a sudden so I knew it was coming. Temp 32F. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KamuSnow Posted March 25, 2018 Share Posted March 25, 2018 Light snow here also, 31F. Radar looks cool, returns moving from west to east then running into a wall against flow from NE to SW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
zenmsav6810 Posted March 25, 2018 Share Posted March 25, 2018 Probably .75 inches Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted March 25, 2018 Share Posted March 25, 2018 Light snow here too. Very scenic with the snow piles still intact. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
penndotguy Posted March 25, 2018 Share Posted March 25, 2018 Moderate to occasional heavy snow .75 temp 29 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted March 25, 2018 Share Posted March 25, 2018 Snowing because it can't stop snowing this March? Another 1" I walked out and saw white and was like what is this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted March 25, 2018 Share Posted March 25, 2018 Kinda got shafted...nothing really to speak of here today. Man, this March sucks!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoeSeNJ Posted March 25, 2018 Share Posted March 25, 2018 Graupel showers. Enough to cover ground Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Newman Posted March 25, 2018 Share Posted March 25, 2018 Picked up an inch this morning. Was driving in Reading earlier and it was a whiteout at times with ++S. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SP Posted March 25, 2018 Share Posted March 25, 2018 And there it is..... a burst of snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BBasile Posted March 25, 2018 Share Posted March 25, 2018 Just had a nice little graupel shower. 42.8F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted March 26, 2018 Share Posted March 26, 2018 Anyone see the 6z GFS for April 7? Will probably be gone next run but I'll be danged if the ens and ops havent consistently been hinting at an Archambault as the NAO flips from negative to positive. Ops have been sporadically showing frozen precip surface progs especially elevation and NW areas. Period between April 4-April 8 should probably at least be monitored for winter's potential last gasp for some areas in the region. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted March 26, 2018 Share Posted March 26, 2018 One very brief/transient period of AN temps for a couple of days at the tail end of March sandwiched between an overall BN temp regime throughout the region on the LR ens thru the 2nd week of April. Dare I say the pattern even subtly supports a couple of frozen threats for parts of the region as energy undercuts the area and a gradient pattern sets up shop? Obviously climo supports NW and elevated areas but who the heck knows this year? Seeing some strong sustained HP sprawled out along the Canada/US border on some guidance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted March 26, 2018 Share Posted March 26, 2018 Looks like we should dry out this week... other than some showers maybe a brief period of light rain for a day or two, looks like there are no major precipitation events for the next 10 days. As posted above, things get interesting though beginning the first week of april. Looks like at least 2 large scale synoptic events in that time period that could possibly be frozen but at the very least look to be big precipitation makers at this time. That's the next thing to watch. As mentioned before, even with the dry period, a storm dropping 2-3" of rain region wide would likely cause flooding on the major rivers with how saturated the soil is right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
zenmsav6810 Posted March 26, 2018 Share Posted March 26, 2018 7 hours ago, Ralph Wiggum said: Anyone see the 6z GFS for April 7? Will probably be gone next run but I'll be danged if the ens and ops havent consistently been hinting at an Archambault as the NAO flips from negative to positive. Ops have been sporadically showing frozen precip surface progs especially elevation and NW areas. Period between April 4-April 8 should probably at least be monitored for winter's potential last gasp for some areas in the region. Yeah I've been watching that signal for a few days now, seems reliable to track. Steady as she goes! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted March 26, 2018 Share Posted March 26, 2018 10 hours ago, Ralph Wiggum said: Anyone see the 6z GFS for April 7? Will probably be gone next run but I'll be danged if the ens and ops havent consistently been hinting at an Archambault as the NAO flips from negative to positive. Ops have been sporadically showing frozen precip surface progs especially elevation and NW areas. Period between April 4-April 8 should probably at least be monitored for winter's potential last gasp for some areas in the region. An ice storm on April 7th is Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted March 27, 2018 Share Posted March 27, 2018 An ice storm on April 7th is CMC says no ice, just snow N and W with the gradient pattern setup. Not a strong signal but again, something interesting to track at the very least before we move closer to the broken record "partly sunny, hazy, hot, humid, chance for an isolated afternoon thunderstorm" stuff of summer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rockem_sockem_connection Posted March 27, 2018 Share Posted March 27, 2018 I mean look, it's April. Can we please just all hope for some warmth? Snow events aren't typically interesting now and don't last long lol. Sent from my Pixel XL using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SP Posted March 27, 2018 Share Posted March 27, 2018 32F at the cabin....looks a bit icy. Careful in the elevations!Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KamuSnow Posted March 29, 2018 Share Posted March 29, 2018 On 3/27/2018 at 6:18 PM, SP said: 32F at the cabin....looks a bit icy. Careful in the elevations! How is the snow pack up there? Pretty much gone down here as of overnight. Those warm steamy nights melt the snow in a hurry. As does the April sun with highs around 50F. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted March 30, 2018 Share Posted March 30, 2018 Didnt realize I was posting about the next 10 days in the wrong thread so here....the GFS and GEFS are now honking too. Not a bad signal for some sort of coastal storm at range on all guidance now. You know what they say....the big ones are often modeled at range by most models so worth noting. Like I've been saying, N and W and elevation systems (frozen) favored this time of year but I wouldnt rule anything out honestly given what we've seen the past 4 weeks and the continuation of the neg NAO look. Also, GFS is close to bringing light flakeage to Southern PA now with its shift N at 18z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted March 30, 2018 Share Posted March 30, 2018 Just about all of them jumped back on the snow threat for Monday at 0z friggen ridiculous Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted March 30, 2018 Share Posted March 30, 2018 Just about all of them jumped back on the snow threat for Monday at 0z friggen ridiculous Seasonal trend....lose system or squash it 72-96 hours then slowly bring it back. We're the snow capital of the region this year....why not keep it going she (mother nature) said. Funny how many folks vanished here. I know it isn't January and I know many look at spring snow as a nuisance, but snow is snow and we get our spring snows with a neg NAO. This is one of those rare years we actually have that feature AND a neg AO to boot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted March 30, 2018 Share Posted March 30, 2018 Euro for Monday: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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