Rtd208 Posted February 7, 2018 Author Share Posted February 7, 2018 A solid coating of snow accumulation on all surfaces so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mikeymac5306 Posted February 7, 2018 Share Posted February 7, 2018 Little bit of everything here. Started as a few flakes then a shot of rain, then sleet, now a mix of rain and sleet. Little sheen on the roads but nothing salt can't handle. 31 degrees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted February 7, 2018 Share Posted February 7, 2018 Over to frz rain. 31.5F so will be plain rain soon. All untreated surfaces are a sheet of ice now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted February 7, 2018 Share Posted February 7, 2018 0.5" of IP and Snow with still some IP mixed with ZR falling temp up to 29.2 here in East Nantmeal Twp Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Newman Posted February 7, 2018 Share Posted February 7, 2018 That was short lived. All sleet here now, no snow. Might as well flip to all rain now, don't need ice to screw everything up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted February 7, 2018 Share Posted February 7, 2018 Snow is going to bust in many places but I think ice is going to be much worse than previously thought. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wkd Posted February 7, 2018 Share Posted February 7, 2018 Looks like about 5/8" snow/sleet combo so far. 28F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted February 7, 2018 Share Posted February 7, 2018 24F in East Stroudsburg with heavy snow. Changeover looks to be an hour or two away. Colder than modeled so it might get pretty nasty later. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted February 7, 2018 Share Posted February 7, 2018 3k NAM brings what looks like a squall line through on sim radar through later this afternoon. HRRR and RGEM do the same thing. If that comes through then this storm would be a winner in my book. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Newman Posted February 7, 2018 Share Posted February 7, 2018 Still mostly sleet here with some snowflakes mixing in with heavier rates. Probably had close to 1.5 inches of pure snow but the sleet has compacted it to less than an inch now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted February 7, 2018 Share Posted February 7, 2018 1" snow with ZR falling and 30.6F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted February 7, 2018 Share Posted February 7, 2018 Still ZR here with temp 31.2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 7, 2018 Share Posted February 7, 2018 GFS op has a better look at 120 hours than prior runs with a sprawled out thick dome of cold hp stretching across the Northern tier of the country. I could see this look working with waves and overunning riding South ala gradient event or a SWFE sorta thing. Not giving up on the Feb 10-16 range I mentioned before. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
penndotguy Posted February 7, 2018 Share Posted February 7, 2018 31 with freezing rain 1.25” snow, well that didn’t take long at this point I hoping for 33 and rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted February 7, 2018 Share Posted February 7, 2018 18 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: GFS op has a better look at 120 hours than prior runs with a sprawled out thick dome of cold hp stretching across the Northern tier of the country. I could see this look working with waves and overunning riding South ala gradient event or a SWFE sorta thing. Not giving up on the Feb 10-16 range I mentioned before. Yep, it will still take some timing luck with no blocking in that time period but with that high, it increases our chances of getting lucky. Any wave will likely be a a borderline event as seen on the OP as these waves are rain at the moment, but it would not take much tweaking at all to get those waves to be an actual snow to rain event(not like today) or even a wet snow event. The 2m temps are very close to supporting a snow event. I agree with you that next week will offer several chances at snow with these waves. But I would favor again N and W areas as having the best shot at these. With zero help from the atlantic that is about the best we can hope for at this point. It doesn't scream snow set up to me but at least we will have a chance. To me we will need a lot of help with the event on the 11. The 13-16th period though has potential if we can get some trends of cooler air working down from Canada. It is close and we don't really need significant changes to see one of the waves be a 3-6 or 2-4" type storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KamuSnow Posted February 7, 2018 Share Posted February 7, 2018 Just moved up to 33F here with light rain. Look who showed up about an hour ago! A few days late, don't think he saw his shadow. I guess we wait a week or two and see how things shake out after this stratospheric PV split. Return to winter not necessarily guaranteed, but I like to believe that we aren't done yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted February 7, 2018 Share Posted February 7, 2018 14 minutes ago, KamuSnow said: Just moved up to 33F here with light rain. Look who showed up about an hour ago! A few days late, don't think he saw his shadow. I guess we wait a week or two and see how things shake out after this stratospheric PV split. Return to winter not necessarily guaranteed, but I like to believe that we aren't done yet. Kamu's groundhog says six more weeks of ice people after falling on it's butt Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 7, 2018 Share Posted February 7, 2018 Yep, it will still take some timing luck with no blocking in that time period but with that high, it increases our chances of getting lucky. Any wave will likely be a a borderline event as seen on the OP as these waves are rain at the moment, but it would not take much tweaking at all to get those waves to be an actual snow to rain event(not like today) or even a wet snow event. The 2m temps are very close to supporting a snow event. I agree with you that next week will offer several chances at snow with these waves. But I would favor again N and W areas as having the best shot at these. With zero help from the atlantic that is about the best we can hope for at this point. It doesn't scream snow set up to me but at least we will have a chance. To me we will need a lot of help with the event on the 11. The 13-16th period though has potential if we can get some trends of cooler air working down from Canada. It is close and we don't really need significant changes to see one of the waves be a 3-6 or 2-4" type storm.Agreed with this. Chances abound but timing challenges and temp issues PHL S and E. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted February 7, 2018 Share Posted February 7, 2018 33.1F drip drip Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 7, 2018 Share Posted February 7, 2018 Just had a heavier band of precip move thru 70:30 pingers to rain ratio Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Newman Posted February 7, 2018 Share Posted February 7, 2018 Plain rain. At least I won't have to clean the car off, it'll melt itself. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted February 7, 2018 Share Posted February 7, 2018 34.2F warm wins with this one guidance finally had a clue Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
penndotguy Posted February 7, 2018 Share Posted February 7, 2018 wow just checked couple observations up by Scranton a few are in the mid and upper 30's with plain rain, Scranton is at 36 and i sit at 33. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormman96 Posted February 7, 2018 Share Posted February 7, 2018 Wow is right. Its just unbelievable how bad weather forecasting has become. I know weather isnt an exact science and will never be perfect. But I have been following the weather for the last 30 years and it seems the accuracy is getting worse not better Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
penndotguy Posted February 7, 2018 Share Posted February 7, 2018 20 minutes ago, Stormman96 said: Wow is right. Its just unbelievable how bad weather forecasting has become. I know weather isnt an exact science and will never be perfect. But I have been following the weather for the last 30 years and it seems the accuracy is getting worse not better I don't really watch TV Weather cause I believe most of it ratings driven, I could be wrong. I just go by Mt Holly, yeah they get it wrong to but more often than not they are very close. Their forecast discussions are very detailed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Newman Posted February 7, 2018 Share Posted February 7, 2018 48 minutes ago, Stormman96 said: Wow is right. Its just unbelievable how bad weather forecasting has become. I know weather isnt an exact science and will never be perfect. But I have been following the weather for the last 30 years and it seems the accuracy is getting worse not better Well, we all know weather forecasting is highly reliant on models nowadays. I wonder if weather models have been integrated with such high resolution that they have, somehow, become too susceptible to the fluid nature of the weather and atmosphere, hence why they jump around so much? This assessment is probably wrong and incorrect, but I've always thought that maybe the models have too high resolution, if possible. Also, I'm not sure how weather models verified decades ago so I for one can't vouch if the models have gotten better or worse. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted February 7, 2018 Share Posted February 7, 2018 Quite the spread between PHL and NW burbs - PHL now 48.0 while here in NW Chesco 35.6 - with my driveway still a bit icy! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted February 7, 2018 Share Posted February 7, 2018 1 hour ago, penndotguy said: I don't really watch TV Weather cause I believe most of it ratings driven, I could be wrong. I just go by Mt Holly, yeah they get it wrong to but more often than not they are very close. Their forecast discussions are very detailed. Agreed! I can't tell you the last time I watched local news for weather. The best source continues to be the NWSFO in Mount Holly...we are fortunate to have in my opinion the best forecast office in the country. Thank you Mount Holly professionals!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTA66 Posted February 7, 2018 Share Posted February 7, 2018 Got up to 39F today, temp has since dropped back to 37F. Still some slush in spots, including the car windshield. If the remaining rain doesn't take care of that, I'll need to get it off before a freeze sets in later tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHERBUFF Posted February 7, 2018 Share Posted February 7, 2018 2 hours ago, penndotguy said: wow just checked couple observations up by Scranton a few are in the mid and upper 30's with plain rain, Scranton is at 36 and i sit at 33. The climate of scranton it seems these days is more like southeastern pa. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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