The Iceman Posted February 1, 2018 Share Posted February 1, 2018 1 minute ago, RedSky said: Need a 25 mile shift SE on ECM for us north and west SEPA peeps Sunday, looks painful and reminds of the system earlier in the season i joked about a road trip for. If i remember correct that storm ended up even further NW. yeah euro is close to a decent event even for the metro area. we'd still turn over, but would definitely get more of a thump. 50-75 mile shift SE and we'd all be in bussiness.. all snow for N and W then snow to light rain/drizzle for the metro area. the trend hasn't been to shift that way though... we have gotten some last minute changes that gave us a good storm this year though in less than ideal situations.. this may be another. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted February 1, 2018 Share Posted February 1, 2018 the HRRR has been increasing snow totals(albeit from a coating to 1-2") for 4 straight runs now for overnight. More N and W as temps will drop quicker but it's now being generous with snow to the coast. Tomorrow now looks like it may be another overperforming nickle event around here that has potential to really screw up the morning commute. Some really good last minute trends today. Edit. 12z Euro also shows a nice hit as well with 1-2" region wide Edit2: 19z HRRR changes us over a full hour earlier than previously. rates on the sim radar show that once we do switch should be a hour or 2 of some nice rates. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pohopoco Posted February 2, 2018 Share Posted February 2, 2018 Rain to Snow sometime in the last hour...32f... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted February 2, 2018 Share Posted February 2, 2018 WXSIM has 3 rounds of wintry weather this week - with the rain this evening switching to snow around midnight here in NW Chesco with 1.3" of snow after change over before snow ends by 600 am. Light snow arrives again on SB Sunday by 1130 am becoming heavy by 3 PM with a change to ZR/IP by 530 pm with about 2.0" of snow. Then a mix of ZR and IP thru 930 pm with 0.40" of additional frozen on top of the snow - temps remaining in the 20's. Then more snow arrives heavy at times in the early AM hours of Wednesday with another inch or two of snow and then ice (with almost 1" falling as frozen) before temps rise above freezing by 9 am with another inch or so of rain falling during the day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted February 2, 2018 Share Posted February 2, 2018 Snow starting to mix in here in NW Chesco a bit earlier than expected temp at 37.3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted February 2, 2018 Share Posted February 2, 2018 20 minutes ago, ChescoPaWxman said: Snow starting to mix in here in NW Chesco a bit earlier than expected temp at 37.3 wow very early for mixing, places well west aren't mixing yet. i think elevation is likely helping you too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted February 2, 2018 Share Posted February 2, 2018 34.7F already although still rain the cold appears to be early Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted February 2, 2018 Share Posted February 2, 2018 Just took the trash down to the curb...cold rain 36.9F. Has that smell of snow in the air though... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted February 2, 2018 Author Share Posted February 2, 2018 Temp down to 39 here with rain falling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted February 2, 2018 Share Posted February 2, 2018 still raining and temp stopped falling, snow blues on radar to my southeast? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted February 2, 2018 Share Posted February 2, 2018 some flakes and pellets mixed in 35.1F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted February 2, 2018 Share Posted February 2, 2018 Big flakes mixed with rain 34.5F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted February 2, 2018 Share Posted February 2, 2018 Still just cold rain...36.9F. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted February 2, 2018 Share Posted February 2, 2018 Still rain and snow mix, back edge is moving east rapidly doubt there is any accumulation even here in the NW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted February 2, 2018 Share Posted February 2, 2018 3 minutes ago, RedSky said: Still rain and snow mix, back edge is moving east rapidly doubt there is any accumulation even here in the NW Way quicker than expected...E of State College already. Probably near Harrisburg within an hour or so... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 2, 2018 Share Posted February 2, 2018 Way quicker than expected...E of State College already. Probably near Harrisburg within an hour or so...Meh, plain rain here. Looks to be moving out quickly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted February 2, 2018 Share Posted February 2, 2018 Umm back to all rain and 33.6F Intellicast is delusional right now, two thumbs down on this one Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted February 2, 2018 Author Share Posted February 2, 2018 Still have rain falling here, current temp 38 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted February 2, 2018 Share Posted February 2, 2018 Getting rain to turn to accumulating snow behind a front in this region is almost as hard as beating the Patriots in the Superbowl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted February 2, 2018 Author Share Posted February 2, 2018 Just changed over to snow here, temp 35 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted February 2, 2018 Share Posted February 2, 2018 Had cold rain overnight and early this morning with dropping temps. Some flakes mixed in enough to dust cars here. Currently a few flurries flying and temp just dropped to 32F. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 2, 2018 Share Posted February 2, 2018 Nada here, couple of wet flakes at the end. Underperformer as expected here in this new pattern. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted February 2, 2018 Share Posted February 2, 2018 well since every other model shows nothing but misery the next 10 days, the cmc gives u a foot next weds... lol if only winter went according to that model...id average 100 inches a year Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Newman Posted February 2, 2018 Share Posted February 2, 2018 Mostly sleet fell here last night. Roads are wet but driveway is icy. Snowing lightly right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted February 2, 2018 Share Posted February 2, 2018 0.25" liquid (pretty much a wet snow and rain mix all night and a coating of snow - high was 35.5 at midnight - temp now down to 28.3 with some light flurries falling Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted February 2, 2018 Share Posted February 2, 2018 Crashed a little after 2am with all rain/34.9F but the back edge was approaching quickly. May have had a couple flakes mixing in at the end but it really doesn't because I only received .17" total for the entire event. Even if it was all snow, it would have been minor and probably limited stickage... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTA66 Posted February 2, 2018 Share Posted February 2, 2018 A sporadic dusting here, mainly on flowerbeds and car tops. Temp dropping, 29F now after a midnight high of 38F. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 2, 2018 Share Posted February 2, 2018 well since every other model shows nothing but misery the next 10 days, the cmc gives u a foot next weds... lol if only winter went according to that model...id average 100 inches a yearEns give a glimmer of hope once we get to Feb 10, but we know how reliable the LR ens have been this year :sarcasm:. Would fit nicely into the Feb 10-16 period I've been keying on. I will gladly accept a fail during that period if the models are merely rushing things only to have something promising pop at the end of that range or right after though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mikeymac5306 Posted February 2, 2018 Share Posted February 2, 2018 One last light snow shower pushing through. Clouds breaking to the west. 31 degrees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted February 2, 2018 Share Posted February 2, 2018 A small band of flurries/snow showers moving in from NW to SE...clouds lowering. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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