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12Z Model Thread 12/22


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I am at work and have no access to euro here so I am waiting like everyone else on word, but I did get a look at the GFS/GGEM/UK and what sticks out on all 3 is how far east the ridge out west gets... the delay in timing was good to a point but now it may be getting too delayed and allowing the ridge out west to move too far east and push everything out. Of course that is per the GFS/GGEM/UKMET perhaps the euro calls BS in a few minutes (fingers crossed).

I just looked at the same three models and I am not too happy being in CT. All three showing nearly the same thing. Looks like a near miss to the east.

But with pretty much all the models now showing a low BOMBING and moving up the coast there is hope for a track change.

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Hey Dg12x, I believe you use to live in our neck of the woods (Jersey Shore)...Any mixing issues here bud?

You'll be fine on this run. Even at the height of the storm when KBLM gets 0.95" in 6 hours...2m model temps don't crack +0.5, and they'll be too high w/ the precip rates. 850's are around -5 to -6C...thats all snow.

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