Paragon Posted December 21, 2017 Share Posted December 21, 2017 23 minutes ago, NEG NAO said: entire run of the GFS OP is suffering from a severe case of feedback - the upper air pattern of the OP is in disagreement with its ensembles again as was the case in earlier runs … It might be too drastic a cut off for the coast, but the amounts aren't too dissimilar from the Millenium storm. Parts of N NJ and Eastern PA got close to 30" in that, while the south shore of Long Island got 12-16" as long as you were west of Islip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paragon Posted December 21, 2017 Share Posted December 21, 2017 16 minutes ago, Cobalt said: GFS run through 384 is even wackier. Basically 2 HECS's in a row within 5 days of each other for places NW of New York City That 42 inch mark in NE PA, is very close to the place I go to in the Poconos, and that 29 in SW Long Island is where I am right now Let's see how close these numbers get to verifying lol. Where is the max of 45.7 inches located? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted December 21, 2017 Share Posted December 21, 2017 21 minutes ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said: I’ll take my foot and 30” at my ski house in southern Vermont! I’d call that the PB fail storm, as in central jersey sees its opposite feb 10. What would piss you off more... Being on the wrong side the R/S line with epic amounts falling on the snow side or being fringed? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paragon Posted December 21, 2017 Share Posted December 21, 2017 1 minute ago, snywx said: What would piss you off more... Being on the wrong side the R/S line with epic amounts falling on the snow side or being fringed? There is a third bad option. Being away from home while home got buried in a HECS lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted December 21, 2017 Share Posted December 21, 2017 1 minute ago, Paragon said: There is a third bad option. Being away from home while home got buried in a HECS lol. Thats gonna be me if this happens lol.. Im on a flight to MIA the morning of the 28th Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paragon Posted December 21, 2017 Share Posted December 21, 2017 25 minutes ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said: I’ll take my foot and 30” at my ski house in southern Vermont! I’d call that the PB fail storm, as in central jersey sees its opposite feb 10. Lucky for us we got hit twice after that storm, it soothed over some of the hurt from getting fringed by the first one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted December 21, 2017 Share Posted December 21, 2017 3 minutes ago, Paragon said: That 42 inch mark in NE PA, is very close to the place I go to in the Poconos, and that 29 in SW Long Island is where I am right now Let's see how close these numbers get to verifying lol. Where is the max of 45.7 inches located? Looks like pretty close to the 42 inch mark. Hard to tell, but it looks like the deepest purple is there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paragon Posted December 21, 2017 Share Posted December 21, 2017 Just now, snywx said: Thats gonna be me if this happens lol.. Im on a flight to MIA the morning of the 28th Oh that sucks, how long will you be gone? That's why I'm trying to figure out which place I should be at for this storm should it happen. I guess it's too far out to even plan a trip around this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paragon Posted December 21, 2017 Share Posted December 21, 2017 2 minutes ago, Cobalt said: Looks like pretty close to the 42 inch mark. Hard to tell, but it looks like the deepest purple is there. Yeah my place in the Poconos is on the southwest edge of that (Carbon county) so it looks like the deepest part should be in the county just to the NE of there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted December 21, 2017 Share Posted December 21, 2017 The silence from the warmistas is amazing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 21, 2017 Share Posted December 21, 2017 12 minutes ago, dmillz25 said: The silence from the warmistas is amazing They are still trolling in the main threads Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted December 21, 2017 Share Posted December 21, 2017 Are we really expecting 2 20" Snowstorms and single digits, all by Jan. 06? With little melting this could be a snow depth of 40"!! Will it be a city that NEVER SLEEPS or one that NEVER MOVES? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted December 21, 2017 Share Posted December 21, 2017 21 minutes ago, dmillz25 said: The silence from the warmistas is amazing Source: snowman19 heard mumbling "Christmas, 60, rain" as he tossed and turned in bed... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JerseyWx Posted December 21, 2017 Share Posted December 21, 2017 6 hours ago, Paragon said: Oh that sucks, how long will you be gone? That's why I'm trying to figure out which place I should be at for this storm should it happen. I guess it's too far out to even plan a trip around this. Yeah I wouldn't plan a trip around the 384hr GFS, but I think this will be an active and interesting period Season's Greetings Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted December 21, 2017 Share Posted December 21, 2017 7 hours ago, Paragon said: That 42 inch mark in NE PA, is very close to the place I go to in the Poconos, and that 29 in SW Long Island is where I am right now Let's see how close these numbers get to verifying lol. Where is the max of 45.7 inches located? These long outlook snow maps never verify. best guess is 35 percent of the total. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted December 21, 2017 Share Posted December 21, 2017 I’ll be in central jersey for Christmas...hopefully the coastal develops and sends some white Christmas love to Philly/NJ/NYC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted December 21, 2017 Share Posted December 21, 2017 7 minutes ago, nj2va said: I’ll be in central jersey for Christmas...hopefully the coastal develops and sends some white Christmas love to Philly/NJ/NYC. Not with that avatar. Hope you get rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted December 21, 2017 Share Posted December 21, 2017 2 minutes ago, BxEngine said: Not with that avatar. Hope you get rain. Should I pack my Murphy Nats jersey? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted December 21, 2017 Share Posted December 21, 2017 8 hours ago, snywx said: What would piss you off more... Being on the wrong side the R/S line with epic amounts falling on the snow side or being fringed? After being in Phoenix AZ for the past 2 weeks, getting any snow at all... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paragon Posted December 21, 2017 Share Posted December 21, 2017 22 minutes ago, BxEngine said: Not with that avatar. Hope you get rain. He can get snow as long as DC is warm and the Caps rink cooling facility breaks down and their players fall through the melting ice ;-) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paragon Posted December 21, 2017 Share Posted December 21, 2017 19 minutes ago, Voyager said: After being in Phoenix AZ for the past 2 weeks, getting any snow at all... Working on your tan out there? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted December 21, 2017 Share Posted December 21, 2017 Just now, Paragon said: Working on your tan out there? A little...lol Actually, I'm visiting my mom and analyzing her health condition. She could really use a family member out here to help her with some things that are getting difficult for her to do such as getting to doctors appointments, running errands, and general upkeep on the house. I'm contemplating making a move out here as coming east wouldn't be good for her, and there's no way I'd put her in a nursing home or assisted living facility unless I was here to make sure they treated her well. Of course I like the climate as well... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paragon Posted December 21, 2017 Share Posted December 21, 2017 24 minutes ago, Voyager said: A little...lol Actually, I'm visiting my mom and analyzing her health condition. She could really use a family member out here to help her with some things that are getting difficult for her to do such as getting to doctors appointments, running errands, and general upkeep on the house. I'm contemplating making a move out here as coming east wouldn't be good for her, and there's no way I'd put her in a nursing home or assisted living facility unless I was here to make sure they treated her well. Of course I like the climate as well... Oh, I'm sorry Glad that you can be with her for Christmas and possibly beyond. The climate there is probably better for her too. There's a reason most of us move to places like that when we get older. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherFeen2000 Posted December 21, 2017 Author Share Posted December 21, 2017 I expect EPS to come in west of the euro run and stronger. Don' ask why just my gut feeling. I also expect all the models to start trending towards a 3-6 inch snow event for Christmas day event Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 21, 2017 Share Posted December 21, 2017 Redbank and snowman19 are so annoying Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted December 21, 2017 Share Posted December 21, 2017 13 hours ago, snywx said: What would piss you off more... Being on the wrong side the R/S line with epic amounts falling on the snow side or being fringed? That’s easy!! As a south shore guy r/s line all the way!!! December 05 was brutal Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted December 21, 2017 Share Posted December 21, 2017 Wow, Utqiagvik (Barrow), Alaska reached 33 deg F today, a record high for the winter solstice. The northernmost city in the US has an average high of -3 deg F for Dec. 21. 11:27 AM - 21 Dec 2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted December 21, 2017 Share Posted December 21, 2017 5 minutes ago, bluewave said: Wow, Utqiagvik (Barrow), Alaska reached 33 deg F today, a record high for the winter solstice. The northernmost city in the US has an average high of -3 deg F for Dec. 21. 11:27 AM - 21 Dec 2017 I was just about to post that, I couldn't believe the temp when I saw it. The sea ice coverage is equally alarming. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted December 21, 2017 Share Posted December 21, 2017 24 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said: I was just about to post that, I couldn't believe the temp when I saw it. The sea ice coverage is equally alarming. Fairbanks is +20.8 so far for December and Barrow was a record +16.4 in November. http://w2.weather.gov/climate/index.php?wfo=pafg Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted December 21, 2017 Share Posted December 21, 2017 9 minutes ago, bluewave said: Fairbanks is +20.8 so far for December and Barrow was a record +16.4 in November. http://w2.weather.gov/climate/index.php?wfo=pafg Unreal. At least we are the benefactors. That effects native live in terrible waves as traditional substance hunting is not possible Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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