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Winter 2017-18 banter thread


WeatherFeen2000

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  On 12/31/2017 at 12:10 AM, SnoSki14 said:

I smell eastern New England/LI special, things don't fully phase in time to deliver, pattern is a bit too progressive. 

Could end up being a very painful near miss, but I'm optimistic that another Boxing Day surprise happens.

Time is on our side too. 

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The day you post something optimistic will be the day metsfan posts a 500 word discussion about the right exit of a jet streak and explains why the 500mb maps are displaced from surface features.

 

:)

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  On 12/31/2017 at 12:23 AM, Nibor said:

I think Long Island, especially the eastern tip has a really good chance of seeing 6+ from the storm. But west of the city I'm not so sure. With these Miller A storms there's a sharp cut off. We saw it especially well with the Boxing day storm.

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There's a chance that eastern LI gets screwed too.  I'm pretty ambivalent on this storm, especially with the seasonal pattern this year.  We won't know for sure until inside 48 hours though.

 

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  On 12/31/2017 at 12:15 AM, BxEngine said:

The day you post something optimistic will be the day metsfan posts a 500 word discussion about the right exit of a jet streak and explains why the 500mb maps are displaced from surface features.

 

:)

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 I'll settle for the Eagles winning a Super Bowl...

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  On 12/31/2017 at 12:26 AM, Paragon said:

There's a chance that eastern LI gets screwed too.  I'm pretty ambivalent on this storm, especially with the seasonal pattern this year.  We won't know for sure until inside 48 hours though.

 

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Oh no not you too!!!   

The only thing that’s certain right now is that we are uncertain. And that a storm signal is there. A big one. I could see a 2/99 repeat though.. that’s the underrated cousin of 2/5/10

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  On 12/31/2017 at 3:09 AM, LongBeachSurfFreak said:

Oh no not you too!!!   

The only thing that’s certain right now is that we are uncertain. And that a storm signal is there. A big one. I could see a 2/99 repeat though.. that’s the underrated cousin of 2/5/10

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Haha just trying not to get too excited.

lol 2/99 I had completely forgotten that until I saw the snowfall totals.

Difference of a west-east vs north-south gradient

Bad part is, either way our part of Long Island gets screwed.

I've noticed that this part of Long Island mainly jackpots during El Ninos- preferably moderate or strong ones.

Biggest snowstorms (20+ inches)  in my memory are 2/83, 2/03 (PD2) and of course 1/16- all in moderate or strong el ninos.

There is Jan 1996 too of course, but that buried everyone.

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  On 12/31/2017 at 3:09 AM, LongBeachSurfFreak said:

Oh no not you too!!!   

The only thing that’s certain right now is that we are uncertain. And that a storm signal is there. A big one. I could see a 2/99 repeat though.. that’s the underrated cousin of 2/5/10

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Hopefully not a December 1981.  Just a cloudy windy day in NY.  A friend arrived from Boston with a mound of snow on the car.

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