Paragon Posted December 23, 2017 Share Posted December 23, 2017 On 12/23/2017 at 4:53 AM, Snow88 said: I have to work in Times Square on NYE Expand So you want the snow to be over by then? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 23, 2017 Share Posted December 23, 2017 On 12/23/2017 at 4:55 AM, Paragon said: So you want the snow to be over by then? Expand Hell no Looks like a friday morning start according to the 3 models Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paragon Posted December 23, 2017 Share Posted December 23, 2017 On 12/23/2017 at 5:02 AM, SnoSki14 said: Single digits when the ball drops. Really good agreement on a snowstorm from all the major models over a week out, which is very rare. How it'll actually transpire varies considerably. I see something closer to PD 2 than Jan 96. Expand If you had to pick one that you would want to see a repeat of, would it be Jan 96, PD2 or Jan 2016? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted December 23, 2017 Share Posted December 23, 2017 On 12/23/2017 at 5:03 AM, Paragon said: If you had to pick one that you would want to see a repeat of, would it be Jan 96, PD2 or Jan 2016? Expand The morning of 2/13/14 for 24 hours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paragon Posted December 23, 2017 Share Posted December 23, 2017 On 12/23/2017 at 5:05 AM, Rjay said: The morning of 2/13/14 for 24 hours Expand Oh that was before the changeover. Those must've been some amazing rates. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paragon Posted December 23, 2017 Share Posted December 23, 2017 On 12/23/2017 at 5:05 AM, Snow88 said: I had 30 inches It was insane Boxing Day Expand The amazing winds! What kind of winds are we talking about with this (and how strong does it get in mb)? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted December 23, 2017 Share Posted December 23, 2017 On 12/23/2017 at 5:06 AM, Paragon said: Oh that was before the changeover. Those must've been some amazing rates. Expand Don't talk to @jm1220 about that storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paragon Posted December 23, 2017 Share Posted December 23, 2017 On 12/23/2017 at 5:08 AM, Rjay said: Don't talk to @jm1220 about that storm. Expand That's right- that was the one where the western part of the south shore did worse than the eastern part. I remember it was raining or sleeting here while it was still snowing in Massapequa. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paragon Posted December 23, 2017 Share Posted December 23, 2017 On 12/22/2017 at 11:45 PM, EasternLI said: Feb 13 I can agree to hate. The area that got smoked on the Island was literally like 1 or 2 miles to my west. Expand Why is the area that gets hit like that so narrow? What would it take to have a storm with that kind of intense snowfall but have that kind of snowfall spread out over a much larger area (let's say 200 miles wide)? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paragon Posted December 23, 2017 Share Posted December 23, 2017 On 12/23/2017 at 12:45 AM, tim said: ..and lets not forget..NY Rangers vrs. Buffalo Sabres @ Citi Field on new years day..would love to see the game played in those conditions..would love it more if the Islanders were playing. Expand Glad to see the Islanders coming back to Nassau County- Aqueduct here we come! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted December 23, 2017 Share Posted December 23, 2017 On 12/23/2017 at 5:10 AM, Paragon said: That's right- that was the one where the western part of the south shore did worse than the eastern part. I remember it was raining or sleeting here while it was still snowing in Massapequa. Expand The rain/snow line set up near Sunrise Highway and got stuck there so I was ripping while he was raining. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paragon Posted December 23, 2017 Share Posted December 23, 2017 On 12/22/2017 at 11:35 PM, EasternLI said: When the Jan 15 reunion rolls around I hope I'm seated at the New England table. Expand Orient Pt 30" Islip 24" One of the few times the snowhole of New England, Groton, did well with 24" Dont worry we got ours the next year (almost the same date, I think?) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paragon Posted December 23, 2017 Share Posted December 23, 2017 On 12/23/2017 at 5:24 AM, Rjay said: The rain/snow line set up near Sunrise Highway and got stuck there so I was ripping while he was raining. Expand Haha I remember there was this weirdo storm in 2010 (not one of the biggies, we got about 5 inches of a very wet snow) where it was raining at Long Beach and snowing in Valley Stream. Poor JM, basically the rain/snow line was in Reynolds Channel near the bridge Did you get around 11 inches with the Feb 2014 storm? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted December 23, 2017 Share Posted December 23, 2017 On 12/23/2017 at 5:29 AM, Paragon said: Haha I remember there was this weirdo storm in 2010 (not one of the biggies, we got about 5 inches of a very wet snow) where it was raining at Long Beach and snowing in Valley Stream. Poor JM, basically the rain/snow line was in Reynolds Channel near the bridge Did you get around 11 inches with the Feb 2014 storm? Expand I got 12" in the Feb 2014 storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paragon Posted December 23, 2017 Share Posted December 23, 2017 On 12/23/2017 at 5:32 AM, Rjay said: I got 12" in the Feb 2014 storm. Expand I do remember that! Something that perplexed me was that even Fire Island changed over later than we did out this way haha. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted December 23, 2017 Share Posted December 23, 2017 06Z GFS/0Z EURO are both east with 12/30 storm. We are in donunt hole again, instead of jackpot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted December 23, 2017 Share Posted December 23, 2017 On 12/23/2017 at 1:35 PM, CIK62 said: 06Z GFS/0Z EURO are both east with 12/30 storm. We are in donunt hole again, instead of jackpot. Expand For the first time, the GEFS is showing a brief shift to a PNA-. That’s not yet a foregone conclusion. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted December 23, 2017 Share Posted December 23, 2017 the pna forecast is for it to go positive...all members are in line... http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/precip/CWlink/pna/pna.shtml the ao and nao are still fuzzy with some members positive and some negative... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted December 23, 2017 Share Posted December 23, 2017 On 12/22/2017 at 5:52 PM, BxEngine said: Im just curious where my 60 degree warmth this weekend went. Anyone seen it? Expand On 12/22/2017 at 6:02 PM, IrishRob17 said: The ‘experts’ say look in mid January Expand In the last 72 hrs: 48 hrs of temps in the 30s at KNYC. 1 hour of 50s. Weird. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted December 23, 2017 Share Posted December 23, 2017 On 12/23/2017 at 5:25 PM, BxEngine said: In the last 72 hrs: 48 hrs of temps in the 30s at KNYC. 1 hour of 50s. Weird. Expand Yeah, 60s became 42 out here. Way to run a warm up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paragon Posted December 23, 2017 Share Posted December 23, 2017 On 12/23/2017 at 3:12 PM, uncle W said: the pna forecast is for it to go positive...all members are in line... http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/precip/CWlink/pna/pna.shtml the ao and nao are still fuzzy with some members positive and some negative... Expand How often does it happen that both are stuck near neutral for a long time? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted December 23, 2017 Share Posted December 23, 2017 On 12/23/2017 at 6:14 PM, Paragon said: How often does it happen that both are stuck near neutral for a long time? Expand the nao and ao actual has been as high as the highest member forecast for a while and both are running higher than the mean forecast... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted December 23, 2017 Share Posted December 23, 2017 On 12/23/2017 at 1:35 PM, CIK62 said: 06Z GFS/0Z EURO are both east with 12/30 storm. We are in donunt hole again, instead of jackpot. Expand The pattern is supportive of a major storm on the east coast. I mean it could miss but idk what else to tell you guys at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brasiluvsnow Posted December 23, 2017 Share Posted December 23, 2017 plenty of time for the 12 / 30 storm lots can happen,,,,,but what about Xmas Eve ? Looks like orange County north is snow,,,,,,does any body South of that get accumulating snow ? Lower Hudson Valley could start AS rain but will it stay as rain ? what about NYC any accumulating snow ? looks like Jersey could be all rain but what do I know Im a novice ,,,lol edit here as soon as I posted I saw in another thread that someone said that the Euro came out with a more snowy solution for the HV , NY and NJ ,,,,,,hmmmmmmmm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherFeen2000 Posted December 23, 2017 Author Share Posted December 23, 2017 On 12/23/2017 at 6:56 PM, Brasiluvsnow said: plenty of time for the 12 / 30 storm lots can happen,,,,,but what about Xmas Eve ? Looks like orange County north is snow,,,,,,does any body South of that get accumulating snow ? Lower Hudson Valley could start AS rain but will it stay as rain ? what about NYC any accumulating snow ? looks like Jersey could be all rain but what do I know Im a novice ,,,lol Expand Euro shows 2 inches for manhattan and north. More as you get north. Still a White Christmas to me! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brasiluvsnow Posted December 23, 2017 Share Posted December 23, 2017 On 12/23/2017 at 7:04 PM, WeatherFeen2000 said: Euro shows 2 inches for manhattan and north. More as you get north. Still a White Christmas to me! Expand TY Feen now I feel better Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternLI Posted December 23, 2017 Share Posted December 23, 2017 On 12/23/2017 at 5:21 AM, Paragon said: Why is the area that gets hit like that so narrow? What would it take to have a storm with that kind of intense snowfall but have that kind of snowfall spread out over a much larger area (let's say 200 miles wide)? Expand Well, let's gin up a March 93 with a benchmark track and see how that goes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Enigma Posted December 23, 2017 Share Posted December 23, 2017 I'm pretty sure poster CIK is a troll bot. I have been on these boards for over 20 years and have never seen a poster consistently remark on CFS temps or brag about AN as much as CIK. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JetsPens87 Posted December 23, 2017 Share Posted December 23, 2017 On 12/23/2017 at 1:35 PM, CIK62 said: 06Z GFS/0Z EURO are both east with 12/30 storm. We are in donunt hole again, instead of jackpot. Expand Cause 6 days out the “jackpot” is definitely where you want to be, I mean it couldn’t possibly change could it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted December 23, 2017 Share Posted December 23, 2017 On 12/23/2017 at 7:39 PM, JetsPens87 said: Cause 6 days out the “jackpot” is definitely where you want to be, I mean it couldn’t possibly change could it? Expand Exactly, based on the seasonal trend that’s just where I want to be at this juncture. A March 17 repeat for the coast during the heart of the winter would be a heart breaker Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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