Powerball Posted December 6, 2017 Share Posted December 6, 2017 6 minutes ago, Stebo said: I am upping the chances to 5% for something to fall and accumulate down south. I'll try my best to share pics for proof. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 6, 2017 Share Posted December 6, 2017 1 minute ago, Stebo said: Fine 15% Nah, like 75%. There's a decent signal for dynamic cooling. Boundary layer/ground temps are the question, but like we say, it will accumulate anywhere at any time if the rates are heavy enough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted December 6, 2017 Share Posted December 6, 2017 33 minutes ago, Powerball said: Some may get a good laugh out of this. The tiny red star is my location: I hope that happens. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted December 6, 2017 Share Posted December 6, 2017 3 hours ago, Jonger said: Howell, maybe -- eastpoint, probably not. Anyhow, SE Michigan isn't known to be a winter playground. This state is pretty top notch for snow and this pattern is the reason why. You and Stebo need your own Banter thread.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted December 6, 2017 Share Posted December 6, 2017 11 minutes ago, Jonger said: I hope that happens. If you agree to a 3-day 95*F+ heatwave next Summer IYBY, we've got a deal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted December 6, 2017 Share Posted December 6, 2017 40 minutes ago, Hoosier said: Nah, like 75%. There's a decent signal for dynamic cooling. Boundary layer/ground temps are the question, but like we say, it will accumulate anywhere at any time if the rates are heavy enough. The rates are the issue for me, it just doesn't look overly impressive with heavy rates. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted December 6, 2017 Share Posted December 6, 2017 56 minutes ago, Powerball said: Some may get a good laugh out of this. The tiny red star is my location: People will be blaming you for bringing the snow south to them lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted December 6, 2017 Share Posted December 6, 2017 Just now, cyclone77 said: People will be blaming you for bringing the snow south to them lol. Yep. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted December 6, 2017 Share Posted December 6, 2017 1 minute ago, Powerball said: Yep. It's a good thing Geos didn't move to Florida. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 6, 2017 Share Posted December 6, 2017 On 12/6/2017 at 5:11 PM, Stebo said: The rates are the issue for me, it just doesn't look overly impressive with heavy rates. I guess we'll see. GFS/Euro have been way less bullish than the NAM. I'd definitely cut those NAM amounts, but that still leaves room for smaller accumulations. Powerball, you'll have to go to the store and give us a report on the bread and milk situation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cmillzz Posted December 6, 2017 Share Posted December 6, 2017 7 hours ago, Jonger said: It looks like a -5F to -8F December. Transient..... we can't even see the end of this on any model. It just keeps reloading. It’s not hard to get temps in the 20s in December. It’s cold and it sucks, but this looks like run of the mill stuff for December. December will definitely not finish with -8 departures unless you can erase the first five days of the month... I’m wondering if this month will even finish below normal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted December 6, 2017 Share Posted December 6, 2017 I will say, the rain band today did set up much further north than expected (most of it was expected south of here). We'll see if that makes any difference over the next 48 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cmillzz Posted December 6, 2017 Share Posted December 6, 2017 11 hours ago, Guest said: In depth. Sent from my SM-G925T using Tapatalk Of course, bowme. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted December 6, 2017 Share Posted December 6, 2017 There are far too many people hiding who they are around here lately... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted December 7, 2017 Share Posted December 7, 2017 5 hours ago, Jonger said: You get your chances here, but the lack of a trail system is tough on me. Snowshoeing sucks IMO, but you really need deep snow for that. Downhill skiing sucks in Michigan IMO too, but it gets you out of the house. Cross country seems to be popular. You will always see c.c. tracks all over the place in winter. I love good old fashioned sitting my butt on a sled or taking a winter hike. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted December 7, 2017 Share Posted December 7, 2017 I wonder why GRR wrote DTX 's forecast discussion this afternoon? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
thomp2mp Posted December 7, 2017 Share Posted December 7, 2017 1 hour ago, michsnowfreak said: I wonder why GRR wrote DTX 's forecast discussion this afternoon? Maybe DTX was having their christmas party Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted December 7, 2017 Share Posted December 7, 2017 I know it isn't in this region but the extreme fire conditions in California for tonight and tomorrow are really getting concerning. Could be one of the worst days in years if everything is realized tonight. I am sure everyone saw the video from the 405 this morning, near Bel Air. Here is the video just in case you didn't see it: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 7, 2017 Share Posted December 7, 2017 5 minutes ago, Stebo said: I know it isn't in this region but the extreme fire conditions in California for tonight and tomorrow are really getting concerning. Could be one of the worst days in years if everything is realized tonight. I am sure everyone saw the video from the 405 this morning, near Bel Air. Here is the video just in case you didn't see it: Yeah that vid is crazy. Can't imagine. It has really gotten dry there (again) in the past several months. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted December 7, 2017 Share Posted December 7, 2017 1 minute ago, Hoosier said: Yeah that vid is crazy. Can't imagine. It has really gotten dry there (again) in the past several months. That was just a 50 acre brush fire too, that just happened to occur near the 405. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted December 7, 2017 Share Posted December 7, 2017 Some flurries whipping around in the breeze out there again this evening. Dewpoint is 10 degrees, which is almost 50 degrees lower than it was a few nights ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OrdIowPitMsp Posted December 7, 2017 Share Posted December 7, 2017 Picked up 0.2 with yesterday's mood flakes and snow showers in MSP. Currently 8F and just waiting for the lakes to freeze up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
XfireLOW Posted December 7, 2017 Share Posted December 7, 2017 11 hours ago, Hoosier said: Yeah that vid is crazy. Can't imagine. It has really gotten dry there (again) in the past several months. I heard from somebody who lives there that the worst fire years are the year after wet winters. The wet winters bring a bloom of vegetation that invariably dries out as the weather pattern changes. There is then plentiful dry tinder for fires in all directions. It also seems like there is only two conditions there, wet for short periods and dry the majority of the time, there really is no in between with the climate and terrain of a lot of California. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 7, 2017 Share Posted December 7, 2017 Had a dusting of snow this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted December 7, 2017 Share Posted December 7, 2017 Should be good for 2-4 Saturday here. That will be enough to test out my Eco friendly electric snowblower. Lithium powered 2 stage with self propulsion. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted December 7, 2017 Share Posted December 7, 2017 Looks like all of the models are starting to narrow in on amounts between 2-3" here, which would be impressive if it happens. NAM and GFS suggest an inch or greater of QPF. So this has potential. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hlcater Posted December 7, 2017 Share Posted December 7, 2017 21 minutes ago, Powerball said: Looks like all of the models are starting to narrow in on amounts between 2-3" here, which would be impressive if it happens. NAM and GFS suggest an inch or greater of QPF. So this has potential. Atlanta potentially seeing an inch of snow before we do, who woulda thought? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harrisale Posted December 7, 2017 Share Posted December 7, 2017 Some on and off LES flurries overnight and this morning. Still ongoing. Not much more than a solid dusting though. Sure looks and feels like winter now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jim Martin Posted December 7, 2017 Share Posted December 7, 2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted December 7, 2017 Share Posted December 7, 2017 4 hours ago, Hoosier said: Had a dusting of snow this morning. Same here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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